Staff Analytical Notes

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19-13: Assessing Global Potential Output Growth: April 2019

Fares Bounajm, Jean-Philippe Cayen, Michael Francis, Christopher Hajzler, Kristina Hess, Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle and Peter Selcuk

19-12: Disentangling the Factors Driving Housing Resales

Mikael Khan and Taylor Webley

19-12fr: Démêler les facteurs qui influencent les reventes de logements

Mikael Khan and Taylor Webley

19-11: The Neutral Rate in Canada: 2019 Update

Thomas Carter, Xin Chen and José Dorich

19-11fr: Le taux neutre au Canada: mise à jour de 2019

Thomas Carter, Xin Chen and José Dorich

19-10fr: Production potentielle au Canada: réévaluation de 2019

Dany Brouillette, Julien Champagne, Carol Khoury, Natalia Kyui, Jeffrey Mollins and Youngmin Park

19-10: Potential Output in Canada: 2019 Reassessment

Dany Brouillette, Julien Champagne, Carol Khoury, Natalia Kyui, Jeffrey Mollins and Youngmin Park

19-9: Could Canadian Bond Funds Add Stress to the Financial System?

Rohan Arora, Guillaume Bédard-Pagé, Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc and Ryan Shotlander

19-9fr: Les fonds d’obligations canadiennes peuvent-ils amplifier les tensions subies par le système financier?

Rohan Arora, Guillaume Bédard-Pagé, Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc and Ryan Shotlander

19-8: Non-Resident Taxes and the Role of House Price Expectations

Mikael Khan and Matthieu Verstraete

19-7: Liquidity Management of Canadian Corporate Bond Mutual Funds: A Machine Learning Approach

Rohan Arora, Chen Fan and Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc

19-6: The Size and Characteristics of Informal (“Gig”) Work in Canada

Olena Kostyshyna and Corinne Luu

19-5: Canada’s Monetary Policy Report: If Text Could Speak, What Would It Say?

André Binette and Dmitri Tchebotarev

19-4: The State of Labour Market Churn in Canada

Olena Kostyshyna and Corinne Luu

19-3: Drivers of Weak Wage Growth in Advanced Economies

Anne-Katherine Cormier, Michael Francis, Kristina Hess and Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle

19-2fr: Prix plafonds sur les marchés canadiens des emprunts d’obligations

Léanne Berger-Soucy, Jean-Sebastien Fontaine and Adrian Walton

19-2: Price Caps in Canadian Bond Borrowing Markets

Léanne Berger-Soucy, Jean-Sebastien Fontaine and Adrian Walton

19-1: The Secular Decline of Forecasted Interest Rates

Jean-Sebastien Fontaine and Bruno Feunou

18-41: The Cost of the Government Bond Buyback and Switch Programs in Canada

Bo Young Chang, Jun Yang and Parker Liu

18-40: GDP by Industry in Real Time: Are Revisions Well Behaved?

Patrick Rizzetto

18-39: The Impact of Surprising Monetary Policy Announcements on Exchange Rate Volatility

Adam Albogatchiev, Jean-Sebastien Fontaine, Jabir Sandhu and Reginald Xie

18-38: Does US or Canadian Macro News Drive Canadian Bond Yields?

Bruno Feunou, Rodrigo Sekkel and Morvan Donfack

18-37: Markets Look Beyond the Headline

Bruno Feunou, James Kyeong and Raisa Leiderman

18-36: Modelling the Macrofinancial Effects of a House Price Correction in Canada

Thibaut Duprey, Xuezhi Liu, Cameron MacDonald, Maarten van Oordt, Sofia Priazhkina, Xiangjin Shen and Joshua Slive

18-35: The Impact of Recent Policy Changes on the Canadian Mortgage Market

Olga Bilyk and Maria teNyenhuis

18-35-fr: Incidence des modifications récentes des politiques sur le marché hypothécaire canadien

Olga Bilyk and Maria teNyenhuis

18-34: Characterizing the Canadian Financial Cycle with Frequency Filtering Approaches

Andrew Lee-Poy

18-33: Introducing a Systematic Measure of Idiosyncratic Prices

Madigan Dockrill and Laurence Savoie-Chabot

18-32: Disaggregating Household Sensitivity to Monetary Policy by Expenditure Category

Tony Chernis and Corinne Luu

18-31: Have Liquidity and Trading Activity in the Canadian Corporate Bond Market Deteriorated?

Chen Fan, Sermin Gungor, Guillaume Nolin and Jun Yang

18-30: Have Liquidity and Trading Activity in the Canadian Provincial Bond Market Deteriorated?

Chen Fan, Sermin Gungor, Guillaume Nolin and Jun Yang

18-29: Estimating the Impacts of Tariff Changes: Two Illustrative Scenarios

Karyne Charbonneau and Anthony Landry

18-28: Weakness in Non-Commodity Exports: Demand versus Supply Factors

José Dorich, Vadym Lepetyuk and Jonathan Swarbrick

18-27: Characterizing Canada’s Export Sector by Industry: A Supply-Side Perspective

Taylor Webley

18-26: Decomposing Canada’s Market Shares: An Update

Nicholas Labelle

18-25: What Is Restraining Non-Energy Export Growth?

Dany Brouillette, José Dorich, Chris D'Souza, Adrienne Gagnon and Claudia Godbout

18-24: The Characteristics of Uninsured Mortgages and their Securitization Potential

Adi Mordel and Maria teNyenhuis

18-23: Bitcoin Awareness and Usage in Canada: An Update

Christopher Henry, Kim Huynh and Gradon Nicholls

18-22: The Neutral Rate in Canada: 2018 Estimates

Xin Chen and José Dorich

18-21: Redemption Runs in Canadian Corporate Bond Funds?

Rohan Arora

18-20: Readability and the Bank of Canada

Alexandre Deslongchamps

18-19: The Scale and Scope of Online Retail

Alex Chernoff

18-18: Interest Rate and Renewal Risk for Mortgages

Olga Bilyk, Cameron MacDonald and Brian Peterson

18-17: Measuring Vulnerabilities in the Non-Financial Corporate Sector Using Industry- and Firm-Level Data

Timothy Grieder and Michal Lipsitz

18-16: Applying the Wage-Common to Canadian Provinces

Jonathan Lachaine

18-15: Bending the Curves: Wages and Inflation

Dany Brouillette, Madigan Dockrill, Helen Lao and Laurence Savoie-Chabot

18-14: How do Canadian Corporate Bond Mutual Funds Meet Investor Redemptions?

Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc and Rohan Arora

18-13: The Share of Systematic Variations in the Canadian Dollar—Part III

Guillaume Nolin, James Kyeong and Jean-Sebastien Fontaine

18-12: Customer Liquidity Provision in Canadian Bond Markets

Corey Garriott and Jesse Johal

18-11: How to Manage Macroeconomic and Financial Stability Risks: A New Framework

Thibaut Duprey and Alexander Ueberfeldt