Do COVID-19 and crude oil prices drive the US economic policy uncertainty?

Claudiu Albulescu ()

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of the novel coronavirus and crude oil prices on the United States (US) economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Using daily data for the period January 21-March 13, 2020, our Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model shows that the new infection cases reported at global level, and the death ratio, have no significant effect on the US EPU, whereas the oil price negative dynamics leads to increased uncertainty. However, analyzing the situation outside China, we discover that both new case announcements and the COVID-19 associated death ratio have a positive influence on the US EPU.

Date: 2020-03
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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http://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.07591 Latest version (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: Do COVID-19 and crude oil prices drive the US economic policy uncertainty? (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:2003.07591

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