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Departure from independence and stationarity in a handball match

Montezuma Dumangane, Nicoletta Rosati and Anna Volossovitch

Journal of Applied Statistics, 2009, vol. 36, issue 7, 723-741

Abstract: This paper analyses direct and indirect forms of dependence in the probability of scoring in a handball match, taking into account the mutual influence of both playing teams. Non-identical distribution (i.d.) and non-stationarity, which are commonly observed in sport games, are studied through the specification of time-varying parameters. The model accounts for the binary character of the dependent variable, and for unobserved heterogeneity. The parameter dynamics is specified by a first-order auto-regressive process. Data from the Handball World Championships 2001-2005 show that the dynamics of handball violate both independence and i.d., in some cases having a non-stationary behaviour.

Keywords: binary choice; dynamic panel data; time-varying parameters; unobserved heterogeneity; dependence; non-stationarity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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