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Cross-Country Causes and Consequences of the Crisis: An Update

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

No 16243, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We update Rose and Spiegel (2009a, b) and search for simple quantitative models of macroeconomic and financial indicators of the "Great Recession" of 2008-09. We use a cross-country approach and examine a number of potential causes that have been found to be successful indicators of crisis intensity by other scholars. We check a number of different indicators of crisis intensity, and a variety of different country samples. While countries with higher income seemed to suffer worse crises, we find few clear reliable indicators in the pre-crisis data of the incidence of the Great Recession. Countries with current account surpluses seemed better insulated from slowdowns.

JEL-codes: E65 F30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-07
Note: IFM
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (47)

Published as Rose, Andrew K. & Spiegel, Mark M., 2011. "Cross-country causes and consequences of the crisis: An update," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 309-324, April.

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Journal Article: Cross-country causes and consequences of the crisis: An update (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Cross-country causes and consequences of the crisis: an update (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Cross-Country Causes and Consequences of the Crisis: An Update (2010) Downloads
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