NBP Working Papers

From Narodowy Bank Polski
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120: Large capital inflows and stock returns in a thin market

Janusz Brzeszczynski, Martin T. Bohl and Dobromił Serwa

119: Liquidity needs, private information, feedback trading: verifying motives to trade

Bartosz Gebka and Dobromił Serwa

118: Consequences of the euro adoption by Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries for their trade flows

Andrzej Cieślik, Jan Michałek and Jerzy Mycielski

117: Fiscal multipliers and factors of growth in Poland and the Czech Republic in 2009

Kazimierz Łaski, Jerzy Osiatyński and Jolanta Zięba

116: Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland. What do we know in 2011?

Tomasz Łyziak, Oksana Demchuk, Jan Przystupa, Anna Sznajderska and Ewa Wróbel

115: Inflation expectations in Poland

Tomasz Łyziak

114: On the empirical evidence of asymmetry effects in the interest rate pass-through in Poland

Anna Sznajderska

113: Do those who stay work less? On the impact of emigration on the measured TFP in Poland

Katarzyna Budnik

112: How forward looking are central banks? Some evidence from their forecasts

Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, Jacek Kotłowski and Agata Miśkowiec

111: Are business cycles in the US and emerging economies synchronized?

Piotr Krupa and Paweł Skrzypczyński

110: Assessing macro-financial linkages: a model comparison exercise

Rafael Gerke, Magnus Jonsson, Martin Kliem, Marcin Kolasa, Pierre Lafourcade, Alberto Locarno, Krzysztof Makarski and Peter McAdam

109: Bayesian evaluation of DSGE models with financial frictions

Michal Brzoza-Brzezina and Marcin Kolasa

108: Measuring the natural yield curve

Michal Brzoza-Brzezina and Jacek Kotłowski

107: Almost periodically correlated time series in business fluctuations analysis

Łukasz Lenart and Mateusz Pipień

106: Unemployment in an Estimated New Keynesian Model

Jordi Galí, Frank Smets and Raf Wouters

105: The interdependences of central bank’s forecasts and economic agents inflation expectations.Empirical study

Magdalena Szyszko

104: Multistate asymmetric ACD model: an application to order dynamics in the EUR/PLN spot market

Katarzyna Bień-Barkowska

103: Poland on the road to the euro: How serious is the risk of boom-bust cycles after the euro adoption? An empirical analysis

Agnieszka Stazka-Gawrysiak

102: The shape of aggregate production functions: evidence from estimates of the World Technology Frontier

Jakub Growiec, Anna Pajor, Dorota Pelle and Artur Prędki

101: Skew-normal shocks in the linear state space form DSGE model

Grzegorz Grabek, Bohdan Kłos and Grzegorz Koloch

100: Forecasting inflation with consumer survey data – application of multi-group confirmatory factor analysis to elimination of the general sentiment factor

Piotr Bialowolski

99: Identifying multiple regimes in the model of credit to households

Dobromił Serwa

98: A microfoundation for normalized CES production functions with factor-augmenting technical change

Jakub Growiec

97: When are multinational banks getting a bang for their buck on their subsidiaries abroad?

Oskar Kowalewski

96: Conceptualizing interdependences between regulatory and monetary policies. Some preliminary considerations

Lukasz Hardt

95: Monetary policy in a non-representative agent economy: A survey

Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, Marcin Kolasa, Grzegorz Koloch, Krzysztof Makarski and Michał Rubaszek

94: Trusting only whom you know, knowing only whom you trust: the joint impact of social capital and trust on individuals’ economic performance and happiness in CEE countries

Katarzyna Growiec and Jakub Growiec

93: Central bank communication on financial stability

Benjamin Born, Michael Ehrmann and Marcel Fratzscher

92: Determinants of credit to households in a life-cycle model

Michał Rubaszek and Dobromił Serwa

91: Financial frictions and optimal monetary policy in an open economy

Marcin Kolasa and Giovanni Lombardo

90: Emigration Triggers: International Migration of Polish Workers between 1994 and 2009

Katarzyna Budnik

89: Temporary Migration in Theories of International Mobility of Labour

Katarzyna Budnik

88: Algebraic Theory of Indentification in Parametric Models

Andrzej Kocięcki

87: Predictivistic Bayesian Forecasting System

Andrzej Kocięcki, Marcin Kolasa and Michał Rubaszek

86: Competitiveness channel in Poland and Slovakia: a pre-EMU DSGE analysis

Andrzej Torój

85: A fiscal outlook for Poland using Generational Accounts

Janusz Jablonowski, Christoph Mueller and Bernd Raffelhüschen

84: Settlers and Guests - Determinants of the Plans of Return Migration from UK and Ireland to Poland in the Period 2007-2009

Marcin Hołda, Katarzyna Saczuk, Paweł Strzelecki and Robert Wyszynski

83: SOEPL 2009 – An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for Policy Analysis And Forecasting

Grzegorz Grabek, Bohdan Kłos and Grzegorz Koloch

82: Market Size, Competitiveness and Technological Frontier - the Impact of Trade Integration with the UE on Productivity in Polish Manufacturing Sectors

Aleksandra Parteka and Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz

81: Forecasting the Polish zloty with non-linear models

Michał Rubaszek, Paweł Skrzypczyński and Grzegorz Koloch

80: The anatomy of standard DSGE models with financial frictions

Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, Marcin Kolasa and Krzysztof Makarski

79: Can we prevent boom-bust cycles during euro area accession?

Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, Pascal Jacquinot and Marcin Kolasa

78: The Fall of the Vanishing Interim Regime Hypothesis: Towards a New Paradigm of the Choice of the Exchange Rate Regimes

Michal Jurek

77: Firms in the great global recession: The role of foreign ownership and financial dependence

Marcin Kolasa, Michał Rubaszek and Daria Taglioni

76: What Segments Equity Markets?

Geert Bekaert, Campbell Harvey, Christian Lundblad and Stephan Siegel

75: Credit Crunch in a Small Open Economy

Michal Brzoza-Brzezina and Krzysztof Makarski

74: The Superiority of Greenbook Forecasts and the Role of Recessions

N Kishor

73: On the measurement of technological progress across countries

Jakub Growiec

72: Central bank’s macroeconomic projections and learning

Giuseppe Ferrero and Alessandro Secchi

71: Intergenerational interactions in human capital accumulation

Jakub Growiec and Łukasz Woźny