Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers

From Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE)
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2020-19: Evaluating a new earnings indicator. Can we improve the timeliness of existing statistics on earnings by using salary information from online job adverts?

Jyldyz Djumalieva, Stef Garasto and Cath Sleeman

2020-18: Free goods and economic welfare

Diane Coyle and David Nguyen

2020-17: Reviewing the boundary between valuables and financial assets in SNA 2008 in the light of Bitcoin and similar crypto-assets and the UK experience of non-monetary gold

Abi Casey, Sam Hayes-Morgan, Richard Heys, Matt Hughes, Pete Lee, Alison McCrae, Robert Kent-Smith and Matthew Steel

2020-16: Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US

James Mitchell, Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre and Aubrey Poon

2020-15: Evidence of Accelerating Mismeasurement of Growth and Inflation in the U.S. in the 21st Century

Leonard Nakamura

2020-14: Business Dynamism in the UK: New Findings Using a Novel Dataset

Silvia Lui, Russell Black, Josefa Lavandero-Mason and Mohammad Shafat

2020-13: Immigration Stocks and Flows, APS and Electoral Register Data

Augustin de Coulon, Richmond Egyei and Jonathan Wadsworth

2020-12: The Impact of GDP Data Revisions on Identifying and Predicting UK Recessions

Ana Beatriz Galvão and Amit Kara

2020-11: Telecoms Deflators: A Story of Volume and Revenue Weights

Mo Abdirahman, Diane Coyle, Richard Heys and Will Stewart

2020-10: Valuing Goods Online and Offline: the Impact of Covid-19

Diane Coyle and David Nguyen

2020-09: UK Interregional Trade Estimation: Estimates of trade between Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales and England

Alastair Greig, Mairi Spowage and Graeme Roy

2020-08: UK Regions in Global Value Chains

Pieter IJtsma and Bart Los

2020-07: Computationally Efficient Inference in Large Bayesian Mixed Frequency VARs

Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop and Aubrey Poon

2020-06: Real-time Probabilistic Nowcasts of UK Quarterly GDP Growth using a Mixed-Frequency Bottom-up Approach

Ana Beatriz Galvão and Marta Lopresto

2020-05: Real-time turning point indicators: Review of current international practices

Cyrille Lenoel and Garry Young

2020-04: Productivity growth and global value chain participation in the digital age

Claudio Battiati, Cecilia Jona-Lasinio and Silvia Sopranzetti

2020-03: An Industry-Based Estimation Approach for Measuring the Cloud Economy

Christopher Hooton

2020-02: Measuring education services using lifetime incomes

Carol Corrado, Mary O'Mahony and Lea Samek

2020-01: Measuring productivity: theory and British practice

Nicholas Oulton

2019-20: Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP

Ana Galvão, James Mitchell and Johnny Runge

2019-19: Defining and Measuring the Innovativeness of Firms

Giuliana Battisti and Paul Stoneman

2019-18: Testing for the Presence of Measurement Error

Daniel Wilhelm

2019-17: Technology, Intangible Assets and the Decline of the Labor Share

Mary O'Mahony, Michela Vecchi and Francesco Venturini

2019-16: GDP and Welfare: A spectrum of opportunity

Richard Heys, Josh Martin and Walter Mkandawire

2019-15: No plant, no problem? Factoryless manufacturing and economic measurement

Diane Coyle and David Nguyen

2019-14: Improving the Measure of the Distribution of Personal Income

Dennis Fixler, Marina Gindelsky and David Johnson

2019-13: Misreported Trade

Mohammad Farhad, Michael Jetter, Abu Siddique and Andrew Williams

2019-12: Who are business owners and what are they doing?

Jonathan Cribb, Helen Miller, Thomas Pope and Jonathan Cribb

2019-11: The Welfare Implications of Public Goods: Lessons from 10 years of Atkinson in the UK

Fred Foxton, Joe Grice, Richard Heys and James Lewis

2019-10: The treatment of Intellectual Property in the National Accounts

Robin Lynch

2019-09: Lost in translation: What do Engel curves tell us about the cost of living?

