FEDS Notes

From Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
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2022-07-29: What does the Beveridge curve tell us about the likelihood of a soft landing?

Andrew Figura and Christopher Waller

2022-07-15-3: An Analysis of the Interest Rate Risk of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet, Part 2: Projections under Alternative Interest Rate Paths

Alyssa G. Anderson, Philippa Marks, Dave Na, Bernd Schlusche and Zeynep Senyuz

2022-07-15-2: An Analysis of the Interest Rate Risk of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet, Part 1: Background and Historical Perspective

Alyssa G. Anderson, Dave Na, Bernd Schlusche and Zeynep Senyuz

2022-07-15-1: Fiscal policy and excess inflation during Covid-19: a cross-country view

François de Soyres, Ana Maria Santacreu and Henry L. Young

2022-07-14-2: Fit-for-Purpose Payment System Interoperability: A Framework

Jorge Herrada and Angela Lawson

2022-07-14-1: Young Borrowers' Usage of Cosigned Credit Cards and Long Run Outcomes

Hannah Case

2022-07-13: Decomposing Changes in Higher Education Return on Investment Over Time

Douglas Webber

2022-07-12: Monetary Policy, Inflation Outlook, and Recession Probabilities

Andrea Ajello, Luca Benzoni, Makena Schwinn, Yannick Timmer and Francisco Vazquez-Grande

2022-07-08: Declining Affordability and Home Purchase Borrowing by Lower Income Households

Daniel R. Ringo

2022-07-07: Income Declines During COVID-19

Jeff Larrimore, Jacob Mortenson and David Splinter

2022-07-05-2: Unemployment Insurance in Survey and Administrative Data

Jeff Larrimore, Jacob Mortenson and David Splinter

2022-07-05-1: The Fed’s Inaugural Conference on the International Roles of the U.S. Dollar

Ricardo Correa, Linda Goldberg, Robert Lerman and Bo Sun

2022-07-01-2: An Approach to Quantifying Operational Resilience Concepts

Chase Englund and Carlos Sosa

2022-07-01-1: Economic Resilience in the COVID-19 Pandemic

Emily Highkin and Eva Van Leemput

2022-06-30: Survey Responses Indicating Improved Perceptions of Discount Window Usage Align with Observed Borrowing Behavior

Abigail M. Roberts

2022-06-24: Bottlenecks, Shortages, and Soaring Prices in the U.S. Economy

Deepa Datta, Laura Feiveson, Ekaterina V. Peneva and Gisela Rua

2022-06-21-2: How Effective Were National, State, and Local Eviction Moratoria?

Adithya Raajkumar

2022-06-21-1: Financial and Macroeconomic Indicators of Recession Risk

Michael Kiley

2022-06-17-2: Interest Rates Expectations and Flow Dynamics in High Yield Corporate Debt Mutual funds

Ayelen Banegas and Christopher Finch

2022-06-17-1: The post-COVID stock listing boom

Christine L. Dobridge, Rebecca John and Berardino Palazzo

2022-06-03-2: Substitutability between Balance Sheet Reductions and Policy Rate Hikes: Some Illustrations and a Discussion

Edmund Crawley, Etienne Gagnon, James Hebden and James Trevino

2022-06-03-1: Understanding Bank Deposit Growth during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Andrew Castro, Michele Cavallo and Rebecca Zarutskie

2022-06-02: Runs on Algorithmic Stablecoins: Evidence from Iron, Titan, and Steel

Austin Adams and Markus F. Ibert

2022-06-01: Economic Restrictions during the COVID-19 Pandemic and Measures of Small Business Health

Timothy E. Dore and Traci L. Mach

2022-05-27-2: The Effect of the War in Ukraine on Global Activity and Inflation

Dario Caldara, Sarah Conlisk, Matteo Iacoviello and Maddie Penn

2022-05-27-1: A Note on the Expected Expiration of Federal Student Loan Forbearance

Hannah Case, Simona Hannon and Alvaro Mezza

2022-05-20: International Trade and Gender Gaps in College Enrollment

Sarah Conlisk, Gaston Navarro, Maddie Penn and Ricardo Reyes-Heroles

2022-05-12: Implications of Cyber Risk for Financial Stability

Danny Brando, Antonis Kotidis, Anna Kovner, Michael Lee and Stacey Schreft

2022-05-06-2: Business entry and exit in the COVID-19 pandemic: A preliminary look at official data

Ryan Decker and John Haltiwanger

2022-05-06-1: The Remarkable Recent Rebound in Household Formation and the Prospects for Future Housing Demand

Daniel Garcia and Andrew D. Paciorek

2022-04-19: Investor Base and Prime Money Market Fund Behavior

Lucas Epstein and Lei Li

2022-04-08: Anchored or Not: A Short Summary of a Bayesian Approach to the Persistence of Inflation

Michael Kiley

2022-03-31: Is Trend Inflation at Risk of Becoming Unanchored? The Role of Inflation Expectations

Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, David Lopez-Salido and Francesca Loria

2022-03-25: (Don't Fear) The Yield Curve, Reprise

Eric Engstrom and Steven Sharpe

2022-03-18: Testing Bank Resiliency Through Time

Sergio Correia, Matthew P. Seay and Cindy M. Vojtech

2022-02-22: Drivers of Bank Supply of Business Loans

Andrew Castro, David Glancy and Felicia Ionescu

2022-02-18-3: What Happens When Banks Tighten C&I Loan Supply?

Andrew Castro, David Glancy, Felicia Ionescu and Greg Marchal

2022-02-18-2: Estimating U.S. Cross-Border Securities Flows: Ten Years of the TIC SLT

Carol C. Bertaut and Ruth A. Judson

2022-02-18-1: Global Real Economic Uncertainty and COVID-19

Ranie Lin, Juan M. Londono and Sai Ma

2022-02-11: Delinquency Rates and the "Missing Originations" in the Auto Loan Market

Vitaly M. Bord and Lucas Nathe

2022-02-04: A Lawyer's Perspective on U.S. Payment System Evolution and Money in the Digital Age

Jess Cheng and Joseph Torregrossa

2022-02-03-3: Using Distributed Ledger Technology for Payment Directories

Peter Lone, Kumar Nagarajan, Trish Supples and Paul Wong

2022-02-03-2: How global risk perceptions affect economic growth

Jon Danielsson, Marcela Valenzuela and Ilknur Zer

2022-02-03-1: Security Considerations for a Central Bank Digital Currency

Katya Delak and Tarik Hansen

2022-01-28: Foreign Demand for U.S. Treasury Securities during the Pandemic

Colin Weiss

2021-12-17: Bank Branches and COVID-19: Where are Banks Closing Branches during the Pandemic?

Kimberly Kreiss

2021-12-03-3: Why Did Credit Card Balances Decline so Much during the COVID-19 Pandemic?

Robert M. Adams, Vitaly M. Bord and Bradley Katcher

2021-12-03-2: Effects of Supply Chain Bottlenecks on Prices using Textual Analysis

Flora Haberkorn, Anderson Monken, Eva Van Leemput and Henry L. Young

2021-12-03-1: New Accounting Framework Faces Its First Test: CECL During the Pandemic

Bert Loudis, Sasha Pechenik, Ben Ranish, Cindy M. Vojtech and Helen Xu

2021-11-26-2: The Ability to Work Remotely: Measures and Implications

Kathryn Langemeier and Maria D. Tito