Common learning with intertemporal dependence
Martin Cripps,
Jeffrey Ely,
George Mailath and
Larry Samuelson ()
International Journal of Game Theory, 2013, vol. 42, issue 1, 55-98
Abstract:
Consider two agents who learn the value of an unknown parameter by observing a sequence of private signals. Will the agents commonly learn the value of the parameter, i.e., will the true value of the parameter become approximate common-knowledge? If the signals are independent and identically distributed across time (but not necessarily across agents), the answer is yes (Cripps et al., Econometrica, 76(4):909–933, 2008 ). This paper explores the implications of allowing the signals to be dependent over time. We present a counterexample showing that even extremely simple time dependence can preclude common learning, and present sufficient conditions for common learning. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2013
Keywords: Common learning; Common belief; Private signals; Private beliefs; D82; D83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Working Paper: Common Learning with Intertemporal Dependence (2011) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:jogath:v:42:y:2013:i:1:p:55-98
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DOI: 10.1007/s00182-011-0313-7
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