Empirical Economics

1976 - 2025

Current editor(s): Robert M. Kunst, Arthur H.O. van Soest, Bertrand Candelon, Subal C. Kumbhakar and Joakim Westerlund

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Volume 59, issue 6, 2020

A note on the stability of the Swedish Phillips curve pp. 2573-2612

Sune Karlsson and Pär Österholm

On the contribution of international shocks in Australian business cycle fluctuations pp. 2613-2637

Jamie Cross and Aubrey Poon

Business cycle patterns in European regions pp. 2639-2661

Ana Gómez-Loscos, M. Dolores Gadea and Eduardo Bandres

State-dependent biases and the quality of China’s preliminary GDP announcements pp. 2663-2687

Lixiong Yang

On the pernicious effects of oil price uncertainty on US real economic activities pp. 2689-2715

Amélie Charles, Chew Lian Chua, Olivier Darné and Sandy Suardi

The trade creation effects of Africa’s reciprocal vis-à-vis non-reciprocal trade agreements pp. 2717-2730

Samuel Admassu

Revisiting the trade effects of the euro: data sources and various samples pp. 2731-2777

Jia Hou

Determinants of FDI for Spanish regions: evidence using stock data pp. 2779-2820

Mariam Camarero, Laura Montolio and Cecilio Tamarit

Forecasting stock market movements using Google Trend searches pp. 2821-2839

Melody Y. Huang, Randall R. Rojas and Patrick D. Convery

Assessing distributional properties of forecast errors for fan-chart modelling pp. 2841-2858

Marian Vavra

Forecasting financial stress indices in Korea: a factor model approach pp. 2859-2898

Hyeongwoo Kim, Wen Shi and Hyun Hak Kim

The effect of the ECB’s conventional monetary policy on the real economy: FAVAR-approach pp. 2899-2924

Olli-Matti Laine

On the link between the exchange rates and interest rate differentials in China: evidence from an asymmetric wavelet analysis pp. 2925-2946

Deng-Kui Si, Xiao-Lin Li and Xinyu Ge

The unemployment effect of central bank transparency pp. 2947-2975

Christoph Weber

Asymmetric information in external versus internal promotions pp. 2977-2998

Mario Bossler and Philipp Grunau

A hedonic approach to the valuation of the effect of criminal violence on housing prices in Acapulco City pp. 2999-3018

Joaquín Delgado and Giovanni Wences

Black swan models for the entertainment industry with an application to the movie business pp. 3019-3032

W. Walls and Jordi Mckenzie

Modeling dynamic location expansion of multinational firms in France pp. 3033-3061

Mina Sami Ayad and Tarek Ibrahim Eldomiaty

Conditional growth volatility and sectoral comovement in U.S. industrial production, 1828–1915 pp. 3063-3084

Gustavo Freire and Marcelo Resende

Unemployment reduction through solo self-employment: A gender question? pp. 3085-3105

Tina Haussen and Marcus Schlegel

Volume 59, issue 5, 2020

The individual (mis-)perception of wage inequality: measurement, correlates and implications pp. 2039-2069

Andreas Kuhn

Is Gibrat’s “Economic Inequality” lognormal? pp. 2071-2091

Sherzod Akhundjanov and Alexis Akira Toda

Price-cost margin and bargaining power in the European Union pp. 2093-2123

Ana Cristina Soares

The impact of the H-1B cap exemption on Ph.D. labor markets pp. 2125-2152

Yinjunjie (Jacquelyn Zhang and Marco Palma

The effect of terror and economic sector in early career years on future career path pp. 2153-2184

Aviad Tur-Sinai

Measuring the strength of the theories of government size pp. 2185-2222

Andros Kourtellos, Alex Lenkoski and Kyriakos Petrou

Valuation of public goods: an intertemporal mixed demand approach pp. 2223-2253

H. Youn Kim, Keith McLaren and Ka Wong

Heterogeneity in price responsiveness for residential space heating in Germany pp. 2255-2281

Hendrik Schmitz and Reinhard Madlener

Environmental satisfaction among residents in Chinese cities pp. 2283-2301

Chunhua Wang, Changdong Zhang and Yong Wang

Crime, deterrence and punishment revisited pp. 2303-2333

Maurice J. G. Bun, Richard Kelaher, Vasilis Sarafidis and Don Weatherburn

Hide-and-Seek with time-series filters: a model-based Monte Carlo study pp. 2335-2361

