Violent crime and incentives in the long-run: evidence from England and Wales

George Saridakis

Journal of Applied Statistics, 2011, vol. 38, issue 4, 647-660

Abstract: This study uses recent advances in time-series econometrics to investigate the non-stationarity and co-integration properties of violent crime series in England and Wales. In particular, we estimate the long-run impact of economic conditions, beer consumption and various deterrents on different categories of recorded violent crime. The results suggest that a long-run causal model exists for only minor crimes of violence, with beer consumption being a predominant factor.

Date: 2011
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DOI: 10.1080/02664760903563619

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