Staff Reports

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883: Understanding migration aversion using elicited counterfactual choice probabilities

Gizem Kosar, Tyler Ransom and Wilbert van der Klaauw

882: Trends in household debt and credit

Andrew Haughwout, Donghoon Lee, Joelle Scally, Lauren Thomas and Wilbert van der Klaauw

881: On binscatter

Matias Cattaneo, Richard Crump, Max Farrell and Yingjie Feng

880: Complexity in large U.S. banks

Linda Goldberg and April Meehl

879: The Long and Short of It: The Post-Crisis Corporate CDS Market

Nina Boyarchenko, Anna Costello and Or Shachar

878: Rational inattention in hiring decisions

Sushant Acharya and Shu Lin Wee

877: Monetary policy frameworks and the effective lower bound on interest rates

Thomas Mertens and John Williams

876: Robust inference in models identified via heteroskedasticity

Daniel Lewis

875: The marginal propensity to hire

Davide Melcangi

874: Local banks, credit supply, and house prices

Kristian Blickle

873: The Affordable Care Act and the market for higher education

Rajashri Chakrabarti and Maxim Pinkovskiy

872: Getting ahead by spending more? Local community response to state merit aid programs

Rajashri Chakrabarti, Nicole Gorton and Joydeep Roy

871: Identifying shocks via time-varying volatility

Daniel Lewis

870: Flighty liquidity

Nina Boyarchenko, Domenico Giannone and Or Shachar

869: Reducing moral hazard at the expense of market discipline: the effectiveness of double liability before and during the Great Depression

Haelim Anderson, Daniel Barth and Dong Beom Choi

868: Financial frictions, real estate collateral, and small firm activity in Europe

Ryan Banerjee and Kristian Blickle

867: Equity Volatility Term Premia

Peter Van Tassel

866: Global trends in interest rates

Marco Del Negro, Domenico Giannone, Marc Giannoni and Andrea Tambalotti

865: What to expect from the lower bound on interest rates: evidence from derivatives prices

Thomas Mertens and John Williams

864: Is size everything?

Samuel Antill and Asani Sarkar

863: Credit market choice

Nina Boyarchenko, Anna Costello and Or Shachar

862: Insider networks

Selman Erol and Michael Lee

861: Uncertain booms and fragility

Michael Lee

860: Replacement hiring and the productivity-wage gap

Sushant Acharya and Shu Lin Wee

859: Resolving “Too Big to Fail”

Nicola Cetorelli and James Traina

858: Bank-intermediated arbitrage

Nina Boyarchenko, Thomas Eisenbach, Pooja Gupta, Or Shachar and Peter Van Tassel

857: Does CFPB Oversight Crimp Credit?

Andreas Fuster, Matthew Plosser and James Vickery

856: Bank leverage limits and regulatory arbitrage: new evidence on a recurring question

Dong Beom Choi, Michael R. Holcomb and Donald Morgan

855: Why do banks target ROE?

George Pennacchi and Joao Santos

854: Evaluating regulatory reform: banks’ cost of capital and lending

Anna Kovner and Peter Van Tassel

853: The cost of bank regulatory capital

Matthew Plosser and Joao Santos

852: Liquidity Regulations, Bank Lending, and Fire-Sale Risk

Daniel Roberts, Asani Sarkar and Or Shachar

851: Regulation and risk shuffling in bank securities portfolios

Andreas Fuster and James Vickery

850: Changing Risk-Return Profiles

Richard Crump, Miro Everaert, Domenico Giannone and C. Hundtofte

849: Exchange rate dynamics and monetary spillovers with imperfect financial markets

Ozge Akinci and Albert Queraltó

848: Peas in a pod? Comparing the U.S. and Danish mortgage finance systems

Jesper Berg, Morten Bækmand Nielsen and James Vickery

847: Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity

Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Giorgio Primiceri

846: Can low-wage workers find better jobs?

Jaison Abel, Richard Florida and Todd Gabe

845: The international transmission of monetary policy

Claudia Buch, Matthieu Bussiere, Linda Goldberg and Robert Hills

844: DSGE forecasts of the lost recovery

Michael Cai, Marco Del Negro, Marc Giannoni, Abhi Gupta, Pearl Li and Erica Moszkowski

843: What would you do with $500? Spending responses to gains, losses, news, and loans

Andreas Fuster, Greg Kaplan and Basit Zafar

842: The side effects of safe asset creation

Sushant Acharya and Keshav Dogra

841: How do mortgage refinances affect debt, default, and spending? Evidence from HARP

Joshua Abel and Andreas Fuster

840: A model of the federal funds market: yesterday, today, and tomorrow

Gara Afonso, Roc Armenter and Benjamin Lester

839: Long-term outcomes of FHA first-time homebuyers

Donghoon Lee and Joseph Tracy

838: Credit risk transfer and de facto GSE reform

David Finkelstein, Andreas Strzodka and James Vickery

837: Cournot Fire Sales

Thomas Eisenbach and Gregory Phelan

836: The role of technology in mortgage lending

Andreas Fuster, Matthew Plosser, Philipp Schnabl and James Vickery

835: Understanding HANK: insights from a PRANK

Sushant Acharya and Keshav Dogra

834: International capital flow pressures

Linda Goldberg and Signe Krogstrup