EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Macroeconomic Determinants of International Migration to the UK

Giuseppe Forte and Jonathan Portes ()

No 10802, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Abstract: This paper examines the determinants of long-term international migration to the UK; we explore the extent to which migration is driven by macroeconomic variables (GDP per capita, unemployment rate) as well as law and policy (the existence of "free movement" rights for EEA nationals). We find a very large impact from free movement within the EEA. We also find that macroeconomic variables – UK GDP growth and GDP at origin – are significant drivers of migration flows; evidence for the impact of the unemployment rate in countries of origin, or of the exchange rate, however, is weak. We conclude that, while future migration flows will be driven by a number of factors, macroeconomic and otherwise, Brexit and the end of free movement will result in a large fall in immigration from EEA countries to the UK.

Keywords: immigration; EU; Brexit; UK (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 J61 J68 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-lab and nep-mig
Date: 2017-05
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://ftp.iza.org/dp10802.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Macroeconomic Determinants of International Migration to the UK (2017) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10802

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
IZA, Margard Ody, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IZA Discussion Papers from Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) IZA, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Mark Fallak ().

 
Page updated 2019-04-24
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10802