FEDS Notes

From Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
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2014-02-19: A Few Thoughts on the Recent Deceleration of Student Loan Debt

Simona Hannon and Alvaro Mezza

2014-01-31-2: How Does Earnings Risk for Americans Change During Recessions?

Serdar Ozkan

2014-01-31-1: Measuring Agency MBS Market Liquidity with Transaction Data

Sean D. Campbell, Jay Im and Canlin Li

2014-01-06: The Rise in Equity Valuation Ratios

Missaka Warusawitharana

2013-12-05: Business Investor Activity in the Single-Family-Housing Market

Raven S. Molloy and Rebecca Zarutskie

2013-10-16: Dealer Balance Sheet Capacity and Market Liquidity during the 2013 Selloff in Fixed Income Markets

Tobias Adrian, Michael Fleming, Jonathan Goldberg, Morgan Lewis, Fabio M. Natalucci and Jason Wu

2013-09-26-3: Why Have Americans' Income Expectations Declined So Sharply?

Claudia Sahm

2013-09-26-2: Do CFOs Think Investment is Sensitive to Interest Rules?

Steven Sharpe and Gustavo Suarez

2013-09-26-1: Looking for Shortages of Skilled Labor in the Manufacturing Sector

Norman J. Morin and Jessica C. Stahl

103467: A News-Based Approach to Measuring Shortages and Their Effects on the Global Economy

Dario Caldara and Matteo Iacoviello

103451: Recent Developments in Foreign Direct Investment into the U.S

Cody Kallen

103450: Retail Sweep Behavior Since the Elimination of Reserve Requirements

Mary-Frances Styczynski

103449: Decomposing Hedge Funds' U.S. Treasury Exposures

Phillip J. Monin

103398: Mortgage Servicing Right Valuations Under Stress

Ronel Elul, Karen Pence, Ben Ranish and Michael Suher

103397: Mexico in U.S. Supply Chains: Lessons from 2018-19 Tariffs

Maria Aristizabal-Ramirez, Chris A. Avalos, Emma Rosenbaum and Eva Van Leemput

103396: “Buy Now, Pay Later” Beyond “Pay in 4”, A Comprehensive Product Overview

Nina R. Acree, Kayleigh Barnes, Alexander Bruce and Simona Hannon

103377: How U.S. Bank Stock Prices Respond to Geopolitical Risk

Friederike Niepmann, Leslie Sheng Shen and Joshua Walker

103335: Measurement of “Computer Software and Accessories” Inflation

Alessandro Barbarino, Anthony M. Diercks and Stephen I. Miran

103334: Federal Reserve Discount Rate Press Releases in the 1960s and 1970s through the Lens of Monetary Policy Communications

Mark Carlson, Daben Chen and Benjamin K. Johannsen

103333: China shock 2.0: How China’s ongoing export surge differs from the early 2000s

François de Soyres, Ece Fisgin, Ana Maria Santacreu, Eva Van Leemput and Kevin Vega

103332: The CSLT: Unifying U.S. Cross-Border Securities Holdings and Transactions Data

Laura DeMane, Angela Garcia, Josie Gillette, Tanya Grover, Henry Haw, Hudson Hinshaw, Nyssa Kim, Andrew Loucky and Andrew McCallum

103331: Population Growth and Labor Market Fragility: Lessons from Domestic and International Experiences

François de Soyres, Johannes Fleck, William Peterman, Avani Pradhan and David Ratner

103240: Trade Finance Activities of U.S. Banks: What the Data Can Tell Us

Friederike Niepmann and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr

103239: Measuring Renters in Credit Data: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data

Anna Tranfaglia and Erin Troland

103238: Measuring Mutual Fund Liquidity with N-PORT

Ty Kawamura, Erik Larsson and Chaehee Shin

103237: Subprime Auto Lending: Trends in Buy Here Pay Here Auto Lending

Olena Chyruk, David Cox, Lily Liu, James Z. Wang and Stephen Zoulalian

103236: Investor Composition of Money Market Funds and Its Implications for Flow Dynamics

Yi Li, Nick Panetta and Weston Watts

103193: Banks in the Age of Stablecoins: Lessons from Their Historical Responses to Financial Innovations

