Housing Busts and Household Mobility: An Update

Fernando Ferreira, Joseph Gyourko and Joseph Tracy

No 17405, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper provides updated estimates of the impact of three financial frictions - negative equity, mortgage lock-in, and property tax lock-in - on household mobility. We add the 2009 wave of the American Housing Survey (AHS) to our sample and also create an improved measure of permanent moves in response to Schulhofer-Wohl's (2011) critique of our earlier work (Ferreira, Gyourko and Tracy (2010)). Our updated estimates corroborate our previous results: negative equity reduces household mobility by 30 percent, and $1,000 of additional mortgage or property tax costs reduces household mobility by 10%-16%. Schulhofer-Wohl's finding of a slight positive correlation between mobility and negative equity appears due to a large fraction of false positives, as his coding methodology has the propensity to misclassify almost half of the additional moves it identifies relative to our measure of permanent moves. This also makes his mobility measure dynamically inconsistent, as many transitions originally classified as a move are reclassified as a non-move when additional AHS panels become available. We conclude with directions for future research, including potential improvements to measures of household mobility.

JEL-codes: R21 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mig and nep-ure
Note: PE
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (33)

Published as Fernando Ferreira & Joseph Gyourko & Joseph Tracy, 2012. "Housing busts and household mobility: an update," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Nov, pages 1-15.
Published as Fernando Ferreira & Joseph Gyourko & Joseph Tracy, 2010. "Housing busts and household mobility," Journal of Urban Economics, vol 68(1), pages 34-45.

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Journal Article: Housing busts and household mobility: an update (2012)
Working Paper: Housing busts and household mobility: an update (2011)
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