BIS Working Papers

From Bank for International Settlements
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1351: Disciplining digital risk: evidence from cyber stress tests

Nordine Abidi, Leonardo Gambacorta, Christoffer Kok, Leonardo Madio, Ixart Miquel-Flores and Alberto Partida

1350: Elasticity of money in production networks, working capital, credit lines and financial conditions

Ryan Niladri Banerjee, Hyun Song Shin and Jose Maria Vidal Pastor

1349: Learning monetary policy strategies at the effective lower bound with sudden surprises

Spencer Krane, Leonardo Melosi and Matthias Rottner

1348: Geopolitical risk in the euro area: measurement and transmission

Yevheniia Bondarenko, Nayeon Kang, Vivien Lewis, Matthias Rottner and Yves Schueler

1347: The Trafalgar squeeze of global liquidity

Vincent Bignon, Benoit Mojon and Miguel Ortiz Serrano

1346: How do interest rate levels affect credit loss rates? A rule of thumb approach

Maximilian Fandl, Boris Fišera, Adam Geršl and Christian Schmieder

1345: Shifting forces behind RMB internationalization: evidence from the 2025 Triennial Survey

Juliana Robbert, Vladyslav Sushko and Frank Westermann

1344: Imitation and the diffusion of innovation

Debi Prasad Mohapatra and Vatsala Shreeti

1343: The geography of AI firms

Kumar Rishabh and Vatsala Shreeti

1342: Quantum Bayesian inference: an exploration

Jon Frost, Carlos Madeira, Yash Rastogi and Harald Uhlig

1341: Labour market flows, unemployment and the Phillips curve

Enisse Kharroubi and Marius Koechlin

1340: Stablecoin flows and spillovers to FX markets

Iñaki Aldasoro, Paula Beltrán and Federico Grinberg

1339: Financial stability limits on fiscal space

Fabrizio Zampolli

1338: Global banking and geopolitics through time

Lorenz Emter, Laura Kuitunen, Arnaud Mehl, Peter McQuade, Swapan-Kumar Pradhan and Goetz von Peter

1337: Introducing BISTRO: a foundational model for unconditional and conditional forecasting of macroeconomic time series

Batuhan Koyuncu, Byeungchun Kwon, Marco Lombardi, Fernando Perez-Cruz and Hyun Song Shin

1336: A public-private partnership? Central bank funding and credit supply

Matthieu Chavaz, David Elliott and Win Monroe

1335: Tokenomics and blockchain fragmentation

Hyun Song Shin

1334: Robots, ICT and employment: evidence from advanced and emerging EU countries

Costanza Bosone, Leonardo Gambacorta, Paolo Giudici, Enisse Kharroubi and Ulf Lewrick

1333: Generative AI for surveys on payment apps: AI views on privacy and technology

Koji Takahashi and Joon Suk Park

1332: Dollar funding and housing markets: the role of non-US global banks

Torsten Ehlers, Mathias Hoffmann and Alexander Raabe

1331: Lending to vulnerable households and consumption: evidence from Korea

Jieun Lee and Ilhyock Shim

1330: Passive investors and loan spreads

Konrad Adler, Sebastian Doerr and Sonya Zhu

1329: Adoption and welfare effects of payment innovations: the case of digital wallets in Peru

Arturo Andia, Jose Aurazo and Marcelo Paliza

1328: The perils of narrowing fiscal spaces

Hanno Kase, Leonardo Melosi, Sebastian Rast and Matthias Rottner

1327: A tractable menu cost model with an aggregate markup drift

Ko Munakata

1326: Monetary policy and private equity acquisitions: tracing the links

Fernando Avalos, Boris Hofmann and Jose Maria Serena Garralda

1325: AI adoption, productivity and employment: evidence from European firms

Iñaki Aldasoro, Leonardo Gambacorta, Rozalia Pal, Debora Revoltella, Christoph Weiss and Marcin Wolski

1324: The macro-financial impact of economic policy uncertainty in Latin America

Ana Aguilar, Rafael Guerra, Carola Müller and Alexandre Tombini

1322: Embracing gen AI: a comparison of Italian and US households

David Loschiavo, Olivier Armantier, Antonio Dalla Zuanna, Leonardo Gambacorta, Mirko Moscatelli and Ilaria Supino

1321: Artificial intelligence and growth in advanced and emerging economies: short-run impact

Leonardo Gambacorta, Enisse Kharroubi, Aaron Mehrotra and Tommaso Oliviero

1320: Inflation and the joint bond-FX spanning puzzle

Andreas Schrimpf and Markus Sihvonen

1319: Housing wealth effects in China

Benoit Mojon, Han Qiu, Fang Wang and Michael Weber

1318: Auction-based liquidity saving mechanisms

Rodney Garratt, Morten Linnemann Bech, Marko Nanut Petric and Caner Ates

1317: From listings to all-tenant rents: a probabilistic model

Emanuel Nussli, Rachel Arulraj-Cordonier, Flurina Strasser, Marko Nanut Petrič, Morten Linnemann Bech and Antonio Pipino

1316: Assessing the macroeconomic impacts of the 2025 US tariffs

Hongyan Zhao

1315: The ripple effect: supply chain reconfigurations and cross-border credit dynamics

Ricardo Correa, Andrea Fabiani, Matias Ossandon Busch and Miguel Sarmiento

1314: The economics of water scarcity

Jon Frost, Carlos Madeira and Serafin Martinez-Jaramillo

1313: Macroeconomic effects of carbon-intensive energy price changes: a model comparison

Matthias Burgert, Matthieu Darracq Paries, Luigi Durand, Mario Gonzalez, Romanos Priftis, Oke Röhe, Matthias Rottner, Edgar Silgado-Gómez, Nikolai Stähler and Janos Varga

1312: Generative economic modeling

Hanno Kase, Matthias Rottner and Fabio Stohler

1311: When bricks meet bytes: does tokenisation fill gaps in traditional real estate markets?

Giulio Cornelli

1310: AI agents for cash management in payment systems

Iñaki Aldasoro and Ajit Desai

1309: Making suptech work: evidence on the key drivers of adoption

Leonardo Gambacorta, Nico Lauridsen, Samir Kiuhan-Vásquez and Jermy Prenio

1308: Environmental factors and capital flows to emerging markets

José Aurazo, Rafael Guerra, Pablo Tomasini, Alexandre Tombini and Christian Upper

1307: When is less more? Bank arrangements for liquidity vs central bank support

Viral V Acharya, Raghuram Rajan and Zhi Quan (Bill) Shu

1306: Big techs, credit, and digital money

Markus Brunnermeier and Jonathan Payne

1305: The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions

Fiorella De Fiore, Marco Lombardi and Giacomo Mangiante

1304: The life experience of central bankers and monetary policy decisions: a cross-country dataset

Carlos Madeira

1303: FX debt and optimal exchange rate hedging

Laura Alfaro, Julian Caballero and Bryan Hardy

1302: Consumer preferences for a digital euro: insights from a discrete choice experiment in Austria

Helmut Elsinger, Helmut Stix and Martin Summer

1301: Competing digital monies

Jon Frost, Jean Rochet, Hyun Song Shin and Marianne Verdier