Staff Analytical Notes

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24-11: Potential output in Canada: 2024 assessment

Tessa Devakos, Christopher Hajzler, Stephanie Houle, Craig Johnston, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Ron Rautu and Temel Taskin

24-11fr: La production potentielle au Canada: évaluation de 2024

Tessa Devakos, Christopher Hajzler, Stephanie Houle, Craig Johnston, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Ron Rautu and Temel Taskin

24-10: Assessing global potential output growth: April 2024

Amor Aniss Benmoussa, Raheeb Dastagir, Eshini Ekanayake, Justin-Damien Guenette, Helen Lao, Jenna Rolland-Mills, Aidan Spencer and Lin Xiang

24-10fr: Évaluation de la croissance de la production potentielle mondiale: avril 2024

Amor Aniss Benmoussa, Raheeb Dastagir, Eshini Ekanayake, Justin-Damien Guenette, Helen Lao, Jenna Rolland-Mills, Aidan Spencer and Lin Xiang

24-9fr: Évaluation des taux neutres aux États-Unis et au Canada: mise à jour de 2024

Frida Adjalala, Felipe Alves, Hélène Desgagnés, Wei Dong, Dmitry Matveev and Laure Simon

24-9: Assessing the US and Canadian neutral rates: 2024 update

Frida Adjalala, Felipe Alves, Hélène Desgagnés, Wei Dong, Dmitry Matveev and Laure Simon

24-8: Benchmarks for assessing labour market health: 2024 update

Erik Ens, Alexander Lam, Kurt See and Gabriela Galassi

24-8fr: Valeurs de référence pour évaluer la santé du marché du travail: mise à jour de 2024

Erik Ens, Alexander Lam, Kurt See and Gabriela Galassi

24-7fr: Comment les sociétés d’assurance vie canadiennes gèrent leurs risques de liquidité

Patrick Aldridge, Stephane Gignac, Rishi Vala and Adrian Walton

24-7: Liquidity risks at Canadian life insurance companies

Patrick Aldridge, Stephane Gignac, Rishi Vala and Adrian Walton

24-6: Pricing behaviour and inflation during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from consumer prices microdata

Olga Bilyk, Mikael Khan and Olena Kostyshyna

24-6fr: Pratiques d’établissement des prix et inflation durant la pandémie de COVID-19: ce que révèlent les microdonnées sur les prix à la consommation

Olga Bilyk, Mikael Khan and Olena Kostyshyna

24-5: Measuring household financial stress in Canada using consumer surveys

Nicolas Bédard and Patrick Sabourin

24-4: What has been putting upward pressure on CORRA?

Boran Plong and Neil Maru

24-3: How changes in the share of constrained households affect the effectiveness of monetary policy

Felipe Alves and Sushant Acharya

24-2: Market structure of cryptoasset exchanges: Introduction, challenges and emerging trends

Vladimir Skavysh, Jacob Sharples, Sofia Priazhkina and Salman H. Hasham

24-1: Modelling Canadian mortgage debt and payments in a semi-structural model

Fares Bounajm and Austin McWhirter

23-19fr: L‘effet des hausses de taux d’intérêt sur les versements hypothécaires

Maria teNyenhuis and Adam Su

23-19: The impact of higher interest rates on mortgage payments

Maria teNyenhuis and Adam Su

23-18: Finding the balance—measuring risks to inflation and to GDP growth

Bruno Feunou and James Kyeong

23-17: Assessing the effects of higher immigration on the Canadian economy and inflation

Julien Champagne, Erik Ens, Xing Guo, Olena Kostyshyna, Alexander Lam, Corinne Luu, Sarah Miller, Patrick Sabourin, Joshua Slive, Temel Taskin, Jaime Trujillo and Shu Lin Wee

23-16: Machine learning for economics research: when, what and how

Ajit Desai

23-15: Decentralized finance: Innovations and challenges

Jonathan Chiu and Hanna Yu

23-14: Three things we learned about the Lynx payment system

Nikil Chande, Zhentong Lu, Hiru Rodrigo and Phoebe Tian

23-13: Tattle-tails: Gauging downside risks using option prices

Greg Adams and Maksym Tupis

23-12: The contribution of firm profits to the recent rise in inflation

Panagiotis Bouras, Christian Bustamante, Xing Guo and Jacob Short

23-11: Do hedge funds support liquidity in the Government of Canada bond market?

Jabir Sandhu and Rishi Vala

23-10: BoC–BoE Sovereign Default Database: What’s new in 2023?

David Beers, Obiageri Ndukwe, Karim McDaniels and Alex Charron

23-9: It takes a panel to predict the future: What the stock market says about future economic growth in Canada

Greg Adams and Jean-Sebastien Fontaine

23-8: Markups and inflation during the COVID-19 pandemic

Olga Bilyk, Timothy Grieder and Mikael Khan

23-7: Benchmarks for assessing labour market health: 2023 update

Erik Ens, Kurt See and Corinne Luu

23-6: Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2023 assessment

Julien Champagne, Christopher Hajzler, Dmitry Matveev, Harlee Melinchuk, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Galip Ozhan, Youngmin Park and Temel Taskin

23-5: Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2023

Salma Ahmed, Aviel Avshalumov, Tania Chaar, Eshini Ekanayake, Helen Lao, Louis Poirier, Jenna Rolland-Mills, Argyn Toktamyssov and Lin Xiang

23-4: What we can learn by linking firms’ reported emissions with their financial data

Matthew Ackman, Timothy Grieder, Callie Symmers and Geneviève Vallée

23-3: Firms’ inflation expectations and price-setting behaviour in Canada: Evidence from a business survey

Ramisha Asghar, James Fudurich and Jane Voll

23-2: A central bank digital currency for offline payments

Cyrus Minwalla, John Miedema, Sebastian Hernandez and Alexandra Sutton-Lalani

23-1: Introducing the Bank of Canada’s Market Participants Survey

Annick Demers, Tamara Gomes and Stephane Gignac

22-20: Potential benefits and key risks of fiat-referenced cryptoassets

Hugh Ding, Natasha Khan, Bena Lands, Cameron MacDonald and Laura Zhao

22-19: Variable-rate mortgages with fixed payments: Examining trigger rates

Stephen Murchison and Maria teNyenhuis

22-18: Canada’s Beveridge curve and the outlook for the labour market

Alexander Lam

22-17: Core inflation over the COVID-19 pandemic

Mikael Khan and Elyse Sullivan

22-16: Considerations for the allocation of non-default losses by financial market infrastructures

Daniele Costanzo and Radoslav Raykov

22-15: Examining recent revisions to CPI-common

Elyse Sullivan

22-14: Archetypes for a retail CBDC

Sriram Darbha

22-13: Harnessing the benefit of state-contingent forward guidance

Vivian Chu and Yang Zhang

22-12: How does the Bank of Canada’s balance sheet impact the banking system?

Daniel Bolduc-Zuluaga, Brad Howell and Grahame Johnson

22-11: BoC–BoE Sovereign Default Database: What’s new in 2022?

David Beers, Elliot Jones, Karim McDaniels and Zacharie Quiviger

22-10: Has wage setting changed in Canada? Evidence from the pre-pandemic 2020 Wage-Setting Survey

David Amirault, Sarah Miller and Matthieu Verstraete

22-9: Fixed-income dealing and central bank interventions

David Cimon and Adrian Walton

22-8: Potential netting benefits from expanded central clearing in Canada’s fixed-income market

Jessie Ziqing Chen, Johannes Chen, Shamarthi Ghosh, Manu Pandey and Adrian Walton