Details about William A. Brock

E-mail:
Homepage:	http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~wbrock/
Workplace:	Economics Department, University of Wisconsin-Madison, (more information at EDIRC) Economics Department, University of Missouri, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by William A. Brock.

Last updated 2022-10-28. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

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Working Papers

2025

1. Polar Amplification Helps Forecast Northern Temperature Anomalies
   Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Missouri

2023

2. Polar Amplification in a Moist Energy Balance Model: A Structural Econometric Approach to Estimation and Testing
   Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Missouri View citations (3)

2022

3. Everybody’s Talkin’ at Me: Levels of Majority Language Acquisition by Minority Language Speakers
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2021

4. Beyond RCP8.5: Marginal Mitigation Using Quasi-Representative Concentration Pathways
   Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Missouri
5. Climate Change Uncertainty Spillover in the Macroeconomy
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (12)
   See also Chapter Climate Change Uncertainty Spillover in the Macroeconomy, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (11) (2021)

2018

6. Climate Policy under Cooperation and Competition between Regions with Spatial Heat Transport
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)

2017

7. To Fed Watch or Not to Fed Watch: Equilibrium Analysis of Bank System Dynamics
   Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Missouri

2016

8. Climate Change Economics and Heat Transport across the Globe: Spatial-DSICE
   2017 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2017, Chicago, Illinois, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
9. Climate Change Policy under Polar Amplification
   DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business
   Also in MITP: Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) (2016)
   Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2016)
10. Climate Change Policy under Spatial Heat Transport and Polar Amplification
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business View citations (1)
11. Robust Consumption and Energy Decisions
    2017 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2017, Chicago, Illinois, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
12. Spatial Heat Transport, Polar Amplification and Climate Change Policy
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
    Also in MITP: Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) (2016) View citations (1)
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business (2015) View citations (4)

2015

13. Modeling Coupled Climate, Ecosystems, and Economic Systems
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2015) View citations (1)

2014

14. On Understanding the Cyclical Behavior of the Price Level and Inflation
    Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Missouri View citations (5)
15. Optimal Agglomerations in Dynamic Economics
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business View citations (11)
    Also in Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2012) View citations (3)
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business (2012) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Optimal agglomerations in dynamic economics, Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier (2014) View citations (11) (2014)
16. Optimal Control in Space and Time and the Management of Environmental Resources
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article Optimal Control in Space and Time and the Management of Environmental Resources, Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews (2014) View citations (26) (2014)
17. Spatiotemporal robust control in infinite dimensional spaces
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business
18. The Kindergarten Rule of Sustainable Growth
    Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Calgary
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (18)
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2003) View citations (19)
    Public Economics, University Library of Munich, Germany (2003) View citations (19)

2013

19. Adjustment Costs and Long Run Spatial Agglomerations
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
    Also in DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business (2013)
20. Animal Spirits, Heterogeneous Expectations and the Emergence of Booms and Busts
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute View citations (47)
    Also in DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE) (2013) View citations (47)
21. Linear Social Interactions Models
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies View citations (9)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Linear Social Interactions Models, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2015) View citations (146) (2015)
22. Robust Control of a Spatially Distributed Commercial Fishery
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei View citations (5)
    Also in DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business (2013) View citations (4)
23. Spatial Externalities and Agglomeration in a Competitive Industry
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business
    See also Journal Article Spatial externalities and agglomeration in a competitive industry, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2014) View citations (8) (2014)

2012

24. Animal Spirits, Heterogeneous Expectations and the Amplification and Duration of Crises
    CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance View citations (3)
25. Energy Balance Climate Models and the Spatial Structure of Optimal Mitigation Policies
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei View citations (4)
    Also in DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business (2012) View citations (4)
26. Energy Balance Climate Models, Damage Reservoirs and the Time Profile of Climate Change Policy
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei View citations (4)
27. Energy Balance Climate Models, Damage Reservoirs and the Time Pro�le of Climate Change Policy
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business View citations (3)
28. Robust Control and Hot Spots in Spatiotemporal Economic Systems
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Robust Control and Hot Spots in Spatiotemporal Economic Systems, Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer (2014) View citations (9) (2014)
29. Spatial Climate-Economic Models in the Design of Optimal Climate Policies Across Locations
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei View citations (2)
    Also in DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business (2012) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Spatial climate-economic models in the design of optimal climate policies across locations, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2014) View citations (22) (2014)

