Tropical Storms and Mortality under Climate Change
No 12117, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
Extreme weather induced by climate change can have major consequences for human health. In this study, I quantify the effect of tropical storm frequency and severity on mortality using objective meteorological data and the universe of vital statistics records from a large developing country, Mexico. Using a measure of storm exposure that accounts for both windspeed dispersion and population density along the storm track, I project changes in past storm-related mortality under various scenarios of continued climate change, while holding population and income at current levels. I find that storm-related deaths would have risen under most climate change scenarios considered, with increases of as much as 52% or declines of as much as 10%, depending on the interplay between increasing storm severity and decreased frequency.
Keywords: climate change; human health; human mortality; natural disasters; hurricanes; tropical cyclones; tropical storms; developing countries; Latin America; Mexico (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I15 J10 O13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-env and nep-hea
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Published in: World Development, 2019, 117, 172-182
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Journal Article: Tropical storms and mortality under climate change (2019)
Working Paper: Tropical Storms and Mortality under Climate Change (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp12117
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