Financial frictions, trends, and the great recession

Pablo Guerron and Ryo Jinnai ()

Quantitative Economics, 2019, vol. 10, issue 2, 735-773

Abstract: We study the causes behind the shift in the level of U.S. GDP following the Great Recession. To this end, we propose a model featuring endogenous productivity à la Romer and a financial friction à la Kiyotaki–Moore. Adverse financial disturbances during the recession and the lack of strong tailwinds post‐crisis resulted in a severe contraction and the downward shift in the economy's trend. Had financial conditions remained stable during the crisis, the economy would have grown at its average growth rate. From a historical perspective, the Great Recession was unique because of the size and persistence of adverse shocks, and the lackluster performance of favorable shocks since 2010.

Date: 2019
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https://doi.org/10.3982/QE702

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Working Paper: Financial Frictions, Trends, and the Great Recession (2015)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:quante:v:10:y:2019:i:2:p:735-773

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