Economics at your fingertips  

Climate change, food security, and future scenarios for potato production in India to 2030

Gregory Scott, Athanasios Petsakos () and Henry Juarez ()
Additional contact information
Athanasios Petsakos: International Potato Center
Henry Juarez: International Potato Center

Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, 2019, vol. 11, issue 1, 43-56

Abstract: Abstract Much of the literature on future food supply in Asia focuses almost exclusively on the cereal crops overlooking the growing importance of other food commodities and their potential to help sustain Asian food systems and food security in the decades ahead. This study utilizes a multi-period, agricultural partial equilibrium economic model, linked with a set of crop, climate and water models to estimate potato supply in India for the period 2010 to 2030 according to three scenarios: high, moderate, and slow growth. According to the high growth scenario, potato supply could increase over 37 million metric tonnes while the more pessimistic scenario estimates increases in production of nearly 24 million metric tonnes. The findings point to opportunities for agribusiness initiatives in input markets and technical services for potato cultivation. They also call attention to the benefits to be derived from policy initiatives in support of future activities on and off the farm intended to optimize the potato sector’s contribution to food production, income, employment, and food security in India in the years ahead.

Keywords: Productivity; Climate change; Technology; IMPACT; Food policy; Food security (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q11 Q16 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... ulture/journal/12571

Access Statistics for this article

Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food is currently edited by R.N. Strange

More articles in Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food from Springer, The International Society for Plant Pathology
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla ().

Page updated 2019-08-24
Handle: RePEc:spr:ssefpa:v:11:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s12571-019-00897-z