FEDS Notes

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2024-10-24: Drivers of Option-Implied Interest Rate Volatility

Cisil Sarisoy

2024-10-22: Assessment of Dealer Capacity to Intermediate in Treasury and Agency MBS Markets

Paul Cochran, Lubomir Petrasek, Zack Saravay, Mary Tian and Edward Wu

2024-10-11: A Better Way of Understanding the US Consumer: Decomposing Retail Sales by Household Income

Jack Chylak, Leo Feler and Sinem Hacioglu Hoke

2024-09-26: Rising Auto Loan Delinquencies and High Monthly Payments

Robert M. Adams, Vitaly M. Bord and Haja Sannoh

2024-09-23: Dealer Balance Sheet Constraints: Evidence from Dealer-Level Data across Repo Market Segments

Lia Chabot, Paul Cochran, Sebastian Infante and Benjamin Iorio

2024-09-20-2: The Evolution of the Federal Reserve’s Agency MBS Holdings

Dave Na, Ellie Newman and Bernd Schlusche

2024-09-20-1: Financial Conditions and Risks to the Economic Outlook

Andrea Ajello, Giovanni Favara, Greg Marchal and Bálint Szőke

2024-09-04-2: Introducing a Credit Bureau-Based Measure of U.S. Household Debt Service

Daniel R. Ringo

2024-09-04-1: Nonlinear Phillips Curves

Simon Smith, Allan Timmermann and Jonathan Wright

2024-09-03-2: The Treasury Tantrum of 2023

Dev Asnani and Anthony M. Diercks

2024-09-03-1: Convenience Yield as a Driver of r*

Bálint Szőke, Francisco Vazquez-Grande and Inês Xavier

2024-08-30-3: Internationalization of the Chinese renminbi: progress and outlook

Bastian von Beschwitz

2024-08-30-2: The interaction of bank leverage, interest-rate risk, and runnable funding

Michele Cavallo and Matthew P. Seay

2024-08-30-1: Monetary Policy in Uncertain Times

Simon Smith, Allan Timmermann and Jonathan Wright

2024-08-16: Offline Payments: Implications for Reliability and Resiliency in Digital Payment Systems

Laila Aboulaiz, Bunmi Akintade, Hamzah Daud, Monique Lansey, Megan Rodden, Lucas Sawyer and Matthew Yip

2024-08-12: Third Conference on the International Roles of the U.S. Dollar

Ricardo Correa, Linda Goldberg, Juan M. Londono and Fabiola Ravazzolo

2024-08-02-5: Disinflation Progress: A Comparison of Advanced Economies

François de Soyres, Grace Lofstrom, Mitch Lott, Chris Machol and Zina Saijid

2024-08-02-4: As the U.S. is Derisking from China, Other Foreign U.S. Suppliers Are Relying More on Chinese Imports

Trang T. Hoang and Gordon Lewis

2024-08-02-3: Oil Price Shocks and Inflation in a DSGE Model of the Global Economy

Ignacio Presno and Andrea Prestipino

2024-08-02-2: Estimating Securities-Based Loans Outstanding

Alexander Bruce and Simona Hannon

2024-08-02-1: Private Credit Growth and Monetary Policy Transmission

Ahmet Degerli and Phillip J. Monin

2024-07-19-4: Evaluating Forecast Performance of Market-based Measures of Inflation Expectations in Europe

Shaily Acharya, Nira Harikrishnan, Thomas Mertens and Tony Zhang

2024-07-19-3: Has the Inflation Process Become More Persistent? Evidence from the Major Advanced Economies

Andrea De Michelis, Grace Lofstrom, Mike McHenry, Musa Orak, Albert Queraltó and Mikaël Scaramucci

2024-07-19-2: Global Implications of Brighter U.S. Productivity Prospects

Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and Hyunseung Oh

2024-07-19-1: Small-Dollar Loans in the U.S.: Evidence from Credit Bureau Data

Jessica N. Flagg and Simona Hannon

2024-07-12: Central Clearing Counterparties in the Financial Accounts of the United States

