The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update

Ray Fair ()

No 831, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers from Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University

Abstract: In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States that seems to have a remarkable predictive ability. The purpose of this paper is to update this equation through the 1984 election and then use it to predict the 1988 election.

Keywords: Presidential election; votes; inflation; gross national product growth; unemployment; politics; political business cycle; president (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 14 pages
Date: 1987-04
Note: CFP 735.
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Published in Political Behavior (1988), 10(2): 168-179

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Working Paper: The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update (1987)
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