An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic

Jeremy Greenwood, Philipp Kircher, Cezar Santos and Michele Tertilt

No 7205, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: Twelve percent of the Malawian population is HIV infected. Eighteen percent of sexual encounters are casual. A condom is used a third of the time. To analyze the Malawian epidemic, a choice-theoretic general equilibrium search model is constructed. In the developed framework, people select between different sexual practices while knowing the inherent risk. The calibrated model is used to study several policy interventions. The analysis suggests that the efficacy of public policy depends upon the induced behavioral changes and equilibrium effects. The framework thus complements the insights provided by epidemiological studies and small-scale field experiments.

Keywords: ART; circumcision; condoms; disease transmission; epidemiological studies; HIV; AIDS; homo economicus; knowledge about HIV; Malawi; marriage; policy intervention; search; small field experiments; STDs; sex markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I18 J12 O11 O55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-hea
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Related works:
Journal Article: An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic (2019)
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic (2019)
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic (2017)
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic (2013)
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic (2013)
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic (2013)
Working Paper: An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic (2013)
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