Vadim Kufenko

Prequential forecasting in the presence of structure breaks in natural gas spot markets pp. 2363-2384

Kannika Duangnate and James W. Mjelde

Switching-regime regression for modeling and predicting a stock market return pp. 2385-2403

Kenneth Szulczyk and Changyong Zhang

Linkages between global crude oil market volatility and financial market by complexity synchronization pp. 2405-2421

Yani Xing and Jun Wang

Development of an efficient cluster-based portfolio optimization model under realistic market conditions pp. 2423-2442

Mahdi Massahi, Masoud Mahootchi and Alireza Arshadi Khamseh

The credit supply channel of monetary policy: evidence from a FAVAR model with sign restrictions pp. 2443-2472

Juan S. Holguín and Jorge Uribe

Leverage dynamics: Do financial development and government leverage matter? Evidence from a major developing economy pp. 2473-2507

İbrahim Yarba and Z. Nuray Güner

Convergence of GDP per capita in advanced countries over the twentieth century pp. 2509-2526

Antonin Bergeaud, Gilbert Cette and Rémy Lecat

Exports, real exchange rates and dollarization: empirical evidence from Turkish manufacturing firms pp. 2527-2557

Nazlı Karamollaoğlu and Cihan Yalcin

Reproducing the results in “Does the time-consistency problem explain the behavior of inflation in the United States?” using the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm pp. 2559-2571

Nima Nonejad

Volume 59, issue 4, 2020

Do banking sector and stock market development matter for economic growth? pp. 1513-1535

Joshua Cave, Kausik Chaudhuri and Subal Kumbhakar

Reciprocity in bank regulatory reforms and income inequality: first evidence from a panel vector autoregression analysis pp. 1537-1572

Lea Steininger and Michael Sigmund

GAS Copula models on who’s systemically important in South Africa: Banks or Insurers? pp. 1573-1604

Mathias Manguzvane and John Weirstrass Muteba Mwamba

New evidence on long-term effects of start-up subsidies: matching estimates and their robustness pp. 1605-1631

Marco Caliendo and Stefan Tübbicke

Does business confidence matter for investment? pp. 1633-1665

Hashmat Khan and Santosh Upadhayaya

The impact of Chinese technical barriers to trade on its manufacturing imports when exporters are heterogeneous pp. 1667-1698

Mahdi Ghodsi

Can social capital explain business performance in Denmark? pp. 1699-1722

Cong Wang and Bodo Steiner

Cognitive ability and corruption: rule of law (still) matters pp. 1723-1743

Mohammad Reza Farzanegan

Fiscal policy and shadow economy in Asian developing countries: does corruption matter? pp. 1745-1761

Cong Minh Huynh and Tan Loi Nguyen

Peer gender and educational choices pp. 1763-1797

Pål Schøne, Kristine von Simson and Marte Strøm

The effects of test scores and truancy on youth unemployment and inactivity: a simultaneous equations approach pp. 1799-1831

Steve Bradley and Rob Crouchley

Average labour productivity dynamics over the business cycle pp. 1833-1863

Andrew E. Evans

Can non-contributory pensions decrease food vulnerability? The case of Mexico pp. 1865-1882

Laura Juarez and Tobias Pfutze

Investigating the environmental Kuznets’s curve for Sweden: evidence from multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) pp. 1883-1902

Muhammad Shahbaz, Naceur Khraief and Mantu Mahalik

Latent class models for multiple ordered categorical health data: testing violation of the local independence assumption pp. 1903-1931

Paolo Li Donni and Ranjeeta Thomas

Modelling the dynamic effects of elective hospital admissions on emergency levels in England pp. 1933-1957

Sergi Jimenez-Martin, Catia Nicodemo and Stuart Redding

Testing for structural changes in the Wagner’s Law for a sample of East Asian countries pp. 1959-1976

Saten Kumar and Zhaoyi Cao

Market uncertainty, risk aversion, and macroeconomic expectations pp. 1977-1995

John Inekwe

Inflation volatility and inflation in the wake of the great recession pp. 1997-2015

Semih Çekin and Victor (Vic) Valcarcel

A comment on interest rate pass-through: a non-normal approach pp. 2017-2035

Dong-Yop Oh, Hyejin Lee and Karl Boulware

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Measuring the systemic importance of Chinese banks based on risk interactions pp. 2037-2038

