Colombian Conflict: Uribe's First 17 Months

Michael Spagat and Jorge Restrepo

No 2147, Investigación Económica en Colombia from Fundación Pondo

Abstract: Analysis of our new, 16-year dataset on the Colombian civil war finds under Uribe: guerrilla and paramilitary attacks dropping sharply to long-run averages since 1988, lower for April- December, 2003; government-guerrilla clashes at all-time highs, exceeding guerrilla attacks; civilian killings dropping sharply and continuously to all-time lows, mainly from decreased paramilitary attacks; combatant killings rising sharply to all-time highs; guerrilla tactics shifting toward indiscriminate attacking, forcing civilian injuries to long-run highs; government-toguerrilla casualty ratios in clashes falling; governmentparamilitary clashes increasing but still uncommon; paramilitary performance in clashes poor and worsening; guerrillaparamilitary clashes dropping sharply; the ELN seriously weakened, mounting few attacks.

Pages: 31
Date: 2004-04-30
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http://www.webpondo.org/files_abr_jun_2004/colombianconflicturibe.pdf

Related works:
Working Paper: The Colombian Conflict: Uribe's First 17 Months (2004)
Working Paper: The Colombian Conflict: Uribe’s First 17 Months (2004)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:col:000100:002147

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