Cambridge Working Papers in Economics

From Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge
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2407: Forecasting epidemic trajectories: Time Series Growth Curves package tsgc

Michael Ashby, Andrew Harvey, Paul Kattuman and Craig Thamotheram

2406: High-Dimensional Forecasting with Known Knowns and Known Unknowns

Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith

2405: Marginal curtailment of wind and solar PV: transmission constraints, pricing and access regimes for efficient investment

David Newbery and Darryl Biggar

2404: Introducing a Global Dataset on Conflict Forecasts and News Topics

Hannes Mueller, Christopher Rauh and Ben Seimon

2403: Do Religious People Cope Better in a Crisis? Evidence from the UK Pandemic Lockdowns

Sriya Iyer, Shaun Larcom, Jaimin Shah and Po-Wen She

2402: Uncovering the Sources of Geographic Market Segmentation: Evidence from the EU and the US

Joris Hoste and Frank Verboven

2401: Experimental Evidence on the Relation Between Network Centrality and Individual Choice

Syngjoo Choi, Sanjeev Goyal, Fulin Guo and Frédéric Moisan

2380: How Latin America Sinks into the Quicksand of Inertia: on getting bogged down between a fading "extractivist" model and more productivity-enhancing alternatives that just can't generate enough credibility -while populism looks for magical solutions

José Gabriel Palma

2379: Multidimensional Social Identities and Choice Behavior: The Pitfalls and Opportunities

Caroline Liqui-Lung

2378: Projections of socioeconomic costs of dementia in China 2020-2050: modelling study

Yanjuan Wu, Yuyang Liu, Yuntao Chen, Yixuan Liu, Sophia Lobanov-Rostovsky, Yuting Zhang, Yuanli Liu, Eric Bunner, Eric French and Jing Liao

2377: Why Do Couples and Singles Save during Retirement? Household Heterogeneity and its Aggregate Implications

Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, John Bailey Jones and Rory McGee

2376: Retirement Policy in a Post-Covid World

Karolos Arapakis, K. and Eric French

2375: The Effect of Disability Insurance Receipt on Mortality

Bernard Black, Eric French, Jeremy McCauley and Jae Song

2374: Intergenerational Altruism and Transfers of Time and Money: A Life Cycle Perspective

Uta Bolt, Eric French, Jamie Hentall MacCuish and Cormac O'Dea

2373: Long-term Care in England

James Banks, Jeremy McCauley and Eric French

2372: Why Do Retired Households Draw Down Their Wealth So Slowly?

Eric French, John Jones and Rory McGee

2371: The Dynamics of Social Identity, Inequality and Redistribution

Christian Ghiglino and Andreas Muller

2370: The Theory of Reserve Accumulation, Revisited

Giancarlo Corsetti and Seung Hyun Maeng

2369: Sticky Prices or Sticky Wages? An Equivalence Result

Florin Bilbiie and Mathias Trabandt

2368: Aggregate-Demand Amplification of Supply Disruptions: The Entry-Exit Multiplier

Florin Bilbiie and Marc Melitz

2367: Kolmogorov-Smirnov Type Testing for Structural Breaks: A New Adjusted-Range Based Self-Normalization Approach

Yongmiao Hong, Oliver Linton, Brendan McCabe, Jiajing Sun and Shouyang Wang

2366: Improving Estimation Efficiency via Regression-Adjustment in Covariate-Adaptive Randomizations with Imperfect Compliance

Liang Jian, Oliver Linton, Haihan Tang and Yichong Zhang

2365: Comparison of policy instruments in the development process of offshore wind power in North Sea countries

Hongyun Zhang and Michael Pollitt

2364: Trimmed Mean Group Estimation of Average Treatment Effects in Ultra Short T Panels under Correlated Heterogeneity

Mohammad Pesaran and Liying Yang

2363: Non-Firm vs. Priority Access: on the Long Run Average and Marginal Cost of Renewables in Australia

Paul Simshauser and David Newbery

2362: On Static vs. Dynamic Line Ratings in Renewable Energy Zones

Paul Simshauser

2361: Estimating the target-consistent carbon price for electricity

David Newbery

2360: Structural Econometric Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number for Covid-19 Across U.S. States and Selected Countries

Ida Johnsson, Mohammad Pesaran and Cynthia Fan Yang

2359: Granular Banking Flows and Exchange-Rate Dynamics

Balduin Bippus, Simon Lloyd and Daniel Ostry

2357: Intervening against the Fed

Alexander Rodnyansky, Yannick Timmer and Naoki Yago

2356: Why Personal Ties (Still) Matter: Referrals and Congestion

Felix Mylius

2355: With a Little Help from My Friend: Political Connections and Allocation of COVID-19 Aid

