Empirical Economics

1976 - 2025

Current editor(s): Robert M. Kunst, Arthur H.O. van Soest, Bertrand Candelon, Subal C. Kumbhakar and Joakim Westerlund

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Volume 65, issue 6, 2023

The oil price-macroeconomy dependence pp. 2501-2520

Apostolos Serletis and Libo Xu

Green or grey stocks? Dynamic effects of carbon markets based on Chinese practices pp. 2521-2547

Yingying Xu and Xiang Li

Key market identification, mechanism transmission, and extreme shock during the risk spillover process: an empirical study of the G20 FOREX markets pp. 2549-2582

Wei Zhou, Jin Guo, Ning Chen and Shuai Lu

Hedging against inflation: housing versus equity pp. 2583-2626

Daniel Fehrle

Impact of the interest rate ceiling on credit cost, loan size, and informal credit in the microfinance sector: evidence from a household survey in Cambodia pp. 2627-2667

Sovannroeun Samreth, Daiju Aiba, Sothearoath Oeur and Vanndy Vat

Estimating the impact of the financial cycle on fiscal policy pp. 2669-2709

Beau Soederhuizen, Rutger Teulings and Rob Luginbuhl

Housing demand shocks and households’ balance sheets pp. 2711-2749

Marc Anderes

Decomposing income inequality in the United States: 1968–2018 pp. 2751-2778

Zhaochen He and Yixiao Jiang

Estimating the intergenerational elasticity of expected income with short-run income measures: a generalized error-in-variables model pp. 2779-2803

Pablo A. Mitnik

The great lockdown, uncertainty and trade: asymmetric impact on imports pp. 2805-2836

Chandan Sharma and Ritesh Kumar Mishra

Is unemployment hysteretic or structural? A Bayesian model selection approach pp. 2837-2866

Pedro Clavijo

The dynamics of labor force participation: Is all quiet on the Appalachian front? pp. 2867-2898

Josh Beverly, Shamar Stewart and Clinton L. Neill

Language proficiency of migrants: the relation with job satisfaction and skill matching pp. 2899-2952

Hans G. Bloemen

Assessing complementarities between live performances and YouTube video streaming pp. 2953-2978

Juan D. Montoro-Pons, María Caballer-Tarazona and Manuel Cuadrado-García

When to use matching and weighting or regression in instrumental variable estimation? Evidence from college proximity and returns to college pp. 2979-2999

Stefan Tübbicke

Kernel-based time-varying IV estimation: handle with care pp. 3001-3026

Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti and Francesco Valentini

Correction to: The puzzle of changes in employment and wages in routine task-intensive occupations pp. 3027-3027

Pallab Ghosh and Zexuan Liu

Volume 65, issue 5, 2023

Economic volatility and financial deepening in Sub-Saharan Africa: evidence from panel cointegration with cross-sectional heterogeneity and endogenous structural breaks pp. 2013-2038

Vinay Kumar Singh, Salah Abosedra, Ali Fakih, Sajal Ghosh and Kakali Kanjilal

Commodity price shocks and the business cycles in emerging economies: the role of banking system balance sheets pp. 2039-2063

Alfredo Villca and Alejandro Torres-García

Commodity currency reactions and the Dutch disease: the role of capital controls pp. 2065-2089

Kai Chen and Dongwon Lee

Climate transition risk in determining credit risk: evidence from firms listed on the STOXX Europe 600 index pp. 2091-2114

Daniel Ramos-García, Carmen López-Martín and Raquel Arguedas-Sanz

The impact of pandemic on dynamic volatility spillover network of international stock markets pp. 2115-2144

Tingting Lan, Liuguo Shao, Hua Zhang and Caijun Yuan

Multiple dimensions of private information in life insurance markets pp. 2145-2180

Xi Wu and Li Gan

How effective are universal payments for raising consumption? Evidence from a natural experiment pp. 2181-2211

