Working Papers

From Center for Global Development
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666: How the Media Cover School Violence: Evidence from Five African Countries

David Evans and Kiersten Robertson

665: Estimated Future Mortality from Pathogens of Epidemic and Pandemic Potential

Nita Madhav, Ben Oppenheim, Nicole Stephenson, Rinette Badker, Dean Jamison, Cathine Lam and Amanda Meadows

664: The Future of Natural Resources and Development: Whither Low and Middle-Income Countries?

Augustin Fosu and Dede Gafa

663: The Future of Official Aid Flows

Charles Kenny and Zachary Gehan

662: Is Manufacturing Destiny? On the Dynamics of Future Sectoral Shares and Development

Brian Webster, Charles Kenny and Ranil Dissanayake

661: Preprimary Education and Early Childhood Development: Evidence from Government Schools in Rural Kenya

Pamela Jakiela, Owen Ozier, Lia Fernald and Heather Knauer

660: Climate Change and Government Borrowing Costs: A Triple Whammy for Emerging Market Economies

Benedict Clements, Sanjeev Gupta, Joao Jalles and Bernat Adrogue

659: Unequal Households or Communities? Explaining Nutritional Inequality in South Asia

Caitlin Brown, Eeshani Kandpal, Jean Lee and Anaise Williams

658: When the Data You Have Aren’t the Data You Need: School-Related Violence Data Availability in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

David Evans, Susannah Hares, Gabriela Smarrelli and Dongyi Wu

657: Increasing Disclosure of School-Related Gender-Based Violence: Lessons from a Systematic Review of Data Collection Methods and Existing Survey Research

Clare Tanton, Amiya Bhatia, Jodie Pearlman and Karen Devries

656: Country Transition Projections up to 2040: Gavi, the Global Fund, and the World Bank’s IDA

Adrian Gheorghe and Peter Baker

655: Identifying Macroeconomic Resilience to External Shocks in Emerging and Developing Countries: Lessons from the Global Shocks of 2020-2022

Liliana Rojas-Suarez

654: Loan Recoveries and the Financing of Zombie Firms over the Business Cycle

Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Balint Horvath and Harry Huizinga

653: Public Spending and Inclusive Growth in Developing Asia

Benedict Clements, Sanjeev Gupta and Joao Jalles

652: Macroeconomic Impact of the War in Ukraine and of High Commodity Prices across Countries

Markus Haacker

651: Parent Training and Child Development at Low Cost? Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment in Mexico

Sergio Cárdenas, David Evans and Peter Holland

650: How Much Would Reducing Lead Exposure Improve Children’s Learning in the Developing World?

Lee Crawfurd, Rory Todd, Susannah Hares, Justin Sandefur and Rachel Bonnifield

649: Policies at the End of the Global Value Chain Rainbow: What Has the World Bank Discovered?

Xiaolun Sun and Shahid Yusuf

648: Improving School Management in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review

Gautam Anand, Aishwarya Atluri, Lee Crawfurd, Todd Pugatch and Ketki Sheth

647: Reading Skills Transfer Best from Home Language to a Second Language: Policy Lessons from Two Field Experiments in South Africa

Nompumelelo Mohohlwane, Stephen Taylor, Jacobus Cilliers and Brahm Fleisch

646: A Firm of One’s Own: Experimental Evidence on Credit Constraints and Occupational Choice

Andrew Brudevold-Newman, Maddalena Honorati, Gerald Ipapa, Pamela Jakiela and Owen Ozier

645: Can Redistribution Change Policy Views? Aid and Attitudes toward Refugees in Uganda

Travis Baseler, Thomas Ginn, Robert Hakiza, Helidah Ogude-Chambert and Olivia Woldemikael

644: Effects of Public Sector Wages on Corruption: Wage Inequality Matters

Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Michael Lokshin and Vladimir Kolchin

643: Making Sense of the Shapes: What Do We Know About Literacy Learning in Adulthood?

Jenny Aker, James Berry and Melita Sawyer

642: Corporate Quantitative Easing in Europe during the COVID-19 Crisis and Debt Overhang

Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Balint Horvath and Harry Huizinga

641: Ministerial Turnover and Performance of World Bank Education Projects

Biniam Bedasso

640: The Politics of Transforming Education in Peru: 2007-2020

Barbara Bruns, Ben Ross Schneider and Jaime Saavedra

639: Regulatory Arbitrage and Loan Location Decisions by Multinational Banks

Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Balint Horvath and Harry Huizinga

638: Psychometric Quality of Measures of Learning Outcomes in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

Masha Bertling, Abhijeet Singh and Karthik Muralidharan

637: In-Group Bias in the Indian Judiciary: Evidence from 5 Million Criminal Cases

Elliott Ash, Sam Asher, Aditi Bhowmick, Sandeep Bhupatiraju, Daniel Chen, Tanaya Devi, Christoph Goessmann, Paul Novosad and Bilal Siddiqi

636: Protect Incomes or Protect Jobs? The Role of Social Policies in Post-pandemic Recovery

Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Michael Lokshin and Iván Torre

635: Could Innovation and Productivity Drive Growth in African Countries? Lessons from Korea

Shahid Yusuf

634: Scenarios for Future Global Growth to 2050

Charles Kenny and Zachary Gehan

633: Competition and Firm Recovery Post-COVID-19

Miriam Bruhn, Asli Demirguc-Kunt and Dorothe Singer

632: The Fiscal Effect of Immigration: Reducing Bias in Influential Estimates

Michael Clemens

631: Global Bank Lending under Climate Policy

Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Alvaro Pedraza, Fredy Pulga and Claudia Ruiz-Ortega

630: The Ultimate Resource is Peaking

Charles Kenny

629: The Effect of Low-Skill Immigration Restrictions on US Firms and Workers: Evidence from a Randomized Lottery

Michael Clemens and Ethan Lewis

628: The Effects of Childcare on Women and Children: Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation in Burkina Faso

Kehinde Ajayi, Aziz Dao and Estelle Koussoubé

627: The Rise of Star Firms: Intangible Capital and Competition

Meghana Ayyagari, Asli Demirguc-Kunt and Vojislav Maksimovic

626: Cash Transfers, Trust, and Inter-household Transfers: Experimental Evidence from Tanzania

David Evans and Katrina Kosec

625: Why Do Governments Cut Their Deficits? Lessons for High-Debt Countries in a Post-Pandemic World

Benedict Clements, Sanjeev Gupta, Joao Jalles and Victor Mylonas

624: Should Infrastructure Investors Care About Human Capital?

Charles Kenny and George Yang

623: Exploring the Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Low-Cost Private Schools in Nairobi, Kenya

Olivier Habimana, Francis Kiroro, John Muchira, Aisha Ali, Catherine Asego, Rita Perakis and Moses Ngware

622: Contracting Out Schools at Scale: Evidence from Pakistan

Lee Crawfurd and Abdullah Alam

621: Property Tax Compliance in Tanzania: Can Nudges Help?

Matthew Collin, Vincenzo Di Maro, David Evans and Fredrick Manang

620: Declining Oil Production Leads to More Democratic Governments

Jørgen Andersen, Jonas Hamang and Michael Ross

619: Leveraging Purchasing Systems to Ensure Access, Stewardship, and Innovation: A Landscape Review of Current and Potential Market Structures for Antimicrobials

Anthony McDonnell, Katherine Klemperer, Morgan Pincombe and Javier Guzman

618: Can Digital G2P Transfers Drive Financial Inclusion and Digital Payments? Evidence from India

Alan Gelb, Anit Mukherjee and Brian Webster

617: Technology and Development: An Exploration of the Data

Charles Kenny and George Yang