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Intensified support for juvenile offenders on probation: Evidence from Germany

Christoph Engel (), Sebastian Goerg and Christian Traxler

Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, 2022, vol. 19, issue 2, 447-490

Abstract: This paper studies a probation program in Cologne, Germany. The program, which has a clear rehabilitative focus, offers intensified personal support to serious juvenile offenders over the first 6 months of their probation period. To evaluate the program's impact on recidivism, we draw on two research designs. Firstly, a small‐scale randomized trial assigns offenders to probation with regular or intensified support. Secondly, a regression discontinuity design exploits a cutoff that defines program eligibility. The results suggest that the program reduces recidivism. The effect seems persistent over at least 3 years. Our evidence further indicates that the drop in recidivism is strongest among less severe offenders.

Date: 2022
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https://doi.org/10.1111/jels.12311

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:empleg:v:19:y:2022:i:2:p:447-490

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