2010

30. Identification of Social Interactions
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies View citations (108)
    Also in Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University, Department of Economics, Tufts University (2010) View citations (110)
31. Robust Control and Hot Spots in Dynamic Spatially Interconnected Systems
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
    Also in DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business (2010)
32. The Emergence of Optimal Agglomeration in Dynamic Economics
    DEOS Working Papers, Athens University of Economics and Business

2009

33. Adoption Curves and Social Interactions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Adoption Curves and Social Interactions, Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press (2010) View citations (53) (2010)
34. General Pattern Formation in Recursive Dynamical Systems Models in Economics
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei View citations (11)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2008) View citations (12)

2008

35. Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)
36. Design Limits and Dynamic Policy Analysis
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Design limits and dynamic policy analysis, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2013) View citations (14) (2013)
37. More Hedging Instruments may destablize Markets
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute View citations (1)
    Also in CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance (2006) View citations (8)
    CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance (2008) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article More hedging instruments may destabilize markets, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2009) View citations (98) (2009)
38. Pattern Formation, Spatial Externalities and Regulation in Coupled Economic-Ecological Systems
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Pattern formation, spatial externalities and regulation in coupled economic-ecological systems, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier (2010) View citations (56) (2010)

2007

39. Simple versus optimal rules as guides to policy
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (42)
    See also Journal Article Simple versus optimal rules as guides to policy, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (45) (2007)

2006

40. Learning Parameters in Non Linear Ecological Models
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics

2005

41. Adaptive Rational Equilibrium with Forward Looking Agents, fortcoming in International Journal of Economic Theory (IJET) 2006, special issue in honor of Jean-Michel Grandmont
    CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance
42. Optimal Control and Spatial Heterogeneity: Pattern Formation in Economic-Ecological Models
    Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei View citations (1)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2005) View citations (2)
43. Regime shifts, environmental signals, uncertainty, and policy choice
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
44. Social interactions and macroeconomics
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (4)
45. Uncertainty in discount models and environmental cccounting
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)

2004

46. Do hedging instruments stabilize markets?
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics
47. Economic Growth and the Environment: A Review of Theory and Empirics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (62)
    See also Chapter Economic Growth and the Environment: A Review of Theory and Empirics, Handbook of Economic Growth, Elsevier (2005) View citations (236) (2005)
48. Ecosystem Management in Models of Antagonistic Species Coevolution
    Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics View citations (5)
49. Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (17)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2003) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy, Manchester School, University of Manchester (2004) View citations (17) (2004)
50. Identification of binary choice models with social interactions
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article Identification of binary choice models with social interactions, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (150) (2007)
51. Local robustness analysis: theory and application
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Local robustness analysis: Theory and application, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2005) View citations (14) (2005)
52. Macroeconomics and model uncertainty
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (2)
53. Model Uncertainty and Policy Evaluation: Some Theory and Empirics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (26)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2004) View citations (25)
    See also Journal Article Model uncertainty and policy evaluation: Some theory and empirics, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (94) (2007)
54. Profiling problems with partially identified structure
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Profiling Problems With Partially Identified Structure, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2006) View citations (10) (2006)
55. Spatial Analysis: Development of Descriptive and Normative Methods with Applications to Economic-Ecological Modelling
    Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2004) View citations (2)
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2004) View citations (2)
56. The Green Solow Model
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (84)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2004) View citations (83)
    See also Journal Article The Green Solow model, Journal of Economic Growth, Springer (2010) View citations (337) (2010)

