Home Price Expectations and Spending: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Felix Chopra, Christopher Roth and Johannes Wohlfart

No 10450, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: We conduct a field experiment with US households to study how expectations about long-run home price growth shape spending decisions. We exogenously vary survey respondents’ expectations by providing different expert forecasts. Homeowners’ spending, measured using rich home-scanner data, is inelastic to home price expectations. By contrast, renters reduce their spending when expecting higher home price growth. These patterns reflect positive endowment effects for owners from higher future wealth and negative income effects for both groups due to higher future housing costs. Our study highlights consequences of asset price growth and long-term expectations about the economy for household behavior.

Keywords: consumption; home prices; expectations; information; homeowner; renter (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C93 D14 D83 D84 G51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-exp and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Home Price Expectations and Spending: Evidence from a Field Experiment (2023)
Working Paper: Home Price Expectations and Spending: Evidence from a Field Experiment (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10450

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