Abdelkader Derbali, Lamia Jamel and Shan Wu

Volume 59, issue 3, 2020

The two-speed Europe in business cycle synchronization pp. 1069-1084

Maximo Camacho, Angela Caro and German Lopez-Buenache

Media reporting and business cycles: empirical evidence based on news data pp. 1085-1105

Michael Lamla, Sarah Lein and Jan-Egbert Sturm

Revisiting macroeconomic activity and income distribution in the USA pp. 1107-1125

John A. Bishop, Haiyong Liu, Lester A. Zeager and Yizhen Zhao

On cointegration between the insurance market and economic activity pp. 1127-1138

Yana Petrova

Carbon emissions, income inequality and economic development pp. 1139-1159

Abebe Hailemariam, Ratbek Dzhumashev and Muhammad Shahbaz

Assessing the economy–climate relationships for Brazilian agriculture pp. 1161-1188

Nicole Rennó Castro, Humberto Francisco Silva Spolador and Fábio Ricardo Marin

The role of ECB monetary policy and financial stress on Eurozone sovereign yields pp. 1189-1211

Christophe Blot, Jerome Creel, Paul Hubert and Fabien Labondance

Monetary policy and financial frictions in a small open-economy model for Uganda pp. 1213-1241

Francis Leni Anguyo, Rangan Gupta and Kevin Kotze

The arbitrage-free generalized Nelson–Siegel term structure model: Does a good in-sample fit imply better out-of-sample forecasts? pp. 1243-1284

Wali Ullah

Is it possible to accurately forecast the evolution of Brent crude oil prices? An answer based on parametric and nonparametric forecasting methods pp. 1285-1305

Marcos Álvarez-Díaz

On the pricing of overnight market risk pp. 1307-1327

Patrizia Perras and Niklas Wagner

Microfinance financial sustainability and outreach: is there a trade-off? pp. 1329-1350

Sefa Awaworyi Churchill

International technology transfer and innovative changes adjustment in EU pp. 1351-1371

Robert W. Ciborowski and Iwona Skrodzka

Employment effect of innovation pp. 1373-1391

d'Artis Kancs and Boriss Siliverstovs

An alternative single parameter functional form for Lorenz curve pp. 1393-1402

Satya Paul and Sriram Shankar

Efficiency and productivity change of regional tax offices in Spain: an empirical study using Malmquist–Luenberger and Luenberger indices pp. 1403-1434

Juan Aparicio, Jose Manuel Cordero and Carlos Díaz-Caro

Economic growth and market segment choice in tourism-based economies pp. 1435-1452

Sauveur Giannoni, Juan M Hernandez and Jorge Pérez-Rodríguez

The economic cost of the Arab Spring: the case of the Egyptian revolution pp. 1453-1477

Cruz A. Echevarría and Javier García-Enríquez

Identification and decompositions in probit and logit models pp. 1479-1492

Chung Choe, SeEun Jung and Ronald Oaxaca

Is there a low-pay no-pay cycle in Australia? A note on Fok, Scutella and Wilkins (2015) pp. 1493-1511

Lixin Cai

Volume 59, issue 2, 2020

Growth path heterogeneity across provincial economies in China: the role of geography versus institutions pp. 503-546

Guanchun Liu, Chien-Chiang Lee and Yuanyuan Liu

A study on the model of economic growth convergence in developing regions: an empirical analysis from Henan Province, China pp. 547-567

Weili Zhang, Jibin Fu and Quan Ju

Technology diffusion, absorptive capacity, and income convergence for Asian developing countries: a dynamic spatial panel approach pp. 569-598

Ji Uk Kim

On real interest rate convergence among G7 countries pp. 599-626

Jana Riedel

Did the unemployment rates converge in the EU? pp. 627-657

László Kónya

Can unemployment benefit cuts improve employment and earnings? pp. 659-699

Lionel Cottier, Kathrin Degen and Rafael Lalive

High-impact minimum wages and heterogeneous regions pp. 701-729

Philipp Berge and Hanna Frings

Remittances and financial development in transition economies pp. 731-763

Jakhongir Kakhkharov and Nicholas Rohde

World distribution of income for 1970–2010: dramatic reduction in world income inequality during the 2000s pp. 765-798

Soondong Hong, Heejoon Han and Chang Sik Kim

An empirical analysis of the causal nexus between service trade and income pp. 799-816

Samuel Admassu

What drives export market shares? It depends! An empirical analysis using Bayesian model averaging pp. 817-869