Ingvild Almås, Timothy Beatty and Thomas Crossley

2019-08: Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth

Ana Galvão and James Mitchell

2019-07: Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage

Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop and Aubrey Poon

2019-06: GDP is a measure of output, not welfare. Or, HOS meets the SNA

Nicholas Oulton

2019-05: Firms' Price, Cost and Activity Expectations: Evidence from Micro Data

Lena Boneva, James Cloyne, Martin Weale and Tomasz Wieladek

2019-04: Understanding the Sharing Economy

Diane Coyle and Shane O'Connor

2019-03: Measuring Bilateral Exports of Value Added: A Unified Framework

Bart Los and Marcel Timmer

2019-02: Labour productivity and firm-level TFP with technology-specific production functions

Michele Battisti, Filippo Belloc and Massimo Del Gatto

2019-01: Towards a Framework for Time Use, Welfare and Household-centric Economic Measurement

Diane Coyle and Leonard Nakamura

2018-19: Cloud Computing and National Accounting

Diane Coyle and David Nguyen

2018-18: Temporal disaggregation of overlapping noisy quarterly data using state space models: Estimation of monthly business sector output from Value Added Tax data in the UK

Paul Labonne and Martin Weale

2018-17: Double deflation: theory and practice

Nicholas Oulton, Ana Rincon-Aznar, Lea Samek and Sylaja Srinivasan

2018-16: The Digital Economy, New Products and Consumer Welfare

Walter Diewert, Kevin Fox and Paul Schreyer

2018-15: Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation

Jan Jacobs, Samad Sarferaz, Jan-Egbert Sturm and Simon van Norden

2018-14: Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017

Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell and Aubrey Poon

2018-13: An Open and Data-driven Taxonomy of Skills Extracted from Online Job Adverts

Jyldyz Djumalieva1 and Cath Sleeman

2018-12: Big Data & Macroeconomic Nowcasting: Methodological Review

George Kapetanios and Fotis Papailias

2018-11: Productivity growth, firm turnover and new varieties

Thomas von Brasch, Arvid Raknerud and Diana-Cristina Iancu

2018-10: A firm-level perspective on micro- and macro-level uncertainty; An analysis of business expectations and uncertainty from the UK Management and Expectations Survey

Gaganan Awano, Nicholas Bloom, Ted Dolby, Paul Mizen, Rebecca Riley, Tatsuro Senga, John van Reenen, Jenny Vyas and Philip Wales

2018-09: UK trade in goods and productivity: New findings

Philip Wales, Russell Black, Ted Dolby and Gaganan Awano

2018-08: Classifying occupations using web-based job advertisements: an application to STEM and creative occupations

Antonio Lima and Hasan Bakhshi

2018-07: UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model

Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre and James Mitchell

2018-06: Below the Aggregate: A Sectoral Account of the UK Productivity Puzzle

Rebecca Riley, Ana Rincon-Aznar and Lea Samek

2018-05: Imputation of Pension Accruals and Investment Income in Survey Data

Andrew Aitken and Martin Weale

2018-04: Classifying Occupations According to Their Skill Requirements in Job Advertisements

Jyldyz Djumalieva, Antonio Lima and Cath Sleeman

2018-03: A Data Map of Existing UK Data Sources Related to Regional Trade

Alastair Greig, Katerina Lisenkova and Graeme Roy

2018-02: A Democratic Measure of Household Income Growth: Theory and Application to the United Kingdom

Andrew Aitken and Martin Weale

2018-01: Reconciled Trade Flow Estimates Using an FGLS Estimator

Thomas Baranga

2017-04: A Comparison of Approaches to Deflating Telecoms Services Output

Mo Abdirahman, Diane Coyle, Richard Heys and Will Stewart

2017-03: Measuring the “Free” Digital Economy within the GDP and Productivity Accounts

Leonard Nakamura, Jon Samuels and Rachel Soloveichik

2017-02: The mystery of TFP

Nicholas Oulton

2017-01: Do-it-yourself digital: the production boundary and the productivity puzzle

Diane Coyle