Working Papers

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588: Are Budget Neutral Income Floors Fiscally Viable in Sub-Saharan Africa?

Nora Lustig, Jon Jellema and Valentina Pabon

587: The Indirect Health Effects of COVID-19: Emerging Findings from Kenya, the Philippines, South Africa, and Uganda

Diana Beatriz Bayan, Carleigh Krubiner, Edwine Barasa, Claire Biribawa, Alexander Broadbent, Lyle Casas, Kalipso Chalkidou, Y-Ling Chi, Herkulaas Combrink, Okethwangu Denis, Mary Kaakyo, Evelyn Kabia, Kadondi Kasera, Jacob Kazungu, Morris Ogero, Stacey Orangi, Anton Paterno, Lydia Regan, Benjamin Smart, Piet Streicher, Justin Tan, Nazarius Tumwesigye, Valerie Ulep, Jhanna Uy, Vanessa Van and Damian Walker

586: The Unfolding of Women’s Economic Empowerment Outcomes: Time Path of Impacts in an Indonesia Trial

Mayra Buvinic, James Knowles and Firman Witoelar

585: Texts Don’t Nudge: An Adaptive Trial to Prevent the Spread of COVID-19 in India

Girija Bahety, Sebastian Bauhoff, Dev Patel and James Potter

584: Can Africa Help Europe Avoid Its Looming Aging Crisis?

Charles Kenny and George Yang

583: The Insurance Cascade Framework to Diagnose Bottlenecks and Improve the Effectiveness of Health Insurance Programs: An Application to India

Sebastian Bauhoff and Nikkil Sudharsanan

582: Win-Win? The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and its Impacts on the Pakistani Economy

David Landry

581: Do High-Stakes Exams Promote Consistent Educational Standards?

Jack Rossiter, Might Abreh, Aisha Ali and Justin Sandefur

580: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Social Health Insurance Claims for High-Burden Diseases in the Philippines

Valerie Gilbert Ulep, Anton Paterno, Jhanna Uy, Vanessa Van, Lyle Casas and Justin Tan

579: Should Governments and Donors Prioritize Investments in Foundational Literacy and Numeracy?

David Evans and Susannah Hares

578: Management, Supervision, and Healthcare: A Field Experiment

Felipe Dunsch, David Evans, Ezinne Eze-Ajoku and Mario Macis

577: Addressing the COVID-19 Crisis’s Indirect Health Impacts for Women and Girls

Carleigh Krubiner, Megan O’Donnell, Julia Kaufman and Shelby Bourgault

576: The Gendered Dimensions of Social Protection in the COVID-19 Context

Megan O’Donnell, Mayra Buvinic, Shelby Bourgault and Brian Webster

570: Assessing the Indirect Health Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Kenya

Edwine Barasa, Jacob Kazungu, Stacey Orangi, Evelyn Kabia, Morris Ogero and Kadondi Kasera

569: Health Systems Impact of COVID-19 in the Philippines

Diana Beatriz Bayani and Soon Tan

568: More Problems More Money? Does China Lend More to African Countries with Higher Credit Risk Levels?

David Landry and Gailyn Portelance

567: Can COVID-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?

Sanjeev Gupta and Joao Jalles

566: The New Era of Unconditional Convergence

Dev Patel, Justin Sandefur and Arvind Subramanian

565: Towards Improved and More Transparent Ethics in Randomised Controlled Trials in Development Social Science

David Evans

564: We Should Be Spending More of Available Aid in Poorer Countries, Not Less

Charles Kenny

563: The Educational Impacts of Cash Transfers in Tanzania

David Evans, Charles Gale and Katrina Kosec

562: Measuring the Development Impact of the IFC and Development Finance

Charles Kenny and George Yang

561: Malaria Case Management After the Affordable Medicines Facility for Malaria (AMFm): Availability, Quality, and Market Share for ACTs in Kenya’s Private Pharmacies

Daniel Rose, Jessica Vernon, Rachel Silverman, Elizabeth Juma, Maria Dieci and Prashant Yadav

