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Promises and Expectations

Florian Ederer and Alexander Stremitzer
Additional contact information
Alexander Stremitzer: UCLA School of Law

No 1931R, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers from Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University

Abstract: We investigate why people keep their promises in the absence of external enforcement mechanisms and reputational effects. In a controlled laboratory experiment we show that exogenous variation of second-order expectations (promisors� expectations about promisees� expectations) leads to a significant change in promisor behavior. We provide evidence that a promisor�s aversion to disappointing a promisee�s expectation leads her to behave more generously. We propose and estimate a simple model of conditional guilt aversion that is supported by our results and nests the findings of previous contributions as special cases.

Keywords: Promises; Expectations; Beliefs; Contracts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A13 C72 C91 D03 D64 K12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37 pages
Date: 2013-12, Revised 2017-10
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (47)

Published in Games and Economic Behavior (November 2017)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Promises and expectations (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: Promises and Expectations (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: Promises and Expectations (2014) Downloads
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