 Measuring Misalignment: Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990sNo 1999/120, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund Abstract: The concept of purchasing power parity (PPP) is used to evaluate whether eight East Asian currencies were overvalued on the eve of the 1997 crises. The Johansen and Horvath-Watson cointegration test procedures are applied to bilateral and multilateral exchange rates, deflated using CPIs, producer price indices (PPIs), and price indices of export goods. The second deflator yields the greatest evidence of “stationarity.” The study find’s that the Malaysian, Philippines, and Thai currencies were overvalued, while the Korean and Indonesian were substantially undervalued. Mixed results were obtained for the others. Measures of the equilibrium rate based on time trends in CPI-deflated rates typically suggest larger overvaluations. Keywords: WP; U.S. dollar; exchange rate; purchasing power parity; overvaluation; cointegration; yen rate; Hong Kong PPI data; retail price index; trend measure; log PPI; Thai baht; estimates accord; CPI sample; Real exchange rates; Producer price indexes; Consumer price indexes; Exchange rates; East Asia (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1999/120 Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from Access Statistics for this paper More papers in IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA. Contact information at EDIRC. |
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