Applying the AHP to Conflict Resolution: A Russia—NATO Case Study

Marcel Minutolo, Luis G. Vargas, Amos N. Guiora and Madhury Ray
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Luis G. Vargas: University of Pittsburgh
Amos N. Guiora: University of Utah
Madhury Ray: International Center for Conflict Resolution

Group Decision and Negotiation, 2023, vol. 32, issue 1, No 6, 147-176

Abstract: Abstract In this paper, we apply the Analytic Hierarchy Process approach to conflict resolution in the context of the Russia–Ukraine conflict. We build models that illustrate the evaluation criteria, strategic and sub-criteria, and concessions for each party in this negotiation. Ratings are used to evaluate the degree to which concessions contribute or take away from successful resolution of the conflict. Afterwards, gain ratios are built to determine the benefit-cost scores so that concessions may be traded that result in equitable solutions. The approach presented here demonstrates for the first time why all concessions that parties to a conflict may offer might not trade all at once. A Max–Min optimization approach is used to maximize the gain to both parties of the conflict while minimizing the disparity in gain between the two.

Keywords: Russia–Ukraine conflict; Conflict resolution; Analytic hierarchy process; Multi-criteria decision making; Negotiations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1007/s10726-022-09803-z

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