Adoption Curves and Social Interactions
William Brock and
Steven Durlauf
No 15065, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
Abstract:
This paper considers the observational implications of social influences on adoption decisions for an environment of perfect foresight adopters. We argue that social influences can produce two observable effects: 1) discontinuities in unconditional adoption curves and 2) pattern reversals in conditional adoption curves, in which earlier adoption is found for one group of actors versus another when "fundamentals" suggest the reverse ordering should occur; in turn the presence of either of these features can, under weak assumptions, be interpreted as evidence of social influences. As such, these properties are robust implications of social effects.
JEL-codes: C1 D01 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-06
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Published as William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf, 2010. "Adoption Curves and Social Interactions," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 8(1), pages 232-251, 03.
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