Globalization Institute Working Papers

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280: Exposure to international crises: trade vs. financial contagion

Everett Grant

279: Trends and cycles in small open economies: making the case for a general equilibrium approach

Kan Chen and Mario Crucini

278: On what states do prices depend? answers from ecuador

Craig Benedict, Mario Crucini and Anthony Landry

277: Oil prices and the global economy: is it different this time around?

Kamiar Mohaddes and Mohammad Pesaran

276: Is the Renminbi a safe haven?

Rasmus Fatum, Yohei Yamamoto and Guozhong Zhu

275: Breaking down world trade elasticities: a panel ECM approach

Jaime Martinez-Martin

274: The market resources method for solving dynamic optimization problems

Ayşe Kabukçuoğlu Dur and Enrique Martínez García

273: Banking crises, external crises and gross capital flows

Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton

272: Optimal monetary policy in open economies revisited

Ippei Fujiwara and Jiao Wang

271: The deep historical roots of macroeconomic volatility

Charles Leung and Sam Hak Kan Tang

270: China’s slowdown and global financial market volatility: is world growth losing out?

Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi

269: The post-crisis slump in the Euro Area and the US: evidence from an estimated three-region DSGE model

Robert Kollmann, Beatrice Pataracchia, Rafal Raciborski, Marco Ratto, Werner Roeger and Lukas Vogel

268: Big data analytics: a new perspective

Alexander Chudik, George Kapetanios and Mohammad Pesaran

267: Economic fundamentals and monetary policy autonomy

Jonathan Davis

266: Wages and human capital in finance: international evidence, 1970-2005

Hamid Boustanifar, Everett Grant and Ariell Reshef

265: Endogenous firm competition and the cyclicality of markups

Hassan Afrouzi

264: The implications of liquidity expansion in China for the US dollar

Wensheng Kang, Ronald Ratti and Joaquin Vespignani

263: The U.S. oil supply revolution and the global economy

Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi

262: Quantitative assessment of the role of incomplete asset markets on the dynamics of the real exchange rate

Enrique Martínez García

261: Inflation as a global phenomenon - some implications for policy analysis and forecasting

Ayşe Kabukçuoğlu Dur and Enrique Martínez García

260: Optimal monetary and fiscal policy at the zero lower bound in a small open economy

Saroj Bhattarai and Konstantin Egorov

259: Lottery-related anomalies: the role of reference-dependent preferences

Li An, Huijun Wang, Jian Wang and Jianfeng Yu

258: Risk sharing in a world economy with uncertainty shocks

Robert Kollmann

257: Beggar thy neighbor or beggar thy domestic firms? evidence from 2000-2011 Chinese customs data

Rasmus Fatum, Runjuan Liu, Jiadong Tong and Jiayun Xu

256: To bi, or not to bi? differences in spillover estimates from bilateral and multilateral multi-country models

Georgios Georgiadis

255: Effects of US quantitative easing on emerging market economies

Saroj Bhattarai, Arpita Chatterjee and Woong Yong Park

254: Catalytic IMF? a gross flows approach

Aitor Erce and Daniel Riera-Crichton

253: Does the US current account show a symmetric behavior over the business cycle?

Roberto Duncan

252: Simple models to understand and teach business cycle macroeconomics for emerging market and developing economies

Roberto Duncan

251: Markups and misallocation with trade and heterogeneous firms

Ariel Weinberger

250: How false beliefs about exchange rate systems threaten global growth and the existence of the Eurozone

William R. White

249: The impact of oil price shocks on the U.S. stock market: a note on the roles of U.S. and non-U.S. oil production

Wensheng Kang, Ronald Ratti and Joaquin Vespignani

248: Multinational firms' entry and productivity: some aggregate implications of firm-level heterogeneity

Silvio Contessi

247: The cyclicality of (bilateral) capital inflows and outflows

Jonathan Davis

246: Testing for a housing bubble at the national and regional level: the case of Israel

Itamar Caspi

245: Is there a debt-threshold effect on output growth?

Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mohammad Pesaran and Mehdi Raissi

244: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity

Francesco Ravazzolo and Joaquin Vespignani

243: On the sustainability of exchange rate target zones with central parity realignments

Enrique Martínez García

242: Country-specific oil supply shocks and the global economy: a counterfactual analysis

Kamiar Mohaddes and Mohammad Pesaran

241: What drives the global interest rate

Ronald Ratti and Joaquin Vespignani

240: Monetary policy expectations and economic fluctuations at the zero lower bound

Rachel Doehr and Enrique Martínez García

239: Fair weather or foul? the macroeconomic effects of El Niño

Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi

238: Private news and monetary policy forward guidance or (the expected virtue of ignorance)

Ippei Fujiwara and Yuichiro Waki

237: Financal frictions and policy cooperation: a case with monopolistic banking and staggered loan contracts

Ippei Fujiwara and Yuki Teranishi

236: Cross-border resolution of global banks

Ester Faia and Beatrice Weder di Mauro

235: Forecasting local inflation in Open Economies: What Can a NOEM Model Do?

Roberto Duncan and Enrique Martínez García

234: Sustainable international monetary policy cooperation

Ippei Fujiwara, Timothy Kam and Takeki Sunakawa

233: Policy regime change against chronic deflation? Policy option under a long-term liquidity trap

Ippei Fujiwara, Yoshiyuki Nakazono and Kozo Ueda

232: Global financial market impact of the announcement of the ECB's extended asset purchase programme

Georgios Georgiadis and Johannes Gräb

231: Evolving comparative advantage, sectoral linkages, and structural change

Michael Sposi