Working Papers

From Banco de España
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2102: Economic uncertainty and divisive politics: evidence from the dos Españas

Sandra García-Uribe, Hannes Mueller and Carlos Sanz

2101: Optimal progressivity of personal income tax: a general equilibrium evaluation for Spain

Darío Serrano-Puente

2043: Reforming the individual income tax in Spain

Nezih Guner, Javier López-Segovia and Roberto Ramos

2042: The narrative about the economy as a shadow forecast: an analysis using Banco de España quarterly reports

Nélida Díaz Sobrino, Corinna Ghirelli, Samuel Hurtado, Javier Pérez and Alberto Urtasun

2041: Urban air pollution and sick leaves: evidence from social security data

Felix Holub, Laura Hospido and Ulrich Wagner

2040: Who Truly Bears (Bank) Taxes? Evidence from Only Shifting Statutory Incidence

Gabriel Jimenez, David Martinez-Miera and Jose-Luis Peydro

2039: The short- and long-run employment impact of COVID-19 through the effects of real and financial shocks on new firms

Christoph Albert, Andrea Caggese and Beatriz González

2038: Why cognitive test scores of spanish adults are so low? the role of schooling and socioeconomic background

Brindusa Anghel, Pilar Cuadrado and Federico Tagliati

2037: Screening and loan origination time: lending standards, loan defaults and bank failures

Mikel Bedayo, Gabriel Jimenez, Jose-Luis Peydro and Raquel Vegas

2036: Wage determination and the bite of collective contracts in Italy and Spain: evidence from the metal working industry

Effrosyni Adamopoulou and Ernesto Villanueva

2035: Application of text mining to the analysis of climate-related disclosures

Ángel Iván Moreno and Teresa Caminero

2034: Spillover effects in international business cycles

Maximo Camacho, Matías Pacce and Gabriel Pérez-Quirós

2033: Raising markups to survive: small Spanish firms during the Great Recession

Pilar García-Perea, Aitor Lacuesta and Pau Roldan-Blanco

2032: Machine learning in credit risk: measuring the dilemma between prediction and supervisory cost

Andres Alonso and Jose Manuel Carbo Martinez

2031: Gender equality and the math gender gap

Brindusa Anghel, Núria Rodriguez-Planas and Anna Sanz-de-Galdeano

2030: Macroeconomics, firm dynamics and IPOs

Beatriz González

2029: Economic consequences of high public debt: evidence from three large scale DSGE models

Pablo Burriel, Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Pascal Jacquinot, Matthias Schön and Nikolai Stähler

2028: The spatial distribution of population in Spain: an anomaly in european perspective

Eduardo Gutiérrez Chacón, Enrique Moral-Benito, Roberto Ramos and Daniel Oto-Peralías

2027: Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times

Pablo Aguilar, Corinna Ghirelli, Matías Pacce and Alberto Urtasun

2026: Spanish regions in Global Value Chains: How important? How different?

Elvira Prades-Illanes and Patrocinio Tello-Casas

2025: The decline in public investment: “social dominance” or too-rigid fiscal rules?

Mar Delgado-Téllez, Esther Gordo, Iván Kataryniuk and Javier Pérez

2024: Economic policy uncertainty in Latin America: measurement using Spanish newspapers and economic spillovers

Corinna Ghirelli, Javier Pérez and Alberto Urtasun

2023: A highway across the Atlantic? Trade and welfare effects of the EU-Mercosur agreement

Jacopo Timini and Francesca Viani

2022: Can subsidized employment tackle long-term unemployment? Experimental evidence from North Macedonia

Alex Armand, Pedro Carneiro, Federico Tagliati and Yiming Xia

2021: The impact of alternative forms of bank consolidation on credit supply and financial stability

Sergio Mayordomo, Nicola Pavanini and Emanuele Tarantino

2020: Loan types and the bank lending channel

Victoria Ivashina, Luc Laeven and Enrique Moral-Benito

2019: Keeping track of global trade in real time

Jaime Martinez-Martin and Elena Rusticelli

2018: Macro-financial interactions in a changing world

Eddie Gerba and Danilo Leiva-Leon

2017: The heterogeneous effects of trade agreements with labor provisions (Updated March 2021)

Jacopo Timini, Nicola Cortinovis and Fernando López Vicente

2016: Deciphering the macroeconomic effects of internal devaluations in a monetary union

Javier Andrés, Óscar Arce, Samuel Hurtado and Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde

2015: Real-time weakness of the global economy: a first assessment of the coronavirus crisis

Danilo Leiva-Leon, Gabriel Perez-Quiros and Eyno Rots

2014: Hedger of last resort: evidence from Brazilian FX interventions, local credit, and global financial cycles

Rodrigo Gonzalez, Dmitry Khametshin, Jose-Luis Peydro and Andrea Polo

2013: Financial frictions and the wealth distribution

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Samuel Hurtado and Galo Nuño Barrau

2012: External imbalances and recoveries

Mariam Camarero, María Dolores Gadea-Rivas, Ana Gómez-Loscos and Cecilio Tamarit

2011e: Sentiment analysis of the Spanish Financial Stability Report

Ángel Iván Moreno Bernal and Carlos González Pedraz

2011: Análisis de sentimiento del Informe de Estabilidad Financiera

Ángel Iván Moreno Bernal and Carlos González Pedraz

2010: Eurozone prices: a tale of convergence and divergence

Alfredo Garcia-Hiernaux, Maria T. Gonzalez-Perez and David Guerrero

2009: Trade Agreements and Latin American trade (creation and diversion) and welfare

Ayman El Dahrawy Sánchez-Albornoz and Jacopo Timini

2008: Foreign direct investment and the equity home bias puzzle

Sven Blank, Mathias Hoffmann and Moritz Roth

2007: The benefits are at the tail: uncovering the impact of macroprudential policy on growth-at-risk

Jorge Galan

2006: Strategic interactions and price dynamics in the global oil market

Irma Alonso Alvarez, Virginia Di Nino and Fabrizio Venditti

2005: Dollar borrowing, firm-characteristics, and FX-hedged funding opportunities

Leonardo Gambacorta, Sergio Mayordomo and Jose Maria Serena Garralda

2004: From secular stagnation to robocalypse? Implications of demographic and technological changes

Henrique Basso and Juan F Jimeno

2003: Measuring the procyclicality of impairment accounting regimes: a comparison between IFRS 9 and US GAAP

Alejandro Buesa, Francisco Javier Población García and Javier Tarancón

2002: ¿Cómo afecta la complejidad de la regulación a la demografía empresarial? Evidencia para España

Juan Mora-Sanguinetti and Ricardo Pérez-Valls

2001: Debt sustainability and fiscal space in a heterogeneous Monetary Union: normal times vs the zero lower bound

Javier Andrés, Pablo Burriel and Wenyi Shen

1948: Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area

Gergely Ganics and Florens Odendahl

1947: From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts

Gergely Ganics, Barbara Rossi and Tatevik Sekhposyan

1946: The SHERLOC: an EWS-based index of vulnerability for emerging economies

Irma Alonso Alvarez and Luis Molina Sánchez

1945: The gender gap in bank credit access

Pablo de Andrés, Ricardo Gimeno and Ruth Mateos de Cabo