2003

57. Economic growth and the environment: matching the stylized facts
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (8)
58. Multinomial Choice with Social Interactions
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (53)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2003) View citations (52)
59. Policy Evaluation in Uncertain Economic Environments
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (179)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2003) View citations (185)
    See also Journal Article Policy Evaluation in Uncertain Economic Environments, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2003) View citations (179) (2003)
60. Spatial complexity, resilience and policy diversity: fishing on lake-rich landscapes
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (2)
61. The lake game
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)
62. Tipping points, abrupt opinion changes, and punctuated policy change
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
63. Valuing biodiversity from an economic perspective: a unified economic, ecological and genetic approach
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (65)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2001)
    Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics (2001)
    Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics View citations (68)
    See also Journal Article Valuing Biodiversity from an Economic Perspective: A Unified Economic, Ecological, and Genetic Approach, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2003) View citations (71) (2003)

2002

64. A multinomial choice model of neighborhood effects
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (70)
    See also Journal Article A Multinomial-Choice Model of Neighborhood Effects, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2002) View citations (72) (2002)
65. Evolutionary dynamics in markets with many trader types
    CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article Evolutionary dynamics in markets with many trader types, Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier (2005) View citations (126) (2005)
66. Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to complex dynamics in asset pricing models with price contingent contracts
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (5)
67. Optimal phosphorus loading for a potentially eutrophic lake
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (5)
68. Regulating nonlinear environmental systems under Knightian uncertainty
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (5)
69. The repeated lake game
    Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article The repeated lake game, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2002) View citations (7) (2002)
70. Uncertainty and the management of multi-state ecosystems: an apparently rational route to collapse
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)

2001

71. Economics for ecologists: a reader's guide
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)
72. Evolutionary dynamics in financial markets with many trader types
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (13)
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics (2001) View citations (18)
73. Heterogeneous beliefs and and routes to complez dynamics in asset pricing models with price contingent contracts
    CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance View citations (4)
74. MOSAIC MANAGEMENT IN METAPOPULATION MODELS: Optimal Management of Interrelated Species in Patchy Environments
    Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2001)

2000

75. Chaos theory
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (2)
76. Discrete choice with social interactions
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article Discrete Choice with Social Interactions, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2001) View citations (802) (2001)
77. Economics of environmental regulation
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
78. Growth Economics and Reality
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (63)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2000) View citations (32)
79. Interactions-Based Models
    Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute View citations (80)
    Also in NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2000) View citations (33)
    See also Chapter Interactions-based models, Handbook of Econometrics, Elsevier (2001) View citations (222) (2001)
80. Nonconvexities in ecological management problems
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)
81. Optimal ecosystem management when species compete for limiting resources
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    See also Journal Article Optimal Ecosystem Management when Species Compete for Limiting Resources, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier (2002) View citations (36) (2002)
82. Some mathematical tools for analysing complex-nonlinear systems
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (3)

1998

83. Management of eutrophication for lakes subject to potentially irreversible change
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (7)
84. Optimal management in Tilmania: a compatitive species assembly constrained by a limiting factor
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (2)
85. Rational animal spirits
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (8)

1997

86. A Formal Model of Theory Choice in Science
    Research in Economics, Santa Fe Institute View citations (4)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1997)
    See also Journal Article A formal model of theory choice in science, Economic Theory, Springer (1999) View citations (35) (1999)
87. Models of Compelxity in Economics and Finance
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (34)

1996

88. A Rational Route to Randomness
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (23)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1995) View citations (8)
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1995) View citations (22)
    Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute (1995) View citations (32)
    See also Journal Article A Rational Route to Randomness, Econometrica, Econometric Society (1997) View citations (1215) (1997)
89. Asset Price Behavior in Complex Environments
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (9)
90. Expectational Diversity in Monetary Economics
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute (1996)
    See also Journal Article Expectational diversity in monetary economies, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2000) View citations (36) (2000)
91. Hetergeneous Beliefs and Routes to Chaos in a Simple Asset Pricing Model
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (1998) View citations (1268) (1998)

1995

92. A Dynamic Structural Model for Stock Return Volatility and Trading Volume
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (33)
    See also Journal Article A Dynamic Structural Model for Stock Return Volatility and Trading Volume, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (1996) View citations (144) (1996)
93. A Test for Independence Based on the Correlation Dimension
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (137)
94. Discrete Choice with Social Interactions I: Theory
    Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute View citations (38)
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1995) View citations (42)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1995) View citations (44)
95. Nonlinear Time Series, Complexity Theory, and Finance
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (12)

