On the Economy

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103131: Comparing the FOMC’s Estimate of R-Star with Alternative Estimates

Kevin L. Kliesen

103108: Determinants of Foreign Aid to Ukraine

Anna Cole and Christopher Neely

103091: Immigrants’ Educational Attainment in the U.S. and Eighth District: An Update

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Hoang Le

103089: Consumer Credit Health after the 2025 St. Louis Tornado

Liz Deichmann

103062: Drivers of Population Growth: Natural Increase vs. Net Migration

B Ravikumar and Guillaume Vandenbroucke

103051: Banking Analytics: Uninsured Deposit Ratio Back to Prepandemic Level

Michelle Neely

103027: Why Does AI Adoption Differ So Much across Countries?

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, David Deming, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln and Jonas Jessen

103019: Banking Analytics: Credit and Debit Card Fees Collected by Banks Rose in 2025

Julianne Baer

103016: America Underbuilt Inc.: The Supply Side of the U.S. Housing Challenge

Manu García and Carlos Garriga

103015: How Regions Shaped World Population Growth since 1960

B Ravikumar and Guillaume Vandenbroucke

102986: How Does Immigration Shape Average Labor Productivity? Evidence from the CPS

Serdar Ozkan and Nicholas Sullivan

102954: Mind the Gap: AI Adoption in Europe and the U.S

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, David Deming, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln and Jonas Jessen

102925: Breakeven Employment Growth: Estimate Range Widens in 2026

Alexander Bick

102924: Unemployment Insurance Eligibility, Replacement and Takeup Rates across the U.S

Serdar Birinci, Gus Gerlach and Kurt See

102923: Eighth District Firms Expect Higher Inflation in 2026

Charles Gascon and Violeta A. Gutkowski

102892: Financing R&D Spending: The Role of Corporate Cash Holdings

Masataka Mori and Juan Sanchez

102890: The Effects of a “Low-Fire, Low-Hire” Economy on Workers

Anna Cole and Michael McCracken

102847: The Dual Mandate in Conflict: Balancing Current Tensions between Inflation and Employment

Fernando Martin

102836: Understanding Statistical Significance in Monthly Unemployment Data

Alexander Bick and Kevin Bloodworth II

102829: The Declining Convenience Yield and Quantitative Tightening

Kevin Bloodworth II and YiLi Chien

102825: U.S. Import Price Dynamics Following the 2025 Tariffs

Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam and Fernando Leibovici

102818: Tracking Banking Access Using the Bank On National Data Hub

Mike Eggleston

102451: Inflation and the Accuracy of Public Debt Forecasts

Collin Eldridge and Miguel Faria-e-Castro

102437: When Houses Outrun Paychecks: The Lost Decades of Housing Affordability

Manu García and Carlos Garriga

102421: Do Government Shutdowns Affect Subsequent Data Revisions?

Brooke Hathhorn and Michael Owyang

102420: Using 211 Data to Gauge Eighth District Economic Conditions

William M. Rodgers and Nicole Summers-Gabr

102412: A Look at Recent Developments in the Federal Fiscal Balance

Bill Dupor

102382: Beyond Young Adults: How Are Other Groups of U.S. Workers Faring?

Alice Kassens and William M. Rodgers

102375: The Evolution of Income Differences over the Life Cycle

Victoria Gregory

102348: Banking Analytics: Core Deposit Growth Accelerated in 2025

Julianne Baer

102344: The Shifting U.S. Import Landscape: Recent Changes in Tariffs and Trade

Maximiliano Dvorkin and Melanie LeTourneau

102328: Why AI Advancements May Push Some Workers Out of the Labor Force

Oksana Leukhina

102326: Tracking AI’s Contribution to GDP Growth

Bontu Ankit Patro and Hannah Rubinton

102325: Banking Analytics: Banks Record Uptick in Unfunded CRE Commitments

Kathryn Loesch

102296: What Is Affecting the CPS Data on Shifts in Immigrant and Native-Born Populations?

Alexander Bick

102295: Sources of Intergenerational Persistence in College Attainment

Guillaume Vandenbroucke

102294: A Look at U.S. Services Export Trends

Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam and B Ravikumar

102293: Revisiting Professional Forecasters’ Past Performance and the Outlook for 2026

Charles Gascon

102223: Young Adults and the Softening U.S. Labor Market: A Warning Sign?

Alice Kassens and William M. Rodgers

102222: What Are the Characteristics of Banks with Large Unrealized Losses?

Collin Eldridge and Miguel Faria-e-Castro

102202: Community Banking Conference Spotlights Research on Bank Failures

Carl White

102193: Regulated Payment Stablecoins Become a Reality in the U.S

James W. Fuchs

102148: Analyzing Japan’s $550 Billion Pledge to Invest in the U.S

YiLi Chien and Masataka Mori

102136: The Beveridge Curve's Predictive Power: Why Job Vacancy Types Matter for Monetary Policy

Mickenzie Bass and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

102131: The State of Generative AI Adoption in 2025

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and David Deming

102073: Banking Analytics: Unrealized Losses Decrease Again at U.S. Banks

Raelene Angle-Graves and Michelle Neely

102071: Navigating in the Dark: Using High-Frequency Private Data to Track the Labor Market

Maximiliano Dvorkin and Melanie LeTourneau

102041: Banking Analytics: Understanding Credit Risk with the Texas Ratio

Suzanne Jenkins and Reed Romanko

102011: The Role of Single-Family Rentals in the U.S. Housing Market

Lillian Fu and Charles Gascon

101977: Is the U.S. in an Above-Target Inflation Regime?

Fernando Martin