National Institute Economic Review

1959 - 2019

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Volume 239, issue 1, 2017

Economic Policy and Surveillance in Europe: Introduction pp. R1-R2

Simon Kirby

The World Economy: Forecast Summary pp. F2-F2

N/a

The UK Economy: Forecast Summary pp. F3-F3

N/a

Fiscal and Other Rules in EU Economic Governance: Helpful, Largely Irrelevant or Unenforceable? pp. R3-R13

Iain Begg

Why Forecast? pp. F4-F9

Jagjit Chadha

World Overview pp. F10-F19

Graham Hacche, Oriol Carreras, Simon Kirby, Iana Liadze, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

Does the Structural Budget Balance Guide Fiscal Policy Pro-Cyclically? Evidence from the Finnish Great Depression of the 1990s pp. R14-R31

Tero Kuusi

Prospects for Individual Economies pp. F20-F34

N/a

Analysing the Relevance of the MIP Scoreboard's Indicators pp. R32-R52

Domonkos Tomáš, Ostrihoň Filip, Šikulová Ivana and Širaňová Mária

Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze pp. F35-F42

N/a

Appendix B: Forecast Detail pp. F43-F49

N/a

Prospects for the UK Economy pp. F50-F80

Simon Kirby, Oriol Carreras, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

A Public Investment Stimulus in Surplus Countries and Its Spillovers in the EA pp. R53-R62

Jan in 't Veld

Volume 238, issue 1, 2016

UK and Europe: What Next? Introduction pp. R1-R3

Jagjit Chadha

The World Economy: Forecast Summary pp. F2-F2

N/a

The UK Economy: Forecast Summary pp. F3-F3

N/a

Fiscal Policy after the Referendum pp. F4-F8

Jagjit Chadha

Hard or Soft? The Politics of Brexit pp. R4-R12

Anand Menon and Brigid Fowler

World Overview pp. F9-F16

Graham Hacche, Oriol Carreras, Simon Kirby, Iana Liadze, Jack Meaning, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

Immigration after Brexit pp. R13-R21

Jonathan Portes

Prospects for Individual Economies pp. F17-F30

N/a

Negotiating the UK's Post-Brexit Trade Arrangements pp. R22-R30

Peter Holmes, Jim Rollo and L. Winters

Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze pp. F31-F38

N/a

Assessing the Impact of Trade Agreements on Trade pp. R31-R42

Monique Ebell

Appendix B: Forecast Detail pp. F39-F45

N/a

The UK and EU Foreign, Security and Defence Policy after Brexit: Integrated, Associated or Detached? pp. R43-R50

Richard G. Whitman

Prospects for the UK Economy pp. F46-F78

Simon Kirby, Oriol Carreras, Jack Meaning, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

Volume 237, issue 1, 2016

The Future of Pensions: Reforms and their Consequences – Introduction pp. R1-R5

Alexander Danzer, Richard Disney, Peter Dolton and Chiara Rosazza Bondibene

The World Economy: Forecast Summary pp. F2-F2

N/a

The UK Economy: Forecast summary pp. F3-F3

N/a

The Referendum Blues: Shocking the System pp. F4-F8

Jagjit Chadha

Pension Reform in the United Kingdom: An Economic Perspective pp. R6-R14

Richard Disney

World Overview pp. F9-F16

Graham Hacche, Oriol Carreras, Simon Kirby, Iana Liadze, Jack Meaning, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

One Pillar Crumbling, the Others Too Short: Old-Age Provision in Germany pp. R13-R21

Martin Werding

Prospects for Individual Economies pp. F17-F26

N/a

Linking Retirement Age to Life Expectancy in a Bismarckian System – The Case of Germany pp. R22-R29

Valentin Vogt and Jörg Althammer

Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze pp. F27-F34

N/a

Workplace Pensions and Remuneration in the Public and Private Sectors in the UK pp. R30-R37

Jonathan Cribb and Carl Emmerson

Appendix B: Forecast Detail pp. F35-F41

N/a

Who Wins? Evaluating the Impact of UK Public Sector Pension Scheme Reforms pp. R38-R46

Alexander Danzer, Peter Dolton and Chiara Rosazza Bondibene

Prospects for the UK Economy pp. F42-F71

Simon Kirby, Oriol Carreras, Jack Meaning, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

The Effect of the Reforms to Compulsion on Annuity Demand pp. R47-R54

Edmund Cannon, Ian Tonks and Rob Yuille

Variable Annuities and Aggregate Mortality Risk pp. R55-R61

Martin Weale and Justin van de Ven

Appendix – Forecast details pp. F72-F80

N/a

Volume 236, issue 1, 2016

Commentary: The Economic Consequences of Leaving the EU pp. 2-6

Angus Armstrong and Jonathan Portes

Britain's Influence in the EU pp. 7-13

Anand Menon and John-Paul Salter

Immigration, Free Movement and the EU Referendum pp. 14-22

Jonathan Portes

Free Movement of Services, Migration and Leaving the EU pp. 23-30

Catherine Barnard and Amy Ludlow

EU Membership, Financial Services and Stability pp. 31-38

Angus Armstrong

The EU Budget and UK Contribution pp. 39-47

Iain Begg

At a Glance…: The World Economy pp. 48-48

N/a

The UK Economy pp. 49-49

N/a

World Overview pp. 50-54

Graham Hacche, Oriol Carreras, Simon Kirby, Iana Liadze, Jack Meaning, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

Prospects for Individual Economies pp. 55-66

N/a

Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze pp. 67-74

N/a

Appendix B: Forecast Detail pp. 75-81

N/a

Prospects for the UK Economy pp. 82-107

Simon Kirby, Oriol Carreras, Jack Meaning and Rebecca Piggott

The Short–Term Economic Impact of Leaving the EU pp. 108-120

Jessica Baker, Oriol Carreras, Monique Ebell, Ian Hurst, Simon Kirby, Jack Meaning, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

The Long-Term Economic Impact of Leaving the EU pp. 121-138

Monique Ebell and James Warren