Modest policy interventions

Eric Leeper and Tao Zha

No 99-22, FRB Atlanta Working Paper from Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Abstract: This paper brings together identification and forecasting in a positive econometric analysis of policy. We contend that a broad range of important policy questions is consistent with the existing policy process and is not subject to Lucas's critique. We analyze the economics of \"business as usual\" and show that modest policy interventions, whose effects can be projected even if expectations are modeled as depending solely on past policy, can address routine questions like those raised at regular policy meetings. And modest interventions matter: they can shift the projected paths and probability distributions of macro variables in economically meaningful ways.

Keywords: Monetary policy; Forecasting; Vector autoregression; Econometrics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (24)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.frbatlanta.org/-/media/documents/resea ... s/wp/2003/wp0324.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Modest policy interventions (2003)
Working Paper: Modest policy interventions (2003)
Working Paper: Modest policy interventions (2002)
Working Paper: Modest Policy Interventions (2002)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedawp:99-22

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in FRB Atlanta Working Paper from Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Rob Sarwark ().