1993

96. Pathways to Randomness in the Economy: Emergent Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economics and Finance
    Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute View citations (75)
    See also Journal Article Pathways to randomness in the economy: Emergent nonlinearity and chaos in economics and finance, Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos (1993) View citations (101) (1993)

1992

97. A Nonparametric Test for Independence of a Multivariate Time Series
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (45)
98. Convergence of Learning Schemes on Supermodular Games
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
99. Pathways to Randomness in the Economy: Emergent Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economic Finance
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)

1991

100. Diagnostic testing for Nonlinearity Chaos, and General Dependence in Time Series Data
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
101. SIMPLE TECHNICAL TRADING RULES AND THE STOCHASTIC PROPERTIES OF STOCK RETURNS
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (91)
     See also Journal Article Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns, Journal of Finance, American Finance Association (1992) View citations (776) (1992)
102. Some Theory of Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Science: Expanded Version
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (6)
103. Understainding Macroeconomic Time Series Using Complex Systems Theory
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (6)
     See also Journal Article Understanding macroeconomic time series using complex systems theory, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier (1991) View citations (8) (1991)

1990

104. A POSSIBLE UNIFICATION OF SOME RESULTS ON LEARNING DYNAMICS IN GAMES
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (1)
105. NONLINEAR DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS INSTABILITY AND CHAOS IN ECONOMICS
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
     See also Chapter Non-linear dynamical systems: Instability and chaos in economics, Handbook of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier (1991) View citations (10) (1991)

1989

106. Liquidity Constraints in Production Based Asset Pricing Models
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
     See also Chapter Liquidity Constraints in Production-Based Asset-Pricing Models, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990) View citations (8) (1990)

1988

107. A NONPARAMETRIC TEST FOR TEMPORAL DEPENDENCE IN A VECTOR OF TIME SERIES
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (2)
108. HICKSIAN NONLINEARITY
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
109. NONLINEARITY AND COMPLEX DYNAMICS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (25)
110. THE THEORY OF STATISTICAL INFERENCE FOR NONLINEAR SCIENCE: GAUGE FUNCTIONS, COMPLEXITY MEASURES, AND INSTABILITY MEASURES
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
111. THEOREMS ON DISTINGUISHING DETERMINISTIC FORM RANDOM SYSTEMS
     Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations (8)

1982

112. Stochastic Capital Theory I. Comparative Statics
     NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)

1980

113. Asset Prices in a Production Economy
     Working Papers, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences
     See also Chapter Asset Prices in a Production Economy, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1982) View citations (107) (1982)

1979

114. Some Remarks on Monetary Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model
     Working Papers, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences

1978

115. Dynamics Under Uncertainty
     Discussion Papers, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science
     See also Journal Article Dynamics under Uncertainty, Econometrica, Econometric Society (1979) View citations (9) (1979)

1977

116. Applications of Recent Results on the Asymptotic Stability of Optimal Control to the Problem of Comparing Long Run Equilibria
     Discussion Papers, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science View citations (3)
117. The Design of Mechanisms for Efficient Allocation of Public Moods
     Discussion Papers, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science

1976

118. The Global Asyrnptotic Stability of Optimal Control: A Survey of Recent Results
     Discussion Papers, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science

1975

119. Some Results on Global Asymptotic Stability of Control Systems
     Discussion Papers, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science View citations (1)
120. The Global Asymptotic Stability of Optimal Control with Applications to Dynamic Economic Theory
     Discussion Papers, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science View citations (5)

1974

121. Global Asymptotic Stability of Optimal Control Systems with Applications to the Theory of Economic Growth
     Discussion Papers, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science View citations (3)
     See also Journal Article Global asymptotic stability of optimal control systems with applications to the theory of economic growth, Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier (1976) View citations (49) (1976)

Journal Articles

2016

1. A tale of two correlations: Evidence and theory regarding the phase shift between the price level and output
   Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2016, 67, (C), 40-57 View citations (3)

2015

2. Linear Social Interactions Models
   Journal of Political Economy, 2015, 123, (2), 444 - 496 View citations (146)
   See also Working Paper Linear Social Interactions Models, Economics Series (2013) View citations (9) (2013)
3. On Sturdy Policy Evaluation
   The Journal of Legal Studies, 2015, 44, (S2), S447 - S473 View citations (6)