Konstantins Benkovskis, B. Bluhm, Elena Bobeica, Chiara Osbat and Stefan Zeugner

Estimates of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve for Pakistan pp. 871-886

Kalim Hyder and Stephen Hall

A threshold unobserved components model of housing bubbles: timings and effectiveness of monetary policies pp. 887-908

MeiChi Huang

Dynamic variable selection in dynamic logistic regression: an application to Internet subscription pp. 909-932

Andrés Ramírez-Hassan

Innovation, productivity and intellectual property reform in an emerging market economy: evidence from India pp. 933-950

Sunil Kanwar and Stefan Sperlich

Trouble on my mind: the effect of catastrophic events on people’s worries pp. 951-975

Andree Ehlert, Jan Seidel and Ursula Weisenfeld

Ownership, pricing, and productivity: the case of electric distribution cooperatives pp. 977-1001

Heesun Jang

Crude oil inventories: The two faces of Janus? pp. 1003-1018

Soohyeon Kim, Jungho Baek and Eunnyeong Heo

The sunk-cost fallacy in the National Basketball Association: evidence using player salary and playing time pp. 1019-1036

Alexander Hinton and Yiguo Sun

Gender bias in standardized tests: evidence from a centralized college admissions system pp. 1037-1065

Perihan Saygin

Correction to: Assessing the role of futures position substitutability in a monthly model of factor demand for softwood lumber pp. 1067-1068

Ronald A. Babula and Daowei Zhang

Volume 59, issue 1, 2020

Testing functional forms of the lifetime income process in the presence of factor loadings pp. 1-10

Yuri Ostrovsky

Intergenerational earnings mobility in Taiwan: 1990–2010 pp. 11-45

Yu-Wei Chu and Ming-Jen Lin

I found a better job opportunity! Voluntary job mobility of employees and temporary contracts before and after the great recession in France, Italy and Spain pp. 47-98

Chiara Mussida and Luca Zanin

Working time reductions at the end of the career: Do they prolong the time spent in employment? pp. 99-141

Andrea Albanese, Bart Cockx and Yannick Thuy

Short-run fertility effects of parental leave benefits: evidence from a structural model pp. 143-168

Holger Stichnoth

Medical providers as double agents in a universal health care system: evidence from generic pharmaceutical adoption in Taiwan pp. 169-203

Meng-Chi Tang and Yi-Nong Wu

Heterogeneous selection in the market for private supplemental dental insurance: evidence from Germany pp. 205-231

Jan Michael Bauer, Jörg Schiller and Christopher Schreckenberger

Does the rental housing market stabilize the economy? A micro and macro perspective pp. 233-257

Michał Rubaszek and Margarita Rubio

Modelling the wider effects of ski lift investments pp. 259-274

Martin Falk and Sigbjorn Landazuri Tveteraas

Growth takeoffs and trade margins: a quantile regression approach pp. 275-294

Brandon Sheridan, Rishav Bista and Erik Figueiredo

Convergence of R&D intensity in OECD countries: evidence since 1870 pp. 295-306

Sefa Awaworyi Churchill, John Inekwe and Kris Ivanovski

Real-time US GDP gap properties using Hamilton’s regression-based filter pp. 307-314

Kristian Jönsson

Measuring public inflation perceptions and expectations in the UK pp. 315-344

Yasutomo Murasawa

Term structure and interest rate stabilization policies in the Greenspan era pp. 345-355

Anna Florio

A rank approach for studying cross-currency bases and the covered interest rate parity pp. 357-369

Jose Gomez-Gonzalez, Santiago Gomez-Malagon, Luis Melo-Velandia and Daniel Ordoñez-Callamand

Are there asymmetric relations between real interest rates and agricultural commodity prices? Testing for threshold effects of US real interest rates and adjusted wheat, corn, and soybean prices pp. 371-394

Bente Castro Campos

Investigating the expectation hypothesis and the risk premium dynamics: new evidence for Brazil pp. 395-412

João F. Caldeira

Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help? pp. 413-436

Josh Stillwagon and Peter Sullivan

Investor sentiment, investor crowded-trade behavior, and limited arbitrage in the cross section of stock returns pp. 437-460

Liyun Zhou and Chunpeng Yang

Are all types of capital flows driven by the same factors? Evidence from Mexico pp. 461-502

Raul Ibarra and Isela-Elizabeth Tellez-Leon