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Unpacking P-Hacking and Publication Bias

Abel Brodeur, Scott Carrell, David Figlio and Lester Lusher

No 16369, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: We use unique data from journal submissions to identify and unpack publication bias and p-hacking. We find that initial submissions display significant bunching, suggesting the distribution among published statistics cannot be fully attributed to a publication bias in peer review. Desk-rejected manuscripts display greater heaping than those sent for review i.e. marginally significant results are more likely to be desk rejected. Reviewer recommendations, in contrast, are positively associated with statistical significance. Overall, the peer review process has little effect on the distribution of test statistics. Lastly, we track rejected papers and present evidence that the prevalence of publication biases is perhaps not as prominent as feared.

Keywords: publication bias; p-hacking; selective reporting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A11 C13 C40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 89 pages
Date: 2023-08
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

Published - published in: American Economic Review, 2023, 113 (11), 2974-3002

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Journal Article: Unpacking P-hacking and Publication Bias (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: Unpacking P-Hacking and Publication Bias (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: Unpacking P-Hacking and Publication Bias (2023) Downloads
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