On the Economy

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99839: Breakeven Employment Growth: A Simple but Useful Benchmark

Alexander Bick and Victoria Gregory

99814: Nontariff Trade Barriers in the U.S. and EU

Dawn Chinagorom-Abiakalam and Fernando Leibovici

99790: Uncertainty Shocks Can Trigger Recessionary Conditions

Kevin Kliesen

99789: From Partner to Rival: Understanding China’s Technological Rise through Patent Data

François de Soyres, Ece Fisgin and Ana Maria Santacreu

99788: What’s behind Japan’s High Government Debt?

YiLi Chien and Ashley Stewart

99749: U.S. and Eighth District Banks Face Challenges but End 2024 on Solid Footing

Carl White

99729: Are Continued Jobless Claims a Useful Gauge of Labor Market Conditions?

Anna Cole and Michael McCracken

99727: Eighth District Firms Expect Slight Acceleration of Price Pressures in 2025

Charles Gascon and Violeta A. Gutkowski

99707: Pension or 401(k)? Retirement Plan Trends in the U.S. Workplace

Julie Bennett, Brooke Hathhorn and Michael Owyang

99689: Cryptocurrency Ownership among U.S. Households

Masataka Mori and Juan Sanchez

99670: The Fiscal Origin of the COVID-19 Price Surge

Fernando Martin

99667: Beyond the 9 to 5: Decoding the Overemployment Trend

Serdar Birinci and Carlos Garriga

99631: The Impact of Generative AI on Work Productivity

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and David Deming

99611: The Road to 2% Inflation: Are We There Yet?

Fernando Martin

99610: Unauthorized Immigration Flows Before and After COVID-19

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Hoang Le

99609: How Did the U.S. Economy Do Last Year? Explaining Two Measures of GDP Growth

Amy Smaldone and Mark Wright

99553: Why Are Illiquid Households Affected More by Inflation?

Yu-Ting Chiang, Mick Dueholm and Ezra Karger

99539: The Evolution of Global FDI: Patterns of Investment in Tax Havens and China

Ana Maria Santacreu and Ashley Stewart

99516: Breaking Down U.S. Population Growth: Migration and Natural Increase

Guillaume Vandenbroucke

99479: How Did U.S. Teenagers Benefit from Holiday Employment?

William M. Rodgers

99478: U.S. Farmers Continue to Face Headwinds

Jack Fuller and Violeta A. Gutkowski

99449: Are Initial Jobless Claims a Useful Gauge of Labor Market Conditions?

Michael McCracken and Trần Khánh Ngân

99415: The Recent Surge in Immigration and Its Impact on Measured Productivity Growth

Alexander Bick

99414: Quantifying the Beige Book’s “Soft” Data

Charles Gascon and Joseph Martorana

99413: A Look at Inflation in Recent Years through the Lens of a Macroeconomic Model

Miguel Faria-e-Castro

99412: The Recent Surge in Immigration and Its Impact on Unemployment

Alexander Bick

99357: Professional Forecasters’ Past Performance and the 2025 Economic Outlook

Charles Gascon and Joseph Martorana

99356: Strong Earnings, Asset Quality Put U.S. Banks on Solid Ground

Carl White

99355: The Evolution of Remote Work across Industries: From Potential to Practice

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, Aidan Caplan and Tristan Caplan

99354: Trends in Work from Home in the U.S.: Insights from Six Datasets

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, Aidan Caplan and Tristan Caplan

99259: Who Applies to and Enrolls at Selective Colleges?

Ricardo Marto

99227: Real-Time Insights into Consumption Growth Inequality since the Onset of COVID-19

Masataka Mori and Juan Sanchez

99209: What Happens to Expected Stock Volatility around Election Day?

Christopher Neely

99191: Regional Trends in Inflation and Nominal Wages

Maximiliano Dvorkin and Cassandra Marks

99189: The Puzzle of Multinationals’ Profits: Why Tax Havens Yield Higher Returns

Ana Maria Santacreu and Ashley Stewart

99187: Why Do WFH Workers Move?

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, Cassandra Marks, Karel Mertens and Hannah Rubinton

99186: Examining Recent Patterns in Residential Building Permits

Kevin Bloodworth II and Victoria Gregory

99185: Cybersecurity, Regulation among Bankers’ Top Challenges

Carl White

99079: Collect and Connect: Fed Librarians Bring Reserve Bank Research to a Global Audience

Scott St. Louis

99028: How Lending Standards Change across the Business Cycle

Oksana Leukhina

99027: Japan’s Consolidated Balance Sheet and Challenges for Monetary Policy

YiLi Chien and Ashley Stewart

99007: How Much Can Households Gain and Lose with Unexpected Inflation?

Yu-Ting Chiang, Mick Dueholm and Ezra Karger

99006: The Type of Job Vacancy Matters When Reading the Beveridge Curve

Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

98970: The Rise of Digital Advertising and Its Economic Implications

Hoang Le and Ricardo Marto

98948: How Important Is Instructional Spending to College Students’ Future Earnings?

Mickenzie Bass and Oksana Leukhina

98915: AI Hype or Reality? Shifts in Corporate Investment after ChatGPT

Mickenzie Bass, Mick Dueholm, Aakash Kalyani and Serdar Ozkan

98912: AI Optimism and Uncertainty: What Can Earnings Calls Tell Us Post-ChatGPT?

Mickenzie Bass, Mick Dueholm, Aakash Kalyani and Serdar Ozkan

98911: Higher Deposit Costs Continue to Challenge Banks

Carl White

98845: The Recent Ins and Outs of Unemployment: Using Flows to Study Labor Market Dynamics

Maximiliano Dvorkin and Serdar Ozkan

98843: The Rapid Adoption of Generative AI

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and David Deming