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Cumulative Climate Shocks and Migratory Flows: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Salvatore Di Falco, Anna B. Kis and Martina Viarengo

No 9582, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: We re-examine the effects of negative weather anomalies during the growing season on the decision to migrate in rural households in five sub-Saharan African countries. To this end we combine a multi-country household panel dataset with high-resolution gridded precipitation data. We find that while the effect of recent adverse weather shocks is on average modest, the cumulative effect of a persistent exposure to droughts over several years leads to a significant increase in the probability to migrate. The results show that more frequent adverse shocks can have more significant and long-lasting consequences in challenging economic environments.

Keywords: climate shocks; rural-urban migration; economic development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 O15 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev and nep-env
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