Seungjun Baek, Seongeun Kim, Tae-hwan Rhee and Wonmun Shin

Disentangling the effect of household debt on consumption pp. 2213-2239

Rutger Teulings, Bram Wouterse and Kan Ji

Oil price shocks and China’s consumer and entrepreneur sentiment: a Bayesian structural VAR approach pp. 2241-2271

Peng Li and Yaofu Ouyang

Inverse Balassa–Samuelson effect in Mexico: the role of the oil sector pp. 2273-2300

Arnoldo López-Marmolejo, Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària and Gerardo Sebastián Diaz Muro

Global and local components of output gaps pp. 2301-2331

Florian Eckert and Nina Mühlebach

Measuring macroeconomic convergence and divergence within EMU using long memory pp. 2333-2356

Lena Dräger, Theoplasti Kolaiti and Philipp Sibbertsen

The impact of fiscal rules on government debt: evidence from the CFA zone pp. 2357-2391

Christine Olivia Strong

Effects of smart city construction on employment: mechanism and evidence from China pp. 2393-2425

Rongjie Lv and Hao Gao

COVID-19, lockdowns and international trade: evidence from firm-level data pp. 2427-2466

João Amador, Carlos Melo Gouveia and Ana Catarina Pimenta

Impact of tropical cyclones on sustainable development through loops and cycles: evidence from select developing countries of Asia pp. 2467-2498

Sweta Sen, Narayan Chandra Nayak and William Kumar Mohanty

Correction to: Business cycle clocks: Time to get circular pp. 2499-2499

Nuno Lourenço and António Rua

Volume 65, issue 4, 2023

Business cycle clocks: Time to get circular pp. 1513-1541

Nuno Lourenço and António Rua

Dissecting Brazilian agriculture business cycles in high-dimensional and time-irregular span contexts pp. 1543-1578

André Nunes Maranhão and Nicole Rennó Castro

Using causal graphs to test for the direction of instantaneous causality between economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility pp. 1579-1598

Burkhard Raunig

Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty: a Google trends-based analysis for India pp. 1599-1625

Bhanu Pratap and Nalin Priyaranjan

Assessing fiscal multipliers in times of crisis: evidence from selected CEE countries pp. 1627-1654

Bogdan Muraraşu, Cristina Anghelescu and Robert Adrian Grecu

Intratemporal elasticity of substitution between private and public consumption: new evidence and implications pp. 1655-1692

John Francois and Andrew Keinsley

Institutions and economic development: new measurements and evidence pp. 1693-1728

Esther Acquah, Lorenzo Carbonari, Alessio Farcomeni and Giovanni Trovato

An artificial intelligence approach to forecasting when there are structural breaks: a reinforcement learning-based framework for fast switching pp. 1729-1759

Jeronymo Marcondes Pinto and Emerson Marçal

Sector-level equity returns predictability with machine learning and market contagion measure pp. 1761-1798

Weijia Peng and Chun Yao

Uncovering the network structure of non-centrally cleared derivative markets: evidence from large regulatory data pp. 1799-1822

Sebastiano Michele Zema

Does access to credit alter migration intentions? pp. 1823-1854

Marina-Selini Katsaiti and Maroula Khraiche

The effect of fertility on female labor supply in a labor market with extensive informality pp. 1855-1894

Semih Tumen and Belgi Turan

Temporary refugee protection and labor-market outcomes pp. 1895-1929

Matilda Kilström, Birthe Larsen and Elisabet Olme

The effects of screening for gestational diabetes pp. 1931-1964

Krista Riukula

The puzzle of changes in employment and wages in routine task-intensive occupations pp. 1965-1980

Pallab Ghosh and Zexuan Liu

What we measure when we measure the effects of user fees: a replication, reanalysis, and extension of Tanaka, 2014 pp. 1981-2009

Jonah Goldberg

Correction to: Income windfalls and overweight: evidence from lottery wins pp. 2011-2011

