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Entrepreneurship Lock and the Demand for Health Insurance: Evidence from the US Affordable Care Act

Margaret Blume-Kohout

ILR Review, 2024, vol. 77, issue 2, 199-226

Abstract: Most US workers have health insurance plans sponsored and subsidized by their employers. The US Affordable Care Act (ACA) improved and expanded the availability of non-employer-based health insurance, with protections for pre-existing conditions, guaranteed issue, and community rating in non-group markets. Using National Health Interview Survey data for 2009 to 2018 and a difference-in-differences modeling approach, this study finds that the ACA increased self-employment in 2015 and 2016 among US adults with higher demand for health insurance. The probability of self-employment increased by 1.4 to 1.8 percentage points among adults ages 30 to 64 with at least one pre-ACA declinable condition and no alternative source of health insurance through a spouse’s employer or public programs. However, these effects were short-lived. As uncertainty about the long-term viability of the ACA’s health insurance exchanges increased in 2017 and 2018, the probability of self-employment among individuals with high demand for insurance fell to pre-ACA levels.

Keywords: Affordable Care Act; entrepreneurship lock; self-employment; health insurance; labor supply; policy analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:ilrrev:v:77:y:2024:i:2:p:199-226

DOI: 10.1177/00197939231211561

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