Irakli Barbakadze

2354: Mr Putin and the Chronicle of a Normalisation Foretold

Jagjit Chadha

2353: High renewable electricity penetration: marginal curtailment and market failure under "subsidy-free" entry

David Newbery

2352: Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs) for Electricity in Europe? The Untold Story

Michael Pollitt

2351: Is Having an Expert "Friend" Enough? An Analysis of Consumer Switching Behavior in Mobile Telephony

Christos Genakos, Costas Roumanias and Tommaso Valletti

2350: Energy Markets Under Stress: Some Reflections on Lessons From the Energy Crisis in Europe

Michael Pollitt

2349: The Incremental Impact of China's Carbon

Mei Lu, Michael Pollitt, Ke Wang and Yi-Ming Wei

2348: Toward an operational definition and a. methodology for measurement of the active DSO (distribution system operator) for electricity and gas

Andrei Covatariu, Daniel Duma, Monica Giulietti and Michael Pollitt

2347: Repeated Innovations and Excessive Spin-Offs

Pierre Mella-Barral and Hamid Sabourian

2346: Supply-Side crediting for accelerated decarbonization: A political economy perspective

Michael A Mehling

2345: Supply-Side Crediting to Manage Climate Policy Spillover Effects

Michael A Mehling

2344: Multi-Objective Auctions for Utility-Scale Solar Battery Systems: Lessons for ASEAN and East Asia

Natsuko Natsuko, Tooraj Jamasb, Luiz Maurer and Anupama Sen

2343: Tails of Foreign Exchange-at-Risk (FEaR)

Daniel Ostry

2342: Heterogeneous Autoregressions in Short T Panel Data Models

Mohammad Pesaran and Liying Yang

2341: The Historical Importance of Growth and Inflation in Reducing High UK Public Debt Ratios

Daniel Brooks and Duncan Needham

2340: The regulation of electricity transmission in Australia's National Electricity Market: user charges, investment and access

Paul Simshauser

2339: Multi-unit auctions with uncertain supply and single-unit demand

Edward Anderson and Pär Holmberg

2338: The Options Value of Blue Hydrogen in a Low Carbon Energy System

David Webbe-Wood, William J. Nuttall, Nikolaos K Kazantzis and Chi Kong Chyong

2337: Industrial cyberespionage in research and development races

Oleh Stupak

2336: The economic value of flexible CCS in net-zero electricity systems: The case of the UK

Chi Kong Chyong, David Reiner, Rebecca Ly and Mathilde Fajardy

2335: Regulation of access, fees, and investment planning of transmission in Great Britain

David Newbery

2334: Renewable investments in hybridised energy markets: optimising the CfD-merchant revenue mix

Nicholas Gohdes, Paul Simshauser and Clevo Wilson

2333: On the Black-White Gaps in Labor Supply and Earnings over the Lifecycle in the US

Christopher Rauh and Arnau Valladares-Esteban

2332: Cointegration without Unit Roots

James Duffy and Jerome Simons

2331: The Impact of Qualitative Reviews on Racial Statistical Discrimination: Evidence from Airbnb

James Morris

2330: Understanding Program Complementarities: Estimating the Dynamic Effects of Head Start with Multiple Alternatives

Marc Chan and Antonio Dalla-Zuanna, A.

2329: The Decline of Routine Tasks, Education Investments, and Intergenerational Mobility

Patrick Bennett, Kai Liu and Kjell G Salvanes

2328: Pulled-in and Crowded-out: Heterogeneous Outcomes of Merit-based School Choice

Antonio Dalla-Zuanna, Kai Liu and Kjell G Salvanes

2327: Health Insurance and Agricultural Investments: Evidence from Rural Thailand

Kai Liu, Benjapon Prommawin and Fred Schroyen

2326: Ricardo was surely right: the abundance of "easy" rents leads to greedy and lazy elites. Rentier-capitalism as an exercise in "non-creative" destruction. A tribute to Geoff Harcourt

José Gabriel Palma

2325: An assessment of the European electricity market reform options and a pragmatic proposal

J P Chaves, R Cossent, T Gómez San Román, P Linares and M Rivier

2324: Status Substitution and Conspicuous Consumption

C. Ghiglino and A. Langtry

2323: When Did Growth Begin? New Estimates of Productivity Growth in England from 1250 to 1870