Joan Costa-Font and Mario Györi

Volume 65, issue 3, 2023

Nonlinearity in the causality and systemic risk spillover between the OPEC oil and GCC equity markets: a pre- and post-financial crisis analysis pp. 1027-1103

Emmanuel Abakah, Aviral Tiwari, Imhotep Paul Alagidede and Shawkat Hammoudeh

Extreme severity modeling using a GLM-GPD combination: application to an excess of loss reinsurance treaty pp. 1105-1127

Sarra Ghaddab, Manel Kacem, Christian Peretti and Lotfi Belkacem

Monetary policy, funding cost and banks’ risk-taking: evidence from the USA pp. 1129-1148

Constantin Bürgi and Bo Jiang

Spatial panel simultaneous equations models with error components pp. 1149-1196

Marius C. O. Amba, Taoufiki Mbratana and Julie Gallo

Estimating Mexican municipal-level economic activity indicators using nighttime lights pp. 1197-1214

Francisco Corona, Elio Atenógenes Villaseñor, Jesús López-Pérez and Ranyart R. Suárez

Lights and GDP relationship: What does the computer tell us? pp. 1215-1252

Diep Hoang Phan

Governments’ economic support for households during the COVID-19 pandemic and consumer confidence pp. 1253-1272

Hassan Gholipour Fereidouni, Reza Tajaddini and Mohammad Reza Farzanegan

The short-term impact of the 2020 pandemic lockdown on employment in Greece pp. 1273-1307

Gordon Betcherman, Nicholas Giannakopoulos, Ioannis Laliotis, Ioanna Pantelaiou, Mauro Testaverde and Giannis Tzimas

Did the Massachusetts Health Reform Program increase self-employment? pp. 1309-1344

Debdeep Chattopadhyay

The role of mothers on female labour force participation: an approach using historical parish records pp. 1345-1384

Jesus Carro, Matilde Machado and Ricardo Mora Villarrubia

Innovation, employment and market structure: firm level evidence from Turkey pp. 1385-1407

Başak Dalgıç, Burcu Fazlıoğlu and Aytekin Güven

Urban transport infrastructure and household welfare: evidence from Colombia pp. 1409-1432

Tobias Pfutze, Carlos Rodríguez-Castelán and Daniel Valderrama

Macroeconomic shocks, investment volatility and centrality in global manufacturing network pp. 1433-1451

Jisheng Yang and Nan Yang

Trade liberalization, institutional quality, and social trust of Chinese residents pp. 1453-1486

Yanjun Ma and Churen Sun

A decade of violence and empty stadiums in Egypt: when does emotion from the terraces affect behaviour on the pitch? pp. 1487-1507

Carl Singleton, J Reade and Dominik Schreyer

Correction to: Observed-data DIC for spatial panel data models pp. 1509-1509

Ye Yang, Osman Doğan and Süleyman Taşpınar

Correction to: Residual-based cointegration and non-cointegration tests for cointegrating polynomial regressions pp. 1511-1511

Martin Wagner

Volume 65, issue 2, 2023

On the causality between household and government spending on education: evidence from a panel of 40 countries pp. 567-585

Abida Naurin and Panayiotis Pourpourides

Forecasting unemployment with Google Trends: age, gender and digital divide pp. 587-605

Rodrigo Mulero and Alfredo Garcia-Hiernaux

The economic impact of the first wave of the pandemic on 50+ Europeans pp. 607-659

Andrea Bonfatti, Greta Pesaresi, Guglielmo Weber and Nancy Zambon

Risk-sharing within Brazil and South America pp. 661-695

Eduardo Silva and Alex Ferreira

Simultaneous identification of fiscal and monetary policy shocks pp. 697-728

Alfan Mansur

Does the shadow economy matter for tourism consumption? New global evidence pp. 729-773

