Attenuated Heterogeneity in Fixed-Effects Causal Forests, and a Cross-Fitted Correction
Harry Aytug
Papers from arXiv.org
Abstract:
Causal forests that estimate conditional average treatment effects by averaging honest leaf-level effects across trees are widely used in fixed-effects panel settings. We show that this averaging systematically attenuates the estimated heterogeneity: the raw prediction behaves like a + b*tau(x) with slope b
Date: 2026-07
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:2607.22896
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