Energy Transition Metals
Lukas Boer,
Andrea Pescatori and
Martin Stuermer
No 1976, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
Abstract:
The energy transition requires substantial amounts of metals such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium. Are these metals a key bottleneck? We identify metal-specific demand shocks, estimate supply elasticities and pin down the price impact of the energy transition in a structural scenario analysis. Metal prices would reach historical peaks for an unprecedented, sustained period in a net-zero emissions scenario. The total value of metals production would rise more than four-fold for the period 2021 to 2040, rivaling the total value of crude oil production. Metals are a potentially important input into integrated assessments models of climate change.
Keywords: Conditional forecasts; structural vector autoregression; structural scenario analysis; energy transition; metals; fossil fuels; prices; climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C53 Q3 Q4 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 42 p.
Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-env and nep-his
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)
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Working Paper: Energy Transition Metals (2021) 
Working Paper: Energy Transition Metals (2021) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1976
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