Time To Go? Head Coach Quits and Dismissals in Professional Football

Alex Bryson, Babatunde Buraimo, Alex Farnell and Rob Simmons

No 202011, Working Papers from University of Liverpool, Department of Economics

Abstract: That football Head Coaches will be dismissed for poor performance and will quit when they have better outside options seems obvious. But owners may find it hard to distinguish poor performance from bad luck and may find it difficult to identify and attract talented Head Coaches from other clubs even if their current Head Coach is performing below expectations. Equally, Head Coaches may have few options to move to better clubs even when they are performing well. Using rich data on Head Coach characteristics we identify determinants of quits and dismissals across four professional football leagues over the period 2002-2015. We find that Head Coaches’ probabilities of dismissal are significantly lower when the team is performing above expectations, with the effect strongest for recent games. However, in contrast to earlier studies, we find that performing above expectations also reduces the probability of Head Coach quits. Head Coach success in the past, as well as Head Coach experience, reduce the probability of being dismissed, even when conditioning on team performance, suggesting Head Coach human capital has some ‘protective’ effect in managerial careers. Past experience has little effect on quit probabilities – with the exception of tenure at the current employer, which is associated with lower quit rates. We test the robustness of our results by confining estimates to first exits, within-season departures and by dealing with unobserved Head Coach heterogeneity.

Keywords: quits; dismissals; managerial performance; team performance; football; competing risks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J23 J24 J63 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2020-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-gen, nep-hrm, nep-lab and nep-spo
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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https://www.liverpool.ac.uk/media/livacuk/schoolof ... ssional,Football.pdf First version, 2020 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Time To Go? Head Coach Quits and Dismissals in Professional Football (2021)
Working Paper: Time To Go? Head Coach Quits and Dismissals in Professional Football (2017)
Working Paper: Time To Go? Head Coach Quits and Dismissals in Professional Football (2017)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:liv:livedp:202011

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