2014

4. Optimal Control in Space and Time and the Management of Environmental Resources
   Annual Review of Resource Economics, 2014, 6, (1), 33-68 View citations (26)
   See also Working Paper Optimal Control in Space and Time and the Management of Environmental Resources, DEOS Working Papers (2014) View citations (26) (2014)
5. Optimal agglomerations in dynamic economics
   Journal of Mathematical Economics, 2014, 53, (C), 1-15 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper Optimal Agglomerations in Dynamic Economics, DEOS Working Papers (2014) View citations (11) (2014)
6. Robust Control and Hot Spots in Spatiotemporal Economic Systems
   Dynamic Games and Applications, 2014, 4, (3), 257-289 View citations (9)
   See also Working Paper Robust Control and Hot Spots in Spatiotemporal Economic Systems, DEOS Working Papers (2012) View citations (3) (2012)
7. Spatial climate-economic models in the design of optimal climate policies across locations
   European Economic Review, 2014, 69, (C), 78-103 View citations (22)
   See also Working Paper Spatial Climate-Economic Models in the Design of Optimal Climate Policies Across Locations, Working Papers (2012) View citations (2) (2012)
8. Spatial externalities and agglomeration in a competitive industry
   Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, 42, (C), 143-174 View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper Spatial Externalities and Agglomeration in a Competitive Industry, DEOS Working Papers (2013) (2013)

2013

9. Design limits and dynamic policy analysis
   Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2013, 37, (12), 2710-2728 View citations (14)
   See also Working Paper Design Limits and Dynamic Policy Analysis, NBER Working Papers (2008) View citations (9) (2008)
10. Energy balance climate models and general equilibrium optimal mitigation policies
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2013, 37, (12), 2371-2396 View citations (31)

2012

11. General Resilience to Cope with Extreme Events
    Sustainability, 2012, 4, (12), 1-12 View citations (46)
12. On the observational implications of taste-based discrimination in racial profiling
    Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 166, (1), 66-78 View citations (8)

2011

13. Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment: Some Positive and Normative Analysis
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2011, 43, 441-459 View citations (6)

2010

14. Adoption Curves and Social Interactions
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2010, 8, (1), 232-251 View citations (53)
    See also Working Paper Adoption Curves and Social Interactions, NBER Working Papers (2009) View citations (1) (2009)
15. Modeling the Economics of Biodiversity and Environmental Heterogeneity
    Environmental & Resource Economics, 2010, 46, (1), 43-58 View citations (5)
16. Pattern formation, spatial externalities and regulation in coupled economic-ecological systems
    Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2010, 59, (2), 149-164 View citations (56)
    See also Working Paper Pattern Formation, Spatial Externalities and Regulation in Coupled Economic-Ecological Systems, MPRA Paper (2008) View citations (6) (2008)
17. The Green Solow model
    Journal of Economic Growth, 2010, 15, (2), 127-153 View citations (337)
    See also Working Paper The Green Solow Model, NBER Working Papers (2004) View citations (84) (2004)

2009

18. Irreversibility in Economics
    Annual Review of Resource Economics, 2009, 1, (1), 219-238 View citations (4)
19. More Gale Tales
    Games and Economic Behavior, 2009, 66, (2), 599-599
20. More hedging instruments may destabilize markets
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2009, 33, (11), 1912-1928 View citations (98)
    See also Working Paper More Hedging Instruments may destablize Markets, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers (2008) View citations (1) (2008)

2008

21. Diffusion-induced instability and pattern formation in infinite horizon recursive optimal control
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2008, 32, (9), 2745-2787 View citations (82)
22. Frequency-Specific Effects of Stabilization Policies
    American Economic Review, 2008, 98, (2), 241-45 View citations (13)
23. The polluted ecosystem game
    Indian Growth and Development Review, 2008, 1, (1), 7-31 View citations (4)