Samuel J. Hempel, Jp Perez-Sangimino and Jessie Wang

103192: Monitoring High Credit Growth: The Link Between Local Deposits and CRE Lending

Dulce Lopez Cruz, Teodora Paligorova and Toshihide Yorozu

103191: Wage and Income Growth Expectations Before, During, and After the Pandemic Period

Corinne Salter and Daniel Villar Vallenas

103074: Labor force growth, breakeven employment, and potential GDP growth

Seth Murray and Ivan Vidangos

103073: Monitoring AI Adoption in the U.S. Economy

Jeffrey S. Allen

103072: Stablecoins in 2025: Developments and Financial Stability Implications

Francesca Carapella, Arazi Lubis and Alexandros Vardoulakis

103071: Detecting Tariff Effects on Consumer Prices in Real Time – Part II

Robert Minton, Madeleine Ray and Mariano A. Somale

103070: Mind the Gap: Announced versus Implied Tariff Rates in Recent Trade Policy Episodes

Sydney Eck, Trang T. Hoang, Carter Mix and Madeleine Ray

103069: India and the Global Economy

Omar Farrag and Patrice T. Robitaille

102996: Payment Stablecoins and Cross Border Payments: Benefits and Implications for Monetary Policy Implementation

Kyungmin Kim, Romina Ruprecht and Mary-Frances Styczynski

102995: Is the Inflation Process in Advanced Economies Different After the Pandemic?

François de Soyres, Avani Pradhan and Zina Saijid

102994: AI Adoption and Firms’ Job-Posting Behavior

Jessica Liu and Douglas Webber

102993: China’s Trade Dominance and the Role of Industrial Policies

François de Soyres, Ece Fisgin, Mike Liu and Eva Van Leemput

102838: Measuring Shocks to Banks’ Expectations for Lending Standards Using the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey

Solveig Baylor, Jack Keane, Luke Morgan and Andrei Zlate

102837: Assessing Bank Resilience to a Funding Shock

Faith Achugamonu, Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr and Matthew P. Seay

102804: Why have far-forward nominal Treasury rates increased so much in the past few years? Old risks reemerge in an era of Fed credibility

Daniel M. Covitz and Eric Engstrom

102803: Downside and Upside Economic Uncertainty

Juan M. Londono and Sai Ma

102802: A Brief Illustrated History of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet

Ruth A. Judson and Colin Weiss

102801: The Global Trade Effects of the AI Infrastructure Boom

François de Soyres, Alex Haag, Mike Liu and Eva Van Leemput

102800: Measuring Cross-Border Securities Positions: Explaining Asymmetries between U.S. Treasury TIC and IMF PIP (formerly CPIS) Data

Ruth A. Judson and Nyssa Kim

102444: A brief history of bank notes in the United States and some lessons for stablecoins

Mark Carlson

102443: A Decomposition of Balance Sheet Reduction

Benjamin Eyal, Dave Na and Arsenios Skaperdas

102442: Supply Chain Risk and Bank Lending Amid Trade Policy Uncertainty

Luke Morgan, Carlos Ramírez, André Silva and Andrei Zlate

102398: Model Perspectives on Supply and Demand Factors behind a Soft Labor Market

Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and Camilo Morales-Jimenez

102397: Bankers’ Banks and their Role in the Federal Funds Market

Sriya Anbil, Alyssa G. Anderson and Benjamin Eyal

102363: More Credit, More Debt: New Evidence on Automated Credit Decisions

Vitaly M. Bord, Agnes Kovacs and Patrick Moran

102362: Lessons from Brexit on the Effects of Trade Disintegration

Florencia Airaudo, Johannes Fleck and Kevin Vega

102361: The Central Bank Balance-Sheet Trilemma

Burcu Duygan-Bump and Robert Kahn

102360: Implications of Growth in ETFs: Evidence from Mutual Fund to ETF Conversions

Mehmet Sağlam and Tugkan Tuzun

102359: The State of AI Competition in Advanced Economies

Alex Haag

102358: Which Days Matter for Global Equity Markets? Using Options to Price Events in the Global Calendar

Juan M. Londono and Mehrdad Samadi