Matthew Guse, Matthew Hoops and Maria G. Perozek

2024-07-11: The Recent Evolution of the Federal Funds Market and its Dynamics during Reductions of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet

Alyssa G. Anderson and Dave Na

2024-06-28: Lessons from the Co-movement of Inflation around the World

Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Luca Guerrieri, Matteo Iacoviello and Michele Modugno

2024-06-21: Estimating Retail Credit in the U.S

Jessica N. Flagg, Simona Hannon, Cisil Sarisoy and Mark Wicks

2024-06-14-3: Who Buys Treasuries When the Fed Reduces its Holdings

Lucy Cordes and Erin E. Syron Ferris

2024-06-14-2: Mitigating Too Big to Fail

Colleen Faherty and Wayne Passmore

2024-06-14-1: A Note On Revolving Credit Estimates

Michael M. Chernousov, Jessica N. Flagg, Simona Hannon, Alice Henriques Volz, Virginia Lewis and Suzanna Stephens

2024-05-31-2: Rural Employment Disparities by Race, Ethnicity, and Region

Andrew M. Dumont

2024-05-31-1: Lessons from Past Monetary Easing Cycles

François de Soyres and Zina Saijid

2024-05-24-2: Unpacking the Effects of Bank Credit Supply Shocks on Economic Activity

Michele Cavallo, Juan Morelli and Rebecca Zarutskie

2024-05-24-1: Measuring Bank Credit Supply Shocks Using the Senior Loan Officer Survey

Solveig Baylor, Michele Cavallo, Juan Morelli and Rebecca Zarutskie

2024-05-17: Why is the US GDP recovering faster than other advanced economies?

François de Soyres, Joaquin Garcia-Cabo, Nils Gornemann, Sharon Jeon, Grace Lofstrom and Dylan Moore

2024-05-10-2: Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates during the Global Tightening

Emre Yoldas

2024-05-10-1: Why Do Mutual Funds Invest in Treasury Futures?

Benjamin Iorio, Dan Li and Lubomir Petrasek

2024-05-09: Stress Testing the Corporate Debt Servicing Capacity: A Scenario Analysis

Dalida Kadyrzhanova, Ander Pérez-Orive and Eliezer Singer

2024-05-03-2: Estimating the importance of monetary policy shocks for variation in the U.S. homeownership rate

Daniel Dias and Joao Duarte

2024-05-03-1: Firms’ financing choice between short-term and long-term debts: Are they substitutes?

Samuel J. Hempel, Yi Li and Sean Tibay

2024-04-19-2: Inequality and financial sector vulnerabilities

Anni T. Isojärvi and Sam Jerow

2024-04-19-1: High tech business entry in the pandemic era

Ryan Decker and John Haltiwanger

2024-04-18: Introducing New Valuation Change Data for U.S. Cross-Border Portfolio Holdings

Laura DeMane, Nyssa Kim, Emily Liu, Andrew Loucky and Andrew McCallum

2024-04-16: Tapping the Brakes: The Effect of the 2023 United Auto Workers Strike on Economic Activity

Gisela Rua and Maria D. Tito

2024-04-12-2: Global trade patterns in the wake of the 2018-2019 U.S.-China tariff hikes

Flora Haberkorn, Trang T. Hoang, Gordon Lewis, Carter Mix and Dylan Moore

2024-04-12-1: Is This Time Different: How Are Banks Performing during the Recent Interest Rate Increases Compared to 2004–2006?

Anya V. Kleymenova, Lori Leu and Cindy M. Vojtech

2024-04-03: Tokenized Assets on Public Blockchains: How Transparent is the Blockchain?

Matthew Liu, Nolan Ly, Kurtis Orr, Amber Seira, Zach Vida, Cy Watsky and Lawrence Wu

2024-03-08-3: Quantifying Treasury Cash-Futures Basis Trades

Jonathan Glicoes, Benjamin Iorio, Phillip J. Monin and Lubomir Petrasek