2007

24. Identification of binary choice models with social interactions
    Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 140, (1), 52-75 View citations (150)
    See also Working Paper Identification of binary choice models with social interactions, Working papers (2004) View citations (8) (2004)
25. Model uncertainty and policy evaluation: Some theory and empirics
    Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 136, (2), 629-664 View citations (94)
    Also in Proceedings, 2005 (2005) View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Model Uncertainty and Policy Evaluation: Some Theory and Empirics, NBER Working Papers (2004) View citations (26) (2004)
26. Simple versus optimal rules as guides to policy
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (5), 1372-1396 View citations (45)
    See also Working Paper Simple versus optimal rules as guides to policy, FRB Atlanta Working Paper (2007) View citations (42) (2007)

2006

27. Adaptive rational equilibrium with forward looking agents
    International Journal of Economic Theory, 2006, 2, (3‐4), 241-278 View citations (18)
28. Profiling Problems With Partially Identified Structure
    Economic Journal, 2006, 116, (515), F427-F440 View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper Profiling problems with partially identified structure, Working papers (2004) View citations (2) (2004)

2005

29. Evolutionary dynamics in markets with many trader types
    Journal of Mathematical Economics, 2005, 41, (1-2), 7-42 View citations (126)
    See also Working Paper Evolutionary dynamics in markets with many trader types, CeNDEF Working Papers (2002) View citations (13) (2002)
30. Local robustness analysis: Theory and application
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 2067-2092 View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper Local robustness analysis: theory and application, Working papers (2004) View citations (4) (2004)
31. Spatial Analysis in Descriptive Models of Renewable Resource Management
    Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), 2005, 141, (III), 331-354 View citations (5)

2004

32. Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy
    Manchester School, 2004, 72, (s1), 1-18 View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper Elements of a Theory of Design Limits to Optimal Policy, NBER Working Papers (2004) View citations (17) (2004)
33. Management of interacting species: regulation under nonlinearities and hysteresis
    Resource and Energy Economics, 2004, 26, (2), 137-156 View citations (5)

2003

34. Managing Systems with Non-convex Positive Feedback
    Environmental & Resource Economics, 2003, 26, (4), 575-602 View citations (80)
35. Policy Evaluation in Uncertain Economic Environments
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2003, 34, (1), 235-322 View citations (179)
    See also Working Paper Policy Evaluation in Uncertain Economic Environments, NBER Working Papers (2003) View citations (179) (2003)
36. Valuing Biodiversity from an Economic Perspective: A Unified Economic, Ecological, and Genetic Approach
    American Economic Review, 2003, 93, (5), 1597-1614 View citations (71)
    See also Working Paper Valuing biodiversity from an economic perspective: a unified economic, ecological and genetic approach, Working papers (2003) View citations (65) (2003)

2002

37. A Multinomial-Choice Model of Neighborhood Effects
    American Economic Review, 2002, 92, (2), 298-303 View citations (72)
    See also Working Paper A multinomial choice model of neighborhood effects, Working papers (2002) View citations (70) (2002)
38. Optimal Ecosystem Management when Species Compete for Limiting Resources
    Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2002, 44, (2), 189-220 View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper Optimal ecosystem management when species compete for limiting resources, Working papers (2000) (2000)
39. The repeated lake game
    Economics Letters, 2002, 76, (1), 109-114 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper The repeated lake game, Other publications TiSEM (2002) View citations (7) (2002)

2001

40. Discrete Choice with Social Interactions
    The Review of Economic Studies, 2001, 68, (2), 235-260 View citations (802)
    See also Working Paper Discrete choice with social interactions, Working papers (2000) View citations (15) (2000)

2000

41. Expectational diversity in monetary economies
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2000, 24, (5-7), 725-759 View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper Expectational Diversity in Monetary Economics, Working papers (1996) View citations (2) (1996)
42. Whither nonlinear?
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2000, 24, (5-7), 663-678 View citations (8)

1999

43. A formal model of theory choice in science
    Economic Theory, 1999, 14, (1), 113-130 View citations (35)
    See also Working Paper A Formal Model of Theory Choice in Science, Research in Economics (1997) View citations (4) (1997)
44. Scaling in Economics: A Reader's Guide
    Industrial and Corporate Change, 1999, 8, (3), 409-46 View citations (85)

