Globalization Institute Working Papers

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230: Do bank loans and local amenities explain Chinese urban house prices?

Daisy Huang, Charles Leung and Baozhi Qu

229: Real exchange rate forecasting and ppp: this time the random walk loses

Michele Ca' Zorzi, Jakub Mućk and Michał Rubaszek

228: Monitoring the world business cycle

Maximo Camacho and Jaime Martinez-Martin

227: Bank and sovereign risk feedback loops

Aitor Erce

226: The asymmetric effects of deflation on consumption spending: evidence from the Great Depression

Jonathan Davis

225: The global component of local inflation: revisiting the empirical content of the global slack hypothesis with Bayesian methods

Enrique Martínez García

224: Pegging the exchange rate to gain monetary policy credibility

Jonathan Davis and Ippei Fujiwara

223: Long-run effects in large heterogenous panel data models with cross-sectionally correlated errors

Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mohammad Pesaran and Mehdi Raissi

222: Trilemma, not dilemma: financial globalisation and Monetary policy effectiveness

Georgios Georgiadis and Arnaud Mehl

221: Housing demands, savings gluts and current account dynamics

Pedro Gete

220: Japan’s financial crises and lost decades

Naohisa Hirakata, Nao Sudo, Ikuo Takei and Kozo Ueda

219: The role of two frictions in geographic price dispersion: when market friction meets nominal rigidity

Chi-Young Choi and Horag Choi

218: Aging and deflation from a fiscal perspective

Mitsuru Katagiri, Hideki Konishi and Kozo Ueda

217: Trends and cycles in small open economies: making the case for a general equilibrium approach

Kan Chen and Mario Crucini

216: Noisy information, distance and law of one price dynamics across US cities

Mario Crucini, Mototsugu Shintani and Takayuki Tsuruga

215: Geographic barriers to commodity price integration: evidence from US cities and Swedish towns, 1732-1860

Mario Crucini and Gregor Smith

214: The macroeconomic effects of debt- and equity-based capital inflows

Jonathan Davis

213: A multi-country approach to forecasting output growth using PMIs

Alexander Chudik, Valerie Grossman and Mohammad Pesaran

212: Exchange rates dynamics with long-run risk and recursive preferences

Robert Kollmann

211: Hot money and quantitative easing: the spillover effect of U.S. monetary policy on Chinese housing, equity and loan markets

Steven Ho, Ji Zhang and Hao Zhou

210: The Federal Reserve engages the world (1970-2000): an insider's narrative of the transition to managed floating and financial turbulence

Edwin Truman

209: Unprecedented actions: the Federal Reserve’s response to the global financial crisis in historical perspective

Frederic Mishkin and Eugene White

208: No price like home: global house prices, 1870-2012

Katharina Knoll, Moritz Schularick and Thomas Steger

207: Can interest rate factors explain exchange rate fluctuations?

Julieta Yung

206: Federal Reserve policy and Bretton Woods

Michael Bordo and Owen Humpage

205: Navigating constraints: the evolution of Federal Reserve monetary policy, 1935-59

Mark Carlson and David Wheelock

204: The international monetary and financial system: a capital account historical perspective

Claudio Borio, Harold James and Hyun Song Shin

203: The international monetary and financial system: its Achilles heel and what to do about it

Claudio Borio

202: A threshold model of the US current account

Roberto Duncan

201: Stability or upheaval? The currency composition of international reserves in the long run

Barry Eichengreen, Livia Chitu and Arnaud Mehl

200: The Federal Reserve in a globalized world economy

John Taylor

199: Intra-safe haven currency behavior during the global financial crisis

Rasmus Fatum and Yohei Yamamoto

198: Exchange rate flexibility under the zero lower bound

David Cook and Michael Devereux

197: International financial integration and crisis contagion

Michael Devereux and Changhua Yu

196: Real exchange rates and sectoral productivity in the Eurozone

Martin Berka, Michael Devereux and Charles Engel

195: Doctrinal determinants, domestic and international of Federal Reserve policy, 1914-1933

Barry Eichengreen

194: Working less and bargain hunting more: macro implications of sales during Japan's lost decades

Nao Sudo, Kozo Ueda, Kota Watanabe and Tsutomu Watanabe

193: What drives housing dynamics in China? a sign restrictions VAR approach

Timothy Yang Bian and Pedro Gete

192: Trade partner diversification and growth: how trade links matter

Ali Onder and Hakan Yilmazkuday

191: Benefits of foreign ownership: evidence from foreign direct investment in china

Jian Wang and Xiao Wang

190: Technical note on \"assessing Bayesian model comparison in small samples\"

Enrique Martínez García and Mark Wynne

189: Assessing Bayesian model comparison in small samples

Enrique Martínez García and Mark Wynne

188: The redistributional consequences of tax reform under financial integration

Ayşe Kabukçuoğlu Dur

187: Pricing-to-market and optimal interest rate policy

Dudley Cooke

186: The domestic segment of global supply chains in China under state capitalism

Heiwai Tang, Fei Wang and Zhi Wang

185: Learning to export from neighbors

Ana Fernandes and Heiwai Tang

184: Bank crises and sovereign defaults in emerging markets: exploring the links

Irina Balteanu and Aitor Erce

183: Capital goods trade and economic development

Piyusha Mutreja, B Ravikumar and Michael Sposi

182: Very long-run discount rates

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori and Johannes Stroebel

181: International capital flows and the boom-bust cycle in Spain

Jan in't Veld, Robert Kollmann, Beatrice Pataracchia, Marco Ratto and Werner Roeger