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Inflation Targeting and Sudden Stops

Ricardo Caballero () and Arvind Krishnamurthy

No 9599, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Emerging economies experience sudden stops in capital inflows. As we have argued in Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2002), having access to monetary policy during these sudden stops is useful, but mostly for insurance' rather than for aggregate demand reasons. In this environment, a central bank that cannot commit to monetary policy choices will ignore the insurance aspect and follow a procyclical rather than the optimal countercyclical monetary policy. The central bank will also intervene excessively to support the exchange rate. These inefficiencies are exacerbated by the presence of an expansionary bias. In order to solve these problems, we propose modifying the central bank's objective to (i) include state-contingent inflation targets, (ii) target a measure of inflation that overweights non-tradable inflation

JEL-codes: E0 E4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-ifn and nep-mac
Note: CF EFG IFM
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (41)

Published as Inflation Targeting and Sudden Stops , Ricardo J. Caballero, Arvind Krishnamurthy. in The Inflation-Targeting Debate , Bernanke and Woodford. 2005

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