1998

45. Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1998, 22, (8-9), 1235-1274 View citations (1268)
    See also Working Paper Hetergeneous Beliefs and Routes to Chaos in a Simple Asset Pricing Model, Working papers (1996) View citations (8) (1996)
46. Ideas on quantification of resilience-based management
    Environment and Development Economics, 1998, 3, (2), 221-262 View citations (1)

1997

47. A Rational Route to Randomness
    Econometrica, 1997, 65, (5), 1059-1096 View citations (1215)
    See also Working Paper A Rational Route to Randomness, Working papers (1996) View citations (23) (1996)

1996

48. A Dynamic Structural Model for Stock Return Volatility and Trading Volume
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1996, 78, (1), 94-110 View citations (144)
    See also Working Paper A Dynamic Structural Model for Stock Return Volatility and Trading Volume, NBER Working Papers (1995) View citations (33) (1995)
49. Principal-agent contracts in continuous time asymmetric information models the importance of large continuing information flows
    Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 1996, 29, (3), 523-535 View citations (7)

1993

50. Pathways to randomness in the economy: Emergent nonlinearity and chaos in economics and finance
    Estudios Económicos, 1993, 8, (1), 3-55 View citations (101)
    See also Working Paper Pathways to Randomness in the Economy: Emergent Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economics and Finance, Working Papers (1993) View citations (75) (1993)

1992

51. Periodic market closure and trading volume: A model of intraday bids and asks
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1992, 16, (3-4), 451-489 View citations (182)
52. Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns
    Journal of Finance, 1992, 47, (5), 1731-64 View citations (776)
    See also Working Paper SIMPLE TECHNICAL TRADING RULES AND THE STOCHASTIC PROPERTIES OF STOCK RETURNS, Working papers (1991) View citations (91) (1991)

1991

53. Some Theory of Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Science
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1991, 58, (4), 697-716 View citations (10)
54. Understanding macroeconomic time series using complex systems theory
    Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 1991, 2, (1), 119-141 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper Understainding Macroeconomic Time Series Using Complex Systems Theory, Working papers (1991) View citations (6) (1991)

1988

55. Is the business cycle characterized by deterministic chaos?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1988, 22, (1), 71-90 View citations (125)
56. On characterizing optimal competitive programs in terms of decentralizable conditions
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1988, 45, (2), 262-273 View citations (7)
    See also Chapter On Characterizing Optimal Competitive Programs in Terms of Decentralizable Conditions, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2015, 46-57 (2015) (2015)

1986

57. Competing takes hard work
    Economic Review, 1986, (Jan), 6-10
58. Distinguishing random and deterministic systems: Abridged version
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1986, 40, (1), 168-195 View citations (88)

1985

59. Dynamic Ramsey Pricing
    International Economic Review, 1985, 26, (3), 569-91 View citations (21)
60. Price Setting Supergames with Capacity Constraints
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1985, 52, (3), 371-382 View citations (94)
61. The Economics of Regulatory Tiering
    RAND Journal of Economics, 1985, 16, (3), 398-409 View citations (21)

1983

62. Contestable Markets and the Theory of Industry Structure: A Review Article
    Journal of Political Economy, 1983, 91, (6), 1055-66 View citations (27)

1981

63. The Analysis of Macroeconomic Policies in Perfect Foresight Equilibrium
    International Economic Review, 1981, 22, (1), 179-209 View citations (63)

1980

64. Time consistency and optimal government policies in perfect foresight equilibrium
    Journal of Public Economics, 1980, 13, (2), 183-212 View citations (58)

1979

65. Dynamics under Uncertainty
    Econometrica, 1979, 47, (4), 843-68 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Dynamics Under Uncertainty, Discussion Papers (1978) (1978)

1978

66. Global asymptotic stability results for multisector models of optimal growth under uncertainty when future utilities are discounted
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1978, 18, (2), 225-243 View citations (19)
67. The Economics of Special Interest Politics: The Case of the Tariff
    American Economic Review, 1978, 68, (2), 246-50 View citations (66)