Canh Nguyen and Binh Quang Nguyen

Tail risk, beta anomaly, and demand for lottery: what explains cross-sectional variations in equity returns? pp. 775-804

Asgar Ali and K. N. Badhani

Forecasting GDP with many predictors in a small open economy: forecast or information pooling? pp. 805-829

Hwee Kwan Chow, Yijie Fei and Daniel Han

Hedging strategies among financial markets: the case of green and brown assets pp. 831-873

Ibrahim Raheem, Oluyele Akinkugbe, Agboola H. Yusuf and Mahdi Ghaemi Asl

A stochastic dominance analysis of conventional and clean energy stocks during different oil market conditions pp. 875-897

Muhammad Usman

Modelling and forecasting risk dependence and portfolio VaR for cryptocurrencies pp. 899-924

Jie Cheng

A tale of two recession-derivative indicators pp. 925-947

Kajal Lahiri and Cheng Yang

Penalized leads-and-lags cointegrating regression: a simulation study and two empirical applications pp. 949-971

David Neto

Tradable and non-tradable inflation in Turkey: asymmetric responses to global factors pp. 973-1006

Hülya Saygılı and Aysun Türkvatan

The effect of Islamic revolution and war on income inequality in Iran pp. 1007-1026

Mohammad Reza Farzanegan and Mohammad Ali Kadivar

Volume 65, issue 1, 2023

Residual-based cointegration and non-cointegration tests for cointegrating polynomial regressions pp. 1-31

Martin Wagner

A new quadratic asymmetric error correction model: does size matter? pp. 33-64

Ayman Mnasri, Zouhair Mrabet and Mouyad Alsamara

The response of household debt to COVID-19 using a neural networks VAR in OECD pp. 65-91

Emmanuel Mamatzakis, Steven Ongena and Mike G. Tsionas

Quantifying interconnectedness and centrality ranking among financial institutions with TVP-VAR framework pp. 93-110

Hai-Chuan Xu, Fredj Jawadi, Jie Zhou and Wei-Xing Zhou

Assessing the Spanish immigration policy with frequency-wise causality in Hosoya’s sense pp. 111-147

Alexandra M. Espinosa and Ignacio Díaz-Emparanza

Big data forecasting of South African inflation pp. 149-188

Byron Botha, Rulof Burger, Kevin Kotze, Neil Rankin and Daan Steenkamp

Variable selection in threshold model with a covariate-dependent threshold pp. 189-202

Lixiong Yang

Observed and expected interest rate pass-through under remarkably high market rates pp. 203-246

Jose Angelo Divino and Carlos Haraguchi

Do current and capital account liberalizations affect economic growth in the long run? pp. 247-273

Tullio Gregori and Marco Giansoldati

Financial development and declining market dynamics: Another dark side of “too much finance”? pp. 275-309

Xiaoyang Zhu

Social capital and informal credit access: empirical evidence from a Vietnamese household panel survey pp. 311-340

Le Phuong Xuan Dang, Viet-Ngu Hoang, Son Hong Nghiem and Clevo Wilson

Financial inclusion and international migration in low- and middle-income countries pp. 341-370

Michael D. Smith and Dennis Wesselbaum

Induced innovation and its impact on productivity growth in China: a latent variable approach pp. 371-399

Ka Kei Gary Wong and Min Qiang (Kent) Zhao

Climate change and urban total factor productivity: evidence from capital cities and municipalities in China pp. 401-441

Li Chen, Bin Jiang and Chuan Wang

The effect of infrastructure investment on tourism demand: a synthetic control approach for the case of Kuelap, Peru pp. 443-478

Erick Lahura and Rosario Sabrera

Oil price shocks and US unemployment: evidence from disentangling the duration of unemployment spells in the labor market pp. 479-511

Zeina Alsalman

The accuracy of homeowners’ valuations in the twenty-first century pp. 513-566

Stijn Dreesen and Sven Damen