Paul Bouscasse, Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson

2322: Contract Design for Storage in Hybrid Electricity Markets

Farhad Billimoria and Paul Simshauser

2321: Short and Variable Lags

Gergely Buda, Vasco Carvalho, Giancarlo Corsetti, Joao Duarte, Stephen Hansen, Afonso S. Moura, Alvaro Ortiz, Tomasa Rodrigo, Joao; V. Rodriguez Mora and Guilherme Alves da Silva

2320: Determinants of public preferences on low carbon electricity: Evidence from the United Kingdom

Juyong Lee and David Reiner

2319: Exchange Rates, Tariffs and Prices in 1930s' Britain

Jagjit Chadha, Jason Lennard, Solomos Solomou and Ryland Thomas

2318: Capital Controls and Free-Trade Agreements

Simon Lloyd and Emile Marin

2317: The Role of Pricing Errors in Linear Asset Pricing Models with Strong, Semi-strong, and Latent Factors

Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith

2315: Changing Families: Family Relationships, Parental Decisions and Child Development

Marc Chan and Kai Liu

2314: Corporate Culture and Organizational Fragility

Matthew Elliott, Benjamin Golub and Mathieu V. Leduc

2313: Matching and Information Design in Marketplaces

Matthew Elliott, Andrea Galeotti, Andrew Koh and Wenhao Li

2312: A Capability Approach to Merger Review

Iain Boa, Matthew Elliott and David Foster

2311: Green Transmission: Monetary Policy in the Age of ESG

Alba Patozi

2310: Reflections on "Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels"

Kyung So Im, Mohammad Pesaran and Yongcheol Shin

2307: The 2022 Energy Crisis: horizontal and vertical impacts of policy interventions in Australia's National Electricity Market

Paul Simshauser

2306: Frequency markets and the problem of pre-dictability

Zeenat Hameed, Michael Pollitt, Paul Kat-tuman and Chresten Træholt, C.

2305: The sunshine state: implications from mass rooftop solar PV take-up rates in Queensland

Paul Simshauser, Tim Nelson and Joel Gilmore

2304: Democracy, economic development and low carbon energy: When and why does democratization promote energy transition?

Zeynep Clulow and David Reiner

2303: The Effects of the LIBOR Scandal on Volatility and Liquidity in LIBOR Futures Markets

Kilian Bachmair

2302: Religion, Covid-19 and Mental Health

Girish Bahal, Sriya Iyer, Kishen Shastry and Anand Shrivastava

2301: Air Pollution and Firm-Level Human Capital, Knowledge and Innovation

Tiago Cavalcanti, Kamiar Mohaddes, Hongyu Nian and Haitao Yin

2276: Superstar Teams

Lukas Freund

2275: Inequality and Business Cycles

Florin Bilbiie, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

2274: Optimal Self-Screening and the Persistence of Identity-Driven Choices

Caroline W. Liqui Lung

2273: Estimating Time-Varying Networks for High-Dimensional Time Series

Jia Chen, Degui Li, Yuning Li and Oliver Linton

2272: We do not know the Population of Every Country in the World for the Past Two Thousand Years

Timothy Guinnane

2271: Persistence and Historical Evidence: The Example of the Rise of the Nazi Party

Timothy Guinnane and Philip Hoffman

2270: Beliefs About Maternal Labor Supply

Teodora Boneva, Marta Golin, Katja Kaufmann and Christopher Rauh

2269: The Impact of Fear of Automation

Marta Golin and Christopher Rauh

2268: A City of God: Afterlife Beliefs and Job Support in Brazil

Tiago Cavalcanti, Sriya Iyer, Christopher Rauh, Christian Roerig and Maryam Vaziri

2267: Is Southeast Asia falling into a Latin American style "middle-income trap"?

José Gabriel Palma and Jonathan Pincus

2266: Auditing the Auditors: An evaluation of the REF2021 Output Results

Oliver Linton and Emily Xu

2265: Distributional Effects of Local Minimum Wages: A Spatial Job Search Approach

Petra Todd and Weilong Zhang

2264: Political markets as equity price factors

Tom Auld

2263: Betting and financial markets are cointegrated on election night

Tom Auld

2262: Is Affirmative Action in Employment Still Effective in the 21st Century?

Noriko Amano-Patiño, Julian Aramburu and Zara Contractor

2261: Building Bridges to Peace: A Quantitative Evaluation of Power-Sharing Agreements

Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

2260: Net Zero Saudi Arabia: How Green Can the Oil Kingdom Get?

Jim Krane