1976

68. Global asymptotic stability of optimal control systems with applications to the theory of economic growth
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1976, 12, (1), 164-190 View citations (49)
    See also Working Paper Global Asymptotic Stability of Optimal Control Systems with Applications to the Theory of Economic Growth, Discussion Papers (1974) View citations (3) (1974)
69. Regular Economies and Conditions for Uniqueness of Steady States in Optimal Multi-Sector Economic Models
    International Economic Review, 1976, 17, (1), 105-20 View citations (5)

1975

70. A simple perfect foresight monetary model
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1975, 1, (2), 133-150 View citations (113)
71. Some results on global asymptotic stability of difference equations
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1975, 10, (2), 265-268

1974

72. Money and Growth: The Case of Long Run Perfect Foresight
    International Economic Review, 1974, 15, (3), 750-77 View citations (229)

1973

73. Optimal Economic Growth and Uncertainty: The No Discounting Case
    International Economic Review, 1973, 14, (3), 560-73 View citations (26)
74. Some Results on the Uniqueness of Steady States in Multisector Models of Optimum Growth when Future Utilities are Discounted
    International Economic Review, 1973, 14, (3), 535-59 View citations (13)

1972

75. On models of expectations that arise from maximizing behavior of economic agents over time
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1972, 5, (3), 348-376 View citations (16)
76. Optimal economic growth and uncertainty: The discounted case
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1972, 4, (3), 479-513 View citations (458)

1970

77. An Axiomatic Basis for the Ramsey- Weizsacker Overtaking Criterion
    Econometrica, 1970, 38, (6), 927-29 View citations (25)
78. On Existence of Weakly Maximal Programmes in a Multi-Sector Economy
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1970, 37, (2), 275-280 View citations (77)

1969

79. Optimal growth under factor augmenting progress
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1969, 1, (3), 229-243 View citations (30)

Books

2001

1. Growth Theory, Nonlinear Dynamics and Economic Modelling
   Books, Edward Elgar Publishing View citations (5)

1992

2. Nonlinear Dynamics, Chaos, and Instability - Unix version, vol 1
   MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (6)

1989

3. Black Hole Tariffs and Endogenous Policy Theory
   Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (309)
   Also in Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (1989) View citations (309)

Chapters

2021

1. Climate Change Uncertainty Spillover in the Macroeconomy
   A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021, volume 36, 2021, pp 253-320 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper Climate Change Uncertainty Spillover in the Macroeconomy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (12) (2021)

2015

2. On Characterizing Optimal Competitive Programs in Terms of Decentralizable Conditions
   Chapter 3 in Decentralization in Infinite Horizon Economies, 2015, pp 46-57
   See also Journal Article On characterizing optimal competitive programs in terms of decentralizable conditions, Elsevier (1988) View citations (7) (1988)

2005

3. Economic Growth and the Environment: A Review of Theory and Empirics
   Chapter 28 in Handbook of Economic Growth, 2005, vol. 1, Part B, pp 1749-1821 View citations (236)
   See also Working Paper Economic Growth and the Environment: A Review of Theory and Empirics, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) View citations (62) (2004)

2001

4. Interactions-based models
   Chapter 54 in Handbook of Econometrics, 2001, vol. 5, pp 3297-3380 View citations (222)
   See also Working Paper Interactions-Based Models, Santa Fe Institute (2000) View citations (80) (2000)

1991

5. Non-linear dynamical systems: Instability and chaos in economics
   Chapter 40 in Handbook of Mathematical Economics, 1991, vol. 4, pp 2209-2235 View citations (10)
   See also Working Paper NONLINEAR DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS INSTABILITY AND CHAOS IN ECONOMICS, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1990) (1990)

1990

6. Liquidity Constraints in Production-Based Asset-Pricing Models
   A chapter in Asymmetric Information, Corporate Finance, and Investment, 1990, pp 231-256 View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper Liquidity Constraints in Production Based Asset Pricing Models, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989) View citations (2) (1989)
7. Overlapping generations models with money and transactions costs
   Chapter 07 in Handbook of Monetary Economics, 1990, vol. 1, pp 263-295 View citations (18)

1982

8. Asset Prices in a Production Economy
   A chapter in The Economics of Information and Uncertainty, 1982, pp 1-46 View citations (107)
   See also Working Paper Asset Prices in a Production Economy, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences (1980) (1980)