Cumulative Climate Shocks and Migratory Flows: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa
Salvatore Di Falco,
Anna B. Kis and
No 9582, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo
We re-examine the effects of negative weather anomalies during the growing season on the decision to migrate in rural households in five sub-Saharan African countries. To this end we combine a multi-country household panel dataset with high-resolution gridded precipitation data. We find that while the effect of recent adverse weather shocks is on average modest, the cumulative effect of a persistent exposure to droughts over several years leads to a significant increase in the probability to migrate. The results show that more frequent adverse shocks can have more significant and long-lasting consequences in challenging economic environments.
Keywords: climate shocks; rural-urban migration; economic development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 O15 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev and nep-env
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_9582
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