Endogenous money supply and the business cycle

William Gavin () and Finn Kydland

No 1995-010, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract: This paper documents changes in the cyclical behavior of nominal data series that appear after 1979:Q3 when the Federal Reserve implemented a policy to lower the inflation rate. Such changes were not apparent in real variables. A business cycle model with impulses to technology and a role for money is used to show how alternative money supply rules are expected to affect observed business cycle facts. In this model, changes in the money supply rules have almost no effect on the cyclical behavior of real variables, yet have a significant impact on the cyclical nature of nominal variables. Computational experiments with alternative policy rules suggest that the change in monetary policy in 1979 may account for the sort of instability observed in the U.S. data.

Keywords: Business cycles; Money supply (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1997
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Published in Review of Economic Dynamics, April 1999, 2(2), pp. 347-369

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Related works:
Journal Article: Endogenous Money Supply and the Business Cycle (1999)
Working Paper: Endogenous money supply and the business cycle (1996)
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