Noncitizen Coverage and Its Effects on U.S. Population Statistics

J. David Brown, Misty Heggeness and Marta Murray-Close
Additional contact information
Marta Murray-Close: US Census Bureau

No 16391, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: We produce 2020 population estimates using 31 administrative record (AR) sources. Our AR census national population estimate is 1.8% greater than the 2020 Demographic Analysis high estimate, 3.0% more than the 2020 Census count, and 3.6% higher than the vintage-2020 Population Estimates Program estimate. Inclusion of more noncitizens, especially those with unknown legal status, can explain the higher AR census estimate. About 19.8% of AR census noncitizens have addresses that cannot be linked to an address in the 2020 Census collection universe, compared to 5.7% of citizens, raising the possibility that the 2020 Census did not collect data for a significant fraction of noncitizens. We show differences in estimates by age, sex, Hispanic origin, geography, and socioeconomic characteristics symptomatic of the differences in noncitizen coverage.

Keywords: administrative records; population estimates; immigration; noncitizen coverage (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 62 pages
Date: 2023-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mig
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://docs.iza.org/dp16391.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Noncitizen Coverage and Its Effects on U.S. Population Statistics (2023)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp16391

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
IZA, Margard Ody, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany
library@iza.org

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) IZA, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Holger Hinte (hinte@iza.org).