560: Global Mobility and the Threat of Pandemics: Evidence from Three Centuries

Michael Clemens and Thomas Ginn

559: Big Sisters

Pamela Jakiela, Owen Ozier, Lia Fernald and Heather Knauer

558: How to Improve Education Outcomes Most Efficiently? A Comparison of 150 Interventions Using the New Learning-Adjusted Years of Schooling Metric

Noam Angrist, David Evans, Deon Filmer, Rachel Glennerster, Frederic Rogers and Shwetlena Sabarwal

557: Women’s Economic Empowerment in West Africa: Towards a Practical Research Agenda

Mayra Buvinic, Megan O’Donnell and Shelby Bourgault

556: The Impact of COVID-19 Lockdowns and Expanded Social Assistance on Inequality, Poverty and Mobility in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia and Mexico

Nora Lustig, Valentina Pabon, Federico Sanz and Stephen Younger

555: The Macroeconomics of Pandemics around the World: Lives versus Livelihoods Revisited

Ingvild Almås, Tessa Bold, Tillmann von Carnap, Selene Ghisolfi and Justin Sandefur

554: Is the World Bank’s COVID Crisis Lending Big Enough, Fast Enough? New Evidence on Loan Disbursements

Julian Duggan, Scott Morris, Justin Sandefur and George Yang

553: New DAC Rules on Debt Relief – A Poor Measure of Donor Effort

Euan Ritchie

552: An Analysis of Clinical Knowledge, Absenteeism, and Availability of Resources for Maternal and Child Health: A Cross-Sectional Quality of Care Study in 10 African Countries

Laura Di Giorgio, David Evans, Magnus Lindelow, Son Nguyen, Jakob Svensson, Waly Wane and Anna Tärneberg

551: Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception

Grant Miller, Aureo de Paula and Christine Valente

550: A Rosetta Stone for Human Capital

Dev Patel and Justin Sandefur

549: The Impact of COVID-19 on Small and Medium-sized Enterprises: Evidence from Two-wave Phone Surveys in China

Ruochen Dai, Hao Feng, Junpeng Hu, Quan Jin, Huiwen Li, Ranran Wang, Ruixin Wang, Lihe Xu and Xiaobo Zhang

548: Deliberative Democracy and the Resource Curse: A Nationwide Experiment in Tanzania

Justin Sandefur, Nancy Birdsall, James Fishkin and Mujobu Moyo

547: The Impact of Taxes and Transfers on Income Inequality, Poverty, and the Urban-Rural and Regional Income Gaps in China

Nora Lustig and Yang Wang

546: Teacher Labor Markets in Developing Countries

Lee Crawfurd and Todd Pugatch

545: How Big Are Effect Sizes in International Education Studies?

David Evans and Fei Yuan

544: Contact and Commitment to Development: Evidence from Quasi-random Missionary Assignments

Lee Crawfurd

543: Social Protection Amidst Social Upheaval: Examining the Impact of a Multi-Faceted Program for Ultra-Poor Households in Yemen

Lasse Brune, Dean Karlan, Sikandra Kurdi and Christopher Udry

542: Education in Africa: What Are We Learning?

David Evans and Amina Acosta

541: Why Do Governments Tax or Subsidize Fossil Fuels?

Paasha Mahdavi, Cesar Martinez-Alvarez and Michael Ross

540: The Emigration Life Cycle: How Development Shapes Emigration from Poor Countries

Michael Clemens

539: Migration from Developing Countries: Selection, Income Elasticity, and Simpson’s Paradox

Michael Clemens and Mariapia Mendola

538: Are Teachers in Africa Poorly Paid? Evidence from 15 Countries

David Evans, Fei Yuan and Deon Filmer

537: Growth with Adjectives: Global Poverty and Inequality after the Pandemic

Christopher Hoy and Andy Sumner

535: Predicted COVID-19 Fatality Rates Based on Age, Sex, Comorbidities, and Health System Capacity

Selene Ghisolfi, Ingvild Almås, Justin Sandefur, Tillmann von Carnap, Jesse Heitner and Tessa Bold

534: Practical Lessons for Phone-Based Assessments of Learning

Noam Angrist, Peter Bergman, David Evans, Susannah Hares, Matthew Jukes and Thato Letsomo

533: The IMF’s Growth Forecasts for Poor Countries Don’t Match Its COVID Narrative

Justin Sandefur and Arvind Subramanian