How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?

Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie Chinn and Ian Marsh ()

No 7524, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper summarises the results of a survey of UK based foreign exchange dealers conducted in 1998. It addresses topics in three main areas: The microeconomic operation of the foreign exchange market; the beliefs of dealers regarding the importance, or otherwise, of macroeconomic fundamental factors in affecting exchange rates; microstructure factors in FX. We find that heterogeneity of traders' beliefs is evident from the results but that it is not possible to explain such disagreements in terms of institutional detail, rank or trading technique (e.g. technical analysts versus fundamentalists). As expected, non-fundamental factors are thought to dominate short horizon changes in exchange rates, but fundamentals are deemed important over much shorter horizons that the mainstream empirical literature would suggest. Finally, market norms' and behavioural phenomena are very strong in the FX market and appear to be key determinants of the bid-ask spread.

JEL-codes: F31 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his, nep-ifn and nep-ind
Note: IFM
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (31)

Published as Cheung, Yin-Wong, Menzie D. Chinn and Ian W. Marsh. "How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?," International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2004, v9(4,Oct), 289-306.

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Journal Article: How do UK-based foreign exchange dealers think their market operates? (2004)
Working